News India Set to Overtake Japan, Will Have Asia’s 2nd Largest Power Capacity in 2018!

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India Set to Overtake Japan, Will Have Asia’s 2nd Largest Power Capacity in 2018!
One of the lubricants that facilitates the engine of economic growth and prosperity is the capacity to generate power through both non-renewable and renewable means.

Thus, in a heartening development, India is all set to surpass Japan as the country with the second largest power capacity in Asia, according to BMI Research, a London-based consultancy firm. In fact, India is likely to even overtake the US, which is the second largest producer in the world, by 2020.

Driven by a rapid acceleration in coal generation, the recent study by BMI Research states India will possess a power capacity of a whopping 363.32 gigawatts in 2018.

In its story assessing the BMI Research results, Bloomberg reports that India’s capacity will increase by another 69 percent “through 2027 and coal will remain the mainstay, making up about 75 percent of the mix”.
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For representational purposes only. (Source: Wikimedia Commons)

Nearly 85% of electricity in India, is generated via coal right now with an installed capacity of 300 GW. However, experts contend that this is likely to change rapidly because the price of solar and wind energy are dropping precipitously. In fact, solar energy is now cheaper than coal.

“India’s power sector will remain dominated by coal over the coming decade despite significant growth in cleaner sources—notably nuclear, non-hydro renewables and natural gas,” an analysis by BMI research said last year, according to the Financial Express.

In the draft National Electricity Plan released by the Centre in December 2016, non-fossil fuel-based energy sources will make up a shade over 56% of India’s installed power capacity by 2027.

“Between April 2017 and March 2018, the country added around 11,788 megawatts (MW) of renewable energy capacity. That’s more than double of the 5,400 MW of capacity addition in the thermal and hydro power sectors during the same period,” says this recent Quartz report.

If India does manage to fulfil its objectives of installing 175 GW of renewable energy capacity by 2022 (as per its commitments under the 2015 Paris Climate agreement), the country will have no or little requirement to burnish its own coal-driven power capacity.

“Despite the prevalence of coal-fired power generation, we expect significant growth in the alternative, cleaner power sources over the next ten years—albeit from a lower base—notably in the natural gas, nuclear and non-hydropower renewables sectors,” notes the BMI research.
“This is in line with government efforts to reduce pollution across the country and international pressure to boost environmental policy,” it added.
India Set to Overtake Japan, Will Have Asia's 2nd Largest Power Capacity in 2018!
 
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Installed power capacity in India doubled in last 10 years: RBI Data​

The installed capacity of power in India has doubled in the last 10 years. From 199,877 MW in 2011-12, it has risen to 399,497 MW in 2021-22, data from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) showed. Additionally, the total installed capacity of grid interactive renewable power has gone up by 3.7 times in the same period. It has risen from 19,971 MW in 2011 to 94,434 MW in 2021.

Maharashtra has the highest installed capacity of power of 43,466 MW followed by 42,208 in Gujarat. With 15,463 MW, Karnataka has the highest installed capacity of grid interactive renewable power in India. Tamil Nadu follows it with 15,225 MW and Gujarat with 13,153 MW, according to the RBI's "Handbook Of Statistics On Indian States".

In union territories (UTs), Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh, combined, top the list with an installed power capacity of 3,510 MW.

However, as compared to the rise in installed capacity, the total state-wise availability of power has gone up a lesser 60 per cent from 85,789 in 2011-12 to 137,402 crore units in 2021-22.

Maharashtra also has the highest power availability in India with 17,281 crore units. It is followed by Uttar Pradesh and Gujarat with 12,831 and 12,367 crore units respectively.

The per capita power availability in India has risen by 57 per cent during the same period. It has gone up from 708.9 kilowatt-hours (kWh) in 2011-12 to 1115.3 kWh in 2021-22.

Goa tops the list of states at 3,046 kilowatt-hours (kWh). It is followed by Punjab at 2,251 kWh and Haryana with a per capita availability of 2,177 kWh per capita.

With 2,051 and 2,004 kWh, Gujarat and Telangana respectively are the only two others states in the country that have per capita power availability higher than 2,000 kWh.


"Fossil fuels operate in the range of 85-90 per cent of plant load factor (PLF). Non-fossil fuels like solar, wind, are typically in the range of 30 per cent of PLF. So, the availability of energy during evening is low. Thus, there is this gap despite a rise in the installed capacity," Murali Mohan, director of Power & Infrastructure at ABC Consultants told Business Standard.

Mohan added that with "technical and technological" advancement, the PLF gap is expected to come down in future.

Installed power capacity in India doubled in last 10 years: RBI Data