12 is pointless. You can't do anything with such a small number.
You need 12 just to train pilots and create tactics.
12 is a good number to start and buy time in the coming years , and can be imported in fly off condition. Russians can produce 12 per year. MKIzed one can follow, another 12 once ready. Total 24. It's a good number.
It will take them 7-8 years after first flight to get to FOC, and then they need to concentrate on the Pacific front first before bringing numbers over to the Indian side. That's closer to 2040. By which time we will also have ordered SCAF/GCAP, not just AMCA.
7-8 years that's for 6th gen aircraft, and India will take another 15 years to induct it's first 5th gen aircraft. We can with best of the hopes can say, 5.5 Gen aircraft due to advance avionics.
Only hopes about SCAP/GCAP, there is no formal plan yet.
Buy 2030 you will be getting all the 12 dual use trainers in fly off condition and by 2035 you will have MKIzed versions too.So, 12 jets are not sufficient. If we are to buy more, it has to be the two-seat, plus MKIzed. Assuming the two-seat is ready in 2030, MKIzation alone will take 7 years before IOC. And then another 2-3 years before FOC. That takes us to 2040. That's why it's pointless.
Even if we choose single-seat, it will take until 2030 to mature and at least 2040 before it's FOC'd to IAF standards. Same timetable.
And we have to see if the two-seat comes with Izd 30 or still stuck with 177, which makes the jet extremely underpowered in Indian conditions.
By 2030 we will know the status of AMCA and the engine, so we can make the Su-57/60 purchase decision then.
FOC can work simultaneously, when it comes in fly off condition then very less to do. It won't take years, it's just a matter of 4-5 months until full forward deployment.
About the Izd 30, the Russians are offering it with good TOT along SU57E.
AMCA has issues with the timeline, supply chain, production chain and engine which won't be realized until 2035. And Until 2035 if you stick with Su57E plan, mkized one, you will have one SQN ready .
You don't have to buy 100 Su57E, just buy 24 like you bought Rafales.
Problem with AMCA is the engine and production chain. Nothing else.
Acquiring the F-35
F35 is crap.
16 air bases? That's peanuts. Plus they have just 6 air bases for fighters in Tibet. Those other 9-10 bases are helicopter and missile bases. This is how they trick people.
16 as of now and the number would increase to 24 and more with the time with capacity of 100 aircrafts on each base.
And they can't defeat physics. In Tibet, the loss of engine thrust is as high as 40-50%. They need very long runways to operate, and they have so few such runways that we can bomb them to bits. And they can only perform air defense with limited fuel loads.
Thrust issue depends on payload as well as you mentioned, and they have already built airfields with extended runways. With l BVR engagement with LR AAM and their air defence they are a big threat.






