This is going into the claim and counterclaim realm again.
ACM Dhanoa said the targets were hit. AVM Kapoor said revealing casualties now will be "premature". Pakistan claimed no targets were hit.
Pak claimed the PAF strike package's targets were empty fields. India claimed the target was the Brigade HQ, and the PAF jets missed their targets.
I'm gonna believe what my forces say, you will believe yours. We will just go around in circles from here on.
Also, no, one wouldn't target a Brigade HQ in exchange for some trees. But of course, you will say the Brigade HQ wasn't the target. Circle.
Except that we have evidence that the said target was not hit. As I said before, I'm not going by anyone's claims here. Just irrefutable evidence.
Regarding PAF's strike, there is no evidence available yet. However, PA actually claimed that they hit 'non-military' targets. India claimed that they hit within the Indian military installation compounds, but didn't do any damage. Given that PAF utilized H-4 SOWs (evidence present), it is believable that PAF's strike was a shot across the bow...a very carefully calibrated proportional response, to what we believe IAF's strike was.
It doesn't matter what it is, it's all conjecture right now after all.
Btw, thermobaric bombs come in all sizes, from tank and artillery shells to MOAB, FOAB and everything in between.
FWIW:
No, it is not conjecture, only speculation with the intention to justify your claim, on your part.
I know they do, the thing is IAF used a very specific size. Thats the basis of the entire argument.
Why is the 2000 pound number so that important? Once you have a penetration warhead you can get the job at a fraction of that size. Besides I don’t see why an armed force with a 50 billlion usd budget won’t have 2000 pound munition in service. The question you have asked is strange, the question should be did they use it or not.
The number is important because Pakistan has evidence of SPICE-2000 SOWs being employed for the strike. SPICE-2000 is compatible
ONLY with 2000lbs munitions. I would be happy to be proven wrong.
And I didn't say IAF didn't have a 2000lbs (general purpose/penetration) munition. I asked, does IAF have a 2000lbs
ANTI-PERSONNEL munition, the kind which leaves non-hardened structures intact?
The devil is always in the details.
Before "Surgical Strike" become a PR thing and a bollywood movie, from what I know, this was a permanent fixture of military engagement from both the sides on LoC.
That said air strike is a new development.
Indeed. In the Indo-Pak context, I've observed that the truth is always somewhere in between the two lies. While India politicized and claimed brouhaha regarding the 2016 cross-border raids, Pakistan denied them in their entirety. Cross border raids were nothing new, what changed was, this time it was a synchronized raid at 5-6 locations, with the intent to cause military and non-military casualties.
We did not miss the target instead to make sure we first released the first set of bombs and when dust cloud got settled second set of bombs were released.
Oohh, when is THIS movie being released? Is it possible to pre-order tickets?
If it comes to the point of armed terrorists with "no supervision " & potentially armed with NWP, it ceases to be India's problem exclusively and automatically becomes a world problem. As it is the question of snakes being raised in ones backyard only biting those it was raised to act against has been proved false. That was always going to happen as any student of history will tell you. It's the TTP now. What's to prevent the JeM or LeT not going rogue some years down the line? The question being even if you were to come to terms with India & Afghanistan what will you do with this ever growing lot of illiterate , radicalised youth with little or no chance of being absorbed into the economy in a productive manner.
I guess we'd just have to steel ourselves just as Israel has done in the West Bank. Build perimeters, constantly monitor them, be vigilant, use state of the art technologies and if in spite of all this we face casualties ( which is inevitable) unleash hell on the attackers and their constituency.
I absolutely agree that Pakistan HAS to stop supporting these 'strategic assets', NOW. They only work for their interests aka money. There is no guarantee that they will not turn against Pakistan, as evident by the attack JeM carried out on Musharraf when he tried to uproot them.
Regarding Israel/Palestine situation, one has to visualize the scale of it if the same thing happens here. We have witnessed first-hand what a mass migration does to the host country. Where do you think the Kalashnikov culture came from?
Imagine the dismembered factions of PA as the aggressors you face today. Imagine the amount and skill of them, and their new recruits. Imagine them being armed with whatever was left over and not dismantled. Imagine living in the constant fear, everyday, that somewhere in a busy city, the Geiger counters will start going off.
It will never be worth it. One way or the other, Pakistan will take the region down with it if provoked. For a long time, my signature elsewhere was:
"Ham tou doobay hain sanam,
Tum ko bhi lay doobain gaay"
But you can be sure of one thing, if more Pulwamas are going to be a staple feature, you're going to see a return to the post Lal Masjid scenario too. Only this time, with all your neighbors as antagonists, the world opinion led by the US being staunchly against you and the internal cleavages in your nation being more pronounced. Add to that a floundering economy. See if the choice is between inciting and prolonging a civil war within Pakistan to seeing a wholesale export of these elements in the neighborhood, I don't need to tell you what the choice of your neighbors is going to be.
Agreed. What the gullible public doesn't realizes, is that state-sponsored terrorism exists on both sides of the border. The difference is, Pakistan does it somewhat openly and in an amateur way, and India does it in a very concealed manner, always remaining in the shadows. In fact I expect some sort of TTP regrouping and some boarding tickets to Jannat being issued right now, as retaliation to Pulwama.
Pakistan has very limited options right now, and it must act.