Jigs are more than a metal frame for holding the fuselage and its not coming off a hot production line. The tooling will all have to be custom-manufactured to our specification.
You're talking about assembling an aircraft already in production. I'm talking of manufacturing and putting together the first prototype and getting it ready for flight testing. A process that took SAAB four years.
Yeah, but it doesn't take long.
Saab's 4 years included a design phase. They basically had a simultaneous design and production process. We are already done with that.
Saab starts assembly of first pre-production Gripen E - defenceWeb
Defence and security company Saab has started the assembly of the next-generation Gripen, the Gripen E. First to be constructed is the front fuselage of the first pre-production test aircraft 39-8.
Following a short and intense period of design using the latest tools and methods, through so-called ‘Model Based Design’, the construction of the Gripen E begins with the manufacturing and assembly of all parts of the fuselage; the largest and most time-consuming part of the airframe.
Also, the first prototype was rolled out in May 2016.
Gripen E Multirole Fighter Aircraft - Airforce Technology
The first test aircraft was rolled out in May 2016.
Nah, Gripen E design was started in 2010 itself, when they say "following a period of design" they mean the design period was already over by then.
Also, don't forget that SAAB had already flown several hundred test flights of the Gripen Demo (which was then dubbed NG) which already incorporated many of the things E would go on to have - like the new F414 engine, new cockpit, new landing gear etc. And this testing happened much prior to beginning of E prototype construction in 2013.
For Mk-2 Tejas, we don't have the luxury of pre-testing F414 or new electronics on a modified Mk-1/Mk-1A owing to severe lack of internal space and flexibility. Which realistically adds at least 1-2 years of testing time for Mk-2 prototypes.
Which is still 3 years. In fact first flight of the prototype was expected in 2016 itself but it was delayed over a year. Similarly, delays are to be very well expected in Mk-2 as well. Over and above a minimum 3-4 year time for getting the first prototype ready for flight.
And even if we assume the deal for jigs goes through this year and even if delivery also happens this year and first flight in ~2023, getting IOC after just 2 years of flight testing as per your schedule is impossible. We couldn't do that even for LUH, eventhough 80% of the stuff on the chopper is the same as on Dhruv Mk.4. Mk-2 Tejas on the other hand will have so many new things to test - new engine, new electronics (including IRST, new cockpit (if we're smart), etc.
Gripen E expects IOC in 2021 (4 years after first flight) for both Brazilian & Swedish AF. Progressing Mk-2 Tejas along same timeframe (which is a stretch considering we don't have the flight test experience of Gripen Demo behind us) puts our IOC in 2027 if we don't assume any delays whatsoever.
And Gripen E FOC is estimated in 2026 - or 2032 in Tejas timeline.
The Gripen Demo and Gripen E are entirely different aircraft. And we are doing similar risk reduction development using Mk1.
Actually we do. While we can't pre-test F414, we have no need to, with the exception of canards, our airframe may not be as radically different as the Gripen E's. But when it comes to avionics, all the Mk2 avionics are being tested on Mk1 prototypes already. Anyway, CEMILAC has already certified the LCA's engine.
Sure. That's why you can push IOC date to 2027, it's a reasonable extension.
LCH is a radically different airframe. Everything about it is different compared to Dhruv. The Mk2 is significantly less radical than the Mk1.
You are considering all the wrong dates. What Saab is doing is making a common platform for all called MS-21, which will be ready this year, and then they will MKIze it to the demands of their respective customers.
We had the same plans for FGFA, where we will make a common export platform for all export customers and then we will take 3 years to MKIze it to Indian specifications. Similarly the MKIzed Rafale will become available only from 2023 onwards. Exactly like our Rafales, Brazil will start taking deliveries of Gripen E from this year, and then they will get the MKIzed version in 2021, which will be their IOC, but this IOC is not the same as what we have considered IOC for the LCA Mk1 program. Their IOC will be fully combat capable, whereas their FOC is mostly a software upgrade. Sweden AF will also take deliveries this year.
The Gripen E's IOC may be 2021 for Brazil, but the common platform will be ready this year. And in our case, we are not making a common platform, we are MKIzing the LCA Mk2 from the start, which is why our development time is shorter overall. To get to this common platform, Saab's plan was to do it in 1.5 years after first flight. Not to mention, Mk2 will likely have more prototypes than Saab.
The kind of change Gripen E experienced will also be more or less relevant on the Tejas Mk-2. Addition of canards is a big thing, and entire airframe is stretched, internal weight is greatly redistributed etc. Mk-2 is not a simple Block upgrade to Mk-1. In fact differences between Mk-1/1A and Mk-2 will be greater than differences between Gripen D and E as far as structure goes.
As of avionics, there is no guarantee that Mk-2 will use the same Israeli 2052 and EW suite that Mk-1A uses. There will be a new RFI/RFP/RFQ process and for what we know, Mk-2 could just as well end up with a totally different manufacturer and product for FCR and EW suite than Mk-1A.
Not to mention we have to test entirely new pieces of avionics which don't exist on Mk-1A like IRST.
You were expecting it 2 years earlier in the other thread.
I said LUH - the single engine utility chopper. First flight in Sep 2016, been over 2 years and still no IOC.
When you consider all the systems & weapons integration we have to do without having a pre-planned indutsry-led design effort (we have no clue who will provide the radar, who will provide the EW suite, who will provide IRST etc., everything is left to tendering process to decide), we will end up with a very similar timeframe for development.
Weirdly enough, the Mk2 is the same as Mk1 but with canards and stabs and changes to the fuselage and landing gear.
Obviously can't be compared to how many changes the E has seen compared to the D.
Mk2 will use Uttam and UEWS. Uttam is being tested on LSP-2 and UEWS on PV-1. There won't be an international tender like in the case of Mk1A.
IRST will be developed for MKI first. So when Mk2 gets IRST, it will be based on a finished product.
DAC approves development of IRST for Su–30MKI
According to the press statement issued by the Ministry, the approval was "for undertaking Design and Development of the Long Range Dual Band Infrared Imaging Search and Track System (IRST) for Su-30 MKI aircraft under 'Make II' sub category and subsequently, for procurement of at least 100 IRSTs under 'Buy (Indian-IDDM) category."
What? No. I've always said that ADA said they need 3 years to flight test the Mk2 and we need to add 2 more years over their schedule to cater for delays. How will I personally reduce ADA's fixed schedule? One can only increase it.
My bad there. LUH is single engine, so even this comes with its own set of problems. Plus, I think they had to wait for a year to finish high altitude tests 'cause they ended up finishing development just after winter ended last year. With cold trials done, they can release the 3rd prototype and get the full certification.
It's already been decided who's gonna deliver what. The design has already been frozen after all.
How can an aircraft have 75cms fuselage for an engine that itself has a fan diameter of 79cms? Fuselage width of LCA Mk1 is 1.9m at intakes and its tube structure or the main fuselage is 1.3m. Mig-21 had a tube of 1.15m.Fuselage width increased from 750 mm mk1 to 1100 mm in Mk2 .
Source Dileep at BR
With gun moving away, and increased width How many hard points possible in fuselage ?
How can an aircraft have 75cms fuselage for an engine that itself has a fan diameter of 79cms? Fuselage width of LCA Mk1 is 1.9m at intakes and its tube structure or the main fuselage is 1.3m. Mig-21 had a tube of 1.15m.
Fuselage width increased from 750 mm mk1 to 1100 mm in Mk2 .
Source Dileep at BR
With gun moving away, and increased width How many hard points possible in fuselage ?
that's a 30% inrease!
Which are?
Well to be honest even the Mk-1 was supposed to have an indigenous radar originally. IMO, it's very likely even Mk-2 will have to procure at least an interim batch of foreign FCR.
I still wonder if this report isn't gross misreportation. The products on offer are unlikely to be anything but licensed European/Russian IRSTs manufactured in India by an Indian private/public company with 40% locally-made content.
What you said was to the tune of Mk-2 receiving IOC at same time as FCAS TD flies - 2025.
The takeaway in each case is always that each aircraft is it's own product and the testing of X equipment on some other plane at some other time will shorten the testing process on this plane is often a misplaced belief, as each plane comes with its own integration challenges.
Nah, we only now decided what parts Mk-1A will have. Assuming all the parts on Mk-2 will be indigenous (and by extension already been decided) is premature. Making the same mistake we always make.
Landing gear and fuselage.
Mk1 has an indigenous radar.
Sure. But the radar itself can be production ready. Unlike Mk1, where development of radar and avionics happened side by side the flight testing of Mk1. Once the radar itself is certified, the flight testing on a new aircraft will take less than a year.
Whatchu talkin' 'bout? Design is frozen after you decide what all will go into it. So Mk2's radar, EW suite etc have all been finalised already. Once everything is decided, then you produce the prototype and flight test it.
LCA Mk1 was a TD program for most of its flight testing. It became a fighter program only after 2008.
So it's the exact opposite of the "same mistake we always make".
Mk-2 will undergo considerable changes to both as well, especially internally. In fact I won't be surprised if Mk-2 has to adopt NLCA's landing gear.
Was meant to have one with no 2032 elements.
Between now and the time Mk-2 prototype is ready for flight, a lot will change. And between the commencing of flight tests and IOC, a lot more could change. Mk-1 components are still changing today. Radome & Canopy for example.
The designs of airframe is frozen does not mean the LRUs are decided upon. As far as LRUs such as radar, EW suite, MAWS, etc. go, no one has said anything about anything being chosen. We can ofcourse assume that it will be this and this but the developers themselves haven't really chosen anything.
The Uttam has only begun testing on aircraft last year, until this goes on to meet IAF's requirements in a post-2025 scenario, we can't say this will be the radar for Mk-2. Same goes for EW suite and everything else.
Obviously not. Carrier landing gears are entirely different.
Mk2 will undergo significant change compared to Mk1. But it's not as radical as Gripen D to E.
The radar is indigenous, the radar processor is Israeli.
Such minor changes don't cause delays.
What they have for Mk2 now is what the IAF will operate after 2025, including Uttam and UEWS.
All LRUs, all avionics will have to be decided before a design is frozen. Cockpit, radar, EW suite, weapons, engine, everything is finalised in the Detailed Design Phase and only then will prototype construction begin in the Engineering Phase.
Adding or removing something after development begins is almost never done and typically requires a brand new process, like Mk1A or the Mk1's LSP. This requires a whole new design phase again.
Uttam and UEWS are meant for Mk2. The IAF has already accepted both.