The Tense Situation between India and Bangladesh can Spiral into An Armed Conflict , Anytime in near future
Hence I have created a New Thread
@Ashwin
Hence I have created a New Thread
@Ashwin
Bangladesh on edge: Massive protests erupt after Sharif Osman Hadi's death
- Thread starter STEPHEN COHEN
- Start date
Osman Hadi Shot
He was Talking of Greater Bangladesh
He was Talking of Greater Bangladesh
India Summons Bangladesh High Commissioner
Mohammad Yunus , their Chief Administrator instigating attacks on India by blaming India for Domestic Political Turmoil
A question regarding law. If two countries go to war officially.. what happens their citizens living in each other's side. Like bangladeshi on our side and some indians in Bangladesh.
Are they given time to leave? If they don't after set period.. are they considered as an adversary? And what about those bangladeshi supporting bangladesh openly in the conflict, while living in India. Is that grounds for conviction? And what about Indian nationals supporting enemy ? Protests, flags, rallies etc. during an ongoing official conflict.
If India is at war,the Union will declare an emergency and those protests and rallies will be crushed.
Provocation by Bangladesh is just ruse, real question is that whether Younus is trying to shift the elections there or some big game is about to unfold.
This closely resembles Mohamed Muizzu's "India Out" campaign in the Maldives. It appears to be more of a political stunt than any actual anti-India terrorist actions coming from Bangladesh. Lately, there hasn't been any terrorist activity reported from Bangladesh, so we should be okay with their new defense purchases. Social media platforms like X and YouTube are currently overflowing with conspiracy theories on just about everything. For now, we need to stay alert.
They have A Very strong Desire to fight with India OR as they say in Military matters -- No lack of INTENT
And Pakistan along with China will build up their capabilities
They don't know the destruction caused by Artillery Shells and 500 pound Bombs
So unless they are punished in a conflict, they won't Stop their Anti India Rhetoric
This war-mongering rhetoric is only coming from poltical and some defense enthusiast sitting with a keyboard on social media, I need to hear something from their armed forces head similar to Pakistan.
Agreed. I see no reports of movement along the bordering areas. Additionally, when it comes to conventional warfare BD options are limited in comparison to Pakistan. It would be foolish for them to tackle domestic issues in a similar manner as the Pakistanis (project strength outwards). The armed forces there are aware of the kind of fire power that they have and the kind of weapon systems that they have in inventory.
Bangladesh is relying on its misguided youths. Using terrorist threat as leverage and deterrence. It will work untill the first bullet is fired.
Begum Khaleda Zia is critical & her son Tarique Rahman isn't being permitted entry into BD. Instead there were news reports in the last few days of her being flown out of BD ostensibly for advanced treatment.
Having said that , it must be noted she's already on the ventilator. I leave you to draw your own conclusions. Tarique Rahman has been absconding from BD for the past decade & a half thanks to the various charges trumped up or otherwise foisted on him by the AL government.
One would've thought with the departure of SHW last year , he'd be allowed back into BD. He wasn't. In retrospect one can see why Yunus & his backers scheduled the election 1.5 years away after the overthrow of SHW.
Khaleda Zia has been ailing since quite some time. The calculation always has been to wait for her to kick the bucket while ensuring the BNP is rudderless by preventing Tarique Rahman from entering BD. With the AL banned from participation in the election , the BNP remains the only real roadblock.
However this doesn't factor in public support for the BNP in case elections are held as scheduled & Khaleda Zia kicks the bucket in between. Of course this is assuming that elections will be held as scheduled & they will be both free & fair. Then again this is BD we're talking about.
Our best bet remains the liberal section of society which is a real phenomenon in BD unlike in Paxtan where they're confined to select drawing rooms & television studios.
This section has been in the vanguard of the 1971 freedom struggle & has been the real backbone of the AL. A significant section of this group had been alienated by the AL's high handedness , corruption , ineptitude , incompetency , nepotism etc .
However now that the alternative - the Jamaatis & Hefazatis have shown their true colours , this section can return to the AL or throw in their lot with the BNP which is fast turning into a foe of their esrtwhile allies the Jamaatis.
India'd also be watching the BNP with renewed interest to see if it can take the place of the AL to safeguard our interests there . The BNP itself has no choice . It stands isolated with the powers that be which is not well disposed to them even if it enjoys massive support from the electorate.
Hats off to the Islamists - the Jamaatis & Hefazatis there . They've pulled off a massive coup by isolating the AL & undermining the BNP. All along they never enjoyed mass support piggy backing on the BNP for electoral success.
Now that they've tasted power , they won't hesitate to do away with their foes - the AL & their former partners in crime the BNP. However they do face a formidable challenge in the aforementioned liberal lobby in BD who've traditionally opposed the religious & conservative elements there tooth and nail.
It's this section we ought to be nurturing & cultivating for if push came to shove , this group has the potential to initiate a civil war in BD. Better a civil war in BD than us initiating military action against them & alienating 150 million malaun lungi sub humans in addition to the 30-60 million here.
Like Paxtan let them sort each other out & we can mop up the rest. In any case we've much bigger fish to fry in the interim.