Disclaimer: no interest in fighting anyone, but at this point, one wonders if up is down, and everything's a lie.
The only way they win is by trying to steal the election.
Seriously, never mind the massive overperformance the dems have had in every single election up and down the ballot for the past 2 years, never mind the utterly confounding lack of political organisation or any ground game within the repubs, or the fact that the rnc is basically a slowing one man act with trump's inexperienced sycophants and relatives running the show, or trump's increasingly empty (and increasingly infrequent) rallies in the mid west, or trump's severe lag in small dollar fundraising.
Oh, and also never mind the fact that trump's margins in the blue wall (mi, wi, pa) combined in 2016 (his pathway to victory) was half that of biden's margin in mi alone. And of course, never mind the fact that trump's worse than biden at this point, with the way he was slurring his way through the elon musk twitter thing.
The only reason trump would lose in november is because the dems will steal the election.
George HW Bush won a landslide in 1988, and went on to lose to Clinton in 1992. But for some reason, the chosen messiah, who barely won in 2016, lost in 2020, couldn't also lose in 2024.
Oh, and for the inflation argument, it was far more potent in 2022 (with cpi at its peak and every economist and their dog, pretty sure including the resident experts here, predicting an inevitable recession), but the dems still expanded their senate majority in the mid terms and barely lost the house. Since then, there's been no recession, job growth's been pretty good, real wages have risen pretty fast and business and consumer sentiments have held up well.
Probably, just like how the divine non biological supreme leader's mandate was reduced from 400 to 240 despite sab changa si, its all a ukraine left wing woke lgbtq muslim illegal immigrant brown black dei climate change pizzagate conspiracy. Maybe include jewish space lasers and lizardmen as well.
Anyway, given the record of the resident experts here at predicting stuff, its best to wait for the actual results (yeah, the stolen ones) in november.