Ukraine - Russia Conflict
- Thread starter randomradio
- Start date
Big change in plans. Unlike what was considered the game plan earlier , where Russia was thought to be content taking Eastern Ukraine, it's now being speculated not without basis that they plan to invade the whole of Ukraine given the wide spread attacks all across Ukraine & if possible Moldova too though the latter is a bit of a stretch but wth, it's 2022 . Putin can be forgiven his hubris.
That will lead to an Afghanistan like Situation , which will only cause Logistics problem and Casualties for Russians
So the best thing is to Teach A Lesson to Ukraine
Once their Military is crippled ,.they wont dare to poke Russia with threats of Joining NATO
I've said my wife that without any help Kiev will be russian on Sunday and since the main contributor of OTAN won't give any more help entirely focusing Taïwan and Japan then Europe will be alone to face Putin (with the wonder F-35 and an asthonishing fleet of nearly how many F-35 ?)
Europe & Europeans are different breed, they dont do things like what asians & Muslims doing. There may be some minor unrest, but there wont be an insurgency like we saw in middle east or Afghanistan.
Your AMCA, TEDBF, LCA Mk2 will die, LCA Mk1 &1a will be needing Truck to move it from one place to other.
The Best thing about Chinese Aggression , Russian Aggression
And Taliban victory is that Foolish WOKE LIBERALS in India
USA and Europe will realize
The importance of Hard Power
Today an NDTV journalist
Vikram Chandra was praising former PM Vajpayee for Nuclear Tests
Putin has really strengthened Russian Conventional Forces
First Syria and Now Ukraine
And Taliban victory is that Foolish WOKE LIBERALS in India
USA and Europe will realize
The importance of Hard Power
Today an NDTV journalist
Vikram Chandra was praising former PM Vajpayee for Nuclear Tests
Putin has really strengthened Russian Conventional Forces
First Syria and Now Ukraine
If USA wants to break relations with India then it can go to hell
We will take Russian and French help , BUT what about QUAD
USA also wants to Contain China
And for that India is necessary
Russia will overun entire Ukraine and destroy it's conventional military.
Once they are done, they will probably retreat towards the east of Dnieper river and to the south and create a new country.
Russian forces already landed east of Ukrainian capital.
Those who are interested in this conflict, follow this Teligram channel
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t.me
Yeah, I called it years ago, that Europe is going to have to protect itself on its own, the US is gonna be far too busy dealing with China, and later India.
Give it 10 more years, see for yourself where Russia will be by then.
Nothing's gonna happen to those programs. CAATSA is only for future deals. Existing contracts will be honoured.
And by the time we make any CAATSA related transaction, like the Su-57, we will be in the 2030s before it's applied. 'Cause CAATSA is applied after taking delivery.
The only reason United states choose to concentrate on Europe was due to the fact that great power competition was centered around Europe. With the rise of China, those dynamics completely changed. Now struggle for global dominance is in indo-Pacific and US will have to deploy most of its combat strength in indo-Pacific to stand any chance in that struggle.
We had signed only for 99 uprated GE engines, its not adequate for all those mentioned programs.
Without US help, forget about countering china, forget about Ladakh too.
You should think about the timeframe. The only deals pending with Russia are upgrade deals and a possible follow-on contract to the S-400. None of these will trigger CAATSA. Only Su-57 can potentially trigger CAATSA, if the US wants it to, and at least I'm not expecting a signature until 2028-29 and deliveries beginning from 2032-33. By then, LCA Mk1A would have long finished production, Mk2 would be half way through, TEDBF will be beginning production and AMCA would have moved on to a new engine. All the necessary engine contracts would have finished by then already.
Anyway CAATSA isn't for India, it's for all the scrubs who depend on imports, particularly the Arabs and SE Asians.
We will not need the US by then. By 2032-33, we will be amongst the richest countries around in terms of GDP. Enough to become our own side.
That's it. Instead of abstinence for nearly 2 yrs now , I'm going to start boozing every night . Preferably 8 pm onwards ( pun absolutely horrible & unintended ) . I knew there was something missing in my life . I've just figured out what it is .
Forget the US standing up to China, even Europe will have to contribute in the Pacific. Plus they will need to handle Russia all on their own.
It's not gonna be a good time for the European budget. I suppose the party is ending.
On the contrary there's no better time to maintain status quo in defense budgets. Lean on the US to enhance security by committing more men & material. Halt NATO expansion using the same logic bankers do not to lend to the needy. The bear has eaten it's prey. Digesting it will take some time or a lot of time. If I were in Germany I'd sleep a content man coz threats keep a man awake not the deed per se which is now done.
This article should never have been there a few days ago. But it shows two aspects less visible until now of the passage in a block world.
- the stopping of the exchange of identification information in this case concerning the ships which is a problem in itself and its corollary the stopping of the follow-up of these ships.
- the stopping of the respect of the procedures allowing the exchange of goods and in particular the passage to the customs (whose preliminary is a tracking) and especially the insurance.
www.navalnews.com
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
Copy of a message sent today to BFM radio about the lack of depth of their analysis regarding the invasion of Ukraine:
Hello,
I was listening this morning to the analysis concerning the invasion of Ukraine and I am surprised to see how lacking in depth it is. There is not much effort left to take into account all the signs that Russia has sent.
No sanctions will have any impact. Putin is waiting for these sanctions, he even wants them. He wants to disconnect the Russian economy from Western financial flows. He just needs an alibi. He does not need SWIFT.
He also wants to disconnect Russia from the global data flows. He is ready, your computer specialist mentioned this possibility already this morning.
www.lefigaro.fr
Finally, he wants to disconnect Russia from the flow of raw materials.
He thinks he can compensate for this with China and India.
If you follow my thinking, this means that all Western economies are exposed, not only Europe. Also the US and in particular GAFAM.
Russia is much less isolated than it seems. It could count on the industrial and technological capacity of China of course, but we can add to this a part of the Latin American countries, Algeria and a certain number of other countries which would prefer to exchange in a different normative framework than the US.
Conversely, bstaying in the middle of both block India could be the great beneficiary of this new world.
The block economy has begun, why not talk about it so that everyone can make anticipations in the right direction?
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
- the stopping of the exchange of identification information in this case concerning the ships which is a problem in itself and its corollary the stopping of the follow-up of these ships.
- the stopping of the respect of the procedures allowing the exchange of goods and in particular the passage to the customs (whose preliminary is a tracking) and especially the insurance.
Unseenlabs reveals ships that vanished from conventional geolocation systems - Naval News
Since early November, more and more vessels navigating in Chinese waters are disappearing from the tracking systems normally used in maritime transport, likely following the introduction of the new Chinese law on the protection of personal information, which came into effect last 1st November.
www.navalnews.com
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
Copy of a message sent today to BFM radio about the lack of depth of their analysis regarding the invasion of Ukraine:
Hello,
I was listening this morning to the analysis concerning the invasion of Ukraine and I am surprised to see how lacking in depth it is. There is not much effort left to take into account all the signs that Russia has sent.
No sanctions will have any impact. Putin is waiting for these sanctions, he even wants them. He wants to disconnect the Russian economy from Western financial flows. He just needs an alibi. He does not need SWIFT.
He also wants to disconnect Russia from the global data flows. He is ready, your computer specialist mentioned this possibility already this morning.
La Russie renforce son contrôle d'Internet
Le pays vient de bloquer six VPN, ces logiciels permettant d'accéder à des sites interdits en Russie, comme ceux liés à l'opposant Alexeï Navalny.
www.lefigaro.fr
Finally, he wants to disconnect Russia from the flow of raw materials.
He thinks he can compensate for this with China and India.
If you follow my thinking, this means that all Western economies are exposed, not only Europe. Also the US and in particular GAFAM.
Russia is much less isolated than it seems. It could count on the industrial and technological capacity of China of course, but we can add to this a part of the Latin American countries, Algeria and a certain number of other countries which would prefer to exchange in a different normative framework than the US.
Conversely, bstaying in the middle of both block India could be the great beneficiary of this new world.
The block economy has begun, why not talk about it so that everyone can make anticipations in the right direction?
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
