Pahalgam terror attack: 26 killed

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Ginvincible said:
A lot of people in this thread are calling for the disintegration of the Pakistani state. Is it in India's interest to dismantle Pakistan if they can't guarantee the safety of the nukes? I feel like that is a tall order that everyone is glossing over or outright dismissing.

Right now, there is a huge divide between the military establishment and the average Pakistani. The military government is only interested in looting the country. They are stoking religious fervor to keep the masses distracted. I don't believe they genuinely wish for war because it would threaten their golden hen. I don't think they buy the kool-aid of a great ghazwa or whatever either.

For better or worse, the Pakistani military establishment has incentive to not use nukes and keep Pakistan backwards and destitute. India will have to just accept the minor low-level terrorism and diplomatic needling until it has such overwhelming economic/technologic strength to deal with Pakistan in 1 go.

The alternative is a 250M strong fanatic rabble with nukes sitting on your border. Better to deal with the devil you know, right?
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My post hinges on the belief that nukes are gone. Possibly 'cause we took them away and disposed of them and dismantled their reactor infrastructure, if not the Americans.

Yeah, the PA is a rational actor, the fanatics are not. But the fanatics cannot organize a conventional offensive. So, without nukes around, the fanatics are the better option than an organized army.

We can always fund economic development, and more definitely getting them to start reading the Quran in Urdu. Time can potentially moderate them when a new generation feels there is a need to connect with the wider world, like what Saudi is doing.
 
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Innominate said:
And if it's not? What if it's nothing but a token strike to make sure it doesn't provoke Pakistan from escalating. Can Modi survive politically.
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Modi will survive politically even if this fails. The opposition is lead by a half-breed buffoon who can't differentiate between his *censored* and his mouth. There's no one that can threaten Modi. And Modi is targeting this for Bihar state elections. He will make sure it's a PR victory of epic proportions.
 
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