The DP has not issued any statements so far. Plenty of RUMINT going around along with the usual unconfirmed reports.
Explosion near Red Fort: At least 9 dead, several injured in blast
- Thread starter Defc0n
- Start date
The DP has not issued any statements so far. Plenty of RUMINT going around along with the usual unconfirmed reports.
Yup. First we need to wait for confirmation. If it takes some time for the government to confirm or deny whether it's a terror attack, then thats a redflag. If it's a terror attack by LeT or JeM, goverment shouldn't confirm it right away. They should only confirm it the moment operation sindoor is restarted. If ist confirmed and then there is a delay in restarting Sindoor, enemy will most likely to go for a preemptive strike. I don't think they are going to wait for us to strike first this time around.
This is a terrorist attack. No doubt. Now only traces to its origin needs to be established and nuetralised. Both homegrown and external. Homegrown meaning rackets inside india
We are already within that window. Pak knows who did it (if they did it). I will not be surprised if we see some kind of a preemptive action even if we don't officially put out the cause.
They are already prepared and so are we. Unlikely that the Pakistanis will move first along LoC or IB - If this was a IED, they already struck. Denial is what will be issued out of Islamabad and they will wait for us to hit them. The cycle will repeat like round 1. Sindoor is already on and does not need a restart.
Can go both ways. Mind you we have Muneer as the man making decisions. He can cite our doctrine and say they preempted an imminent Indian offensive.
This says a lot, people were present in the car when it blew up.
Sure, that can always happen. I do not expect a fixed doctrine from the Pakistanis. They are the 'dump truck' on the highway with the driver high on 'Churan'.
I think that will be a dificult sell diplomatically and diplomacy do matter in war. At that point there will be no burden on India to prove that it's a Pakistani sponsored terror attack. We are attacked unprovoked and hence we are at war.
On the other hand, if we confirm the attack and point finger at Pakistan, enemy can justify it's preemptive strike and sell it better diplomatically.
Lets play Devils Advocate 
Indian Leaders give strong statements.
Indian Service chiefs and top commanders give strong statements.
India does massive exercises all across the board.
India's forces are primed up for action - readiness levels not seen in years.
Suddenly a car bomb goes off in the high security area near Red Fort.
You see how this looks to an uninformed mid level bureaucrat who has to prepare the morning brief in a European capital?
Pak was crying false flag since September. They are going to be dancing outside of UN headquarters in NY to the beats of the old Bollywood number - Dede Pyar De waving their statements.
Someone in Delhi ordered a mop up of known cells that were being tracked to see how deep the rot went. Over the weekend, roundups happened all over. This caused a knee jerk reaction in a cell and boom !!!!
@_Anonymous_ - I dont like this but its looking like this is the start of 2.0. I would have liked a cleaner start with formalities done but sigh.. our neighbours just dont play decent.
Indian Leaders give strong statements.
Indian Service chiefs and top commanders give strong statements.
India does massive exercises all across the board.
India's forces are primed up for action - readiness levels not seen in years.
Suddenly a car bomb goes off in the high security area near Red Fort.
You see how this looks to an uninformed mid level bureaucrat who has to prepare the morning brief in a European capital?
Pak was crying false flag since September. They are going to be dancing outside of UN headquarters in NY to the beats of the old Bollywood number - Dede Pyar De waving their statements.
Someone in Delhi ordered a mop up of known cells that were being tracked to see how deep the rot went. Over the weekend, roundups happened all over. This caused a knee jerk reaction in a cell and boom !!!!
@_Anonymous_ - I dont like this but its looking like this is the start of 2.0. I would have liked a cleaner start with formalities done but sigh.. our neighbours just dont play decent.
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Would have mattered in the past, like when we actually tried to show Pakistan the terrorists on their side are responsible for attacks on India. For the last three cases, we didn't bother proving anything to Pakistan as that is futile. We did what we had to do. With that precedent, the above hardly matters.
Meanwhile,
Pakistan isn't the target audiance. We did briefed the rest of the world including P5, EU and allied in Asia and Gulf states last 3 times. Diplomatically for pakistan, a preemptive strike by Pakistan without India confirming it as terror attack will be a dificult.
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You could very well be correct. It is just that expecting rational behaviour from Muneer is an expectation that I don't have. Pakistan's justification will be simple, self preservation in the face of an imminent Indian offensive.
MoD should ignore the MEA and make a move. Diplomacy can be done alongside operations. The entire country in under NOTAM anyhow. Let's see what the PM does.
Here we go again. Om Shanti for all those who succumbed to this heinous possible terrorist attack (which it most certainly is. Let's hope, our establishment stay true by their words. Though I don't think we are going to immediately attack Pakistan because they certainly would be on high alert.
By the way it was the same vehicle that exploded today that was used in Pulwama SVBIED attack in 2019 (Pic below recovered after investigations into the terrorist cell)
