So we are going to make 20 FOC + 8 trainers until then.. 7-8 / per year?
16 FOCs will be delivered in 1 year, by end 2020 or early 2021. Followed by 18 trainers (early to mid 2022). And Mk1As from 2023.
So the production line will keep churning out a squadron a year from here on.
@16 / year for Mk1A production will be for 5 years min.
Even shorter. 'Cause it's 73 Mk1As. The other 10 are trainers. Plus, the capacity is actually 19/year. So it's just 4 years.
There will be extra LCA production from Nashik once MKI production is done, which will take care of exports. The existing lines can be upgraded to 27/year, not counting the Nashik line. So it can be 19+Nashik or 27+Nashik per year. The Nashik line can be extended to whatever number's necessary.
That means MWF production will be after 2028..
No, there will be concurrency. So production will start much sooner. First delivery is expected in 2028.
In case, if luck would have it, 50-100 Mk1As are exported, then the Nashik line can make MWFs, while leaving the Bangalore lines for the Mk1A. The Bangalore line will also be expected to make LCA SPORT, and this version has pretty decent export prospects, apart from IAF's orders. Plenty of options.