Which Terrorist groups? Sources?
All of the ones from Pakistan. A lot of the radicalism found in Kashmir happened via Saudi funding, followed by Turkish funding.
Agree, but Oil will be in demand for long time.
Most of the world will be driving EVs in less than 15 years. So even if there's oil dependency, it's very likely that global demand will peak by the end of the decade. Once it starts falling, both revenue and quantity of oil exports will drop, prices will drop hence earnings. All these ME countries will have to start devaluing their currencies to survive. And considering their import-heavy natures, yep...
EVs. About 70% of the world's automobile marketshare will be EVs by 2035. And if H2 takes off, the remaining 30% consisting of heavy-duty trucks and the like will become EVs too. So we will have less ICE vehicles then than what's available today, so less oil consumption. Renewables will have taken over electricity production by then too.
In 2050s, a lot of ME Countries will have a democratic political system.
Muslims creating a plural democratic system? The thing about democracy is, if there's no opposing force, then it will naturally decay into a far-left or far-right system. And an Islamic society typically moves right. Look at Turkey.
Islam doesn't allow moderates to have a voice 'cause it prefers violence over debate. That's why there's no such thing as a "good" Muslim with power, they typically end up as a bystander while radicals take over and the society goes into a downward spiral.
The only Muslim societies that do well are those under moderate leaders who practice authoritarianism like the ME kings, or when there's a powerful non-Muslim opposing force within society.
Not sure, How China will be out from ME?
Due to proximity, the ME is within India's sphere of influence. The only question is how much violence we will be willing to unleash when necessary.
And due to the long-term potential of India, Indian Muslims will naturally become the most powerful Islamic population with the greatest voice.
How much more radicals are they?
Extremely radical. They believe only their doctrine of Wahhabism is true Islam and all others are enemies, including other Salafi schools. It's basically based on an 18th century interpretation of Islam and is extremely orthodox. That's why they are the only country that carry out beheadings for executions.
The Iranians and Saudis are both crazy people. Democracy doesn't work with either of them. They are also some of the least trustworthy people around. People think of the Saudis as sane 'cause of the ruling dispensation. MBS has also loosened some restrictions, like allowing women to drive and own property. But the Saudis still beat the Iranians at being orthodox, and that's saying something.
Reason could be profit making. This might change very soon.
Iran is unlikely to get production tech, unless it's for something like the JF-17. They will have to develop their own.