I diasgree with him, so does IAF & GOI. Su-57s are going to come in huge numbers(read around 200) along with more S-400s and S-500s like I said last year. Maybe, by now you should have known that I'm
The Oracle and what I say happens
( LCA 1A&2 + AMCA + Ghatak + CATS Hunter + SU-30MkI + 36 rafale )
: 3-5 years gap ( the risk)
: A risk induces urgency for reforms and acceptance by public, pressuring vested interest who see risk to their backbone.
: Puts onus on DRDO and pvt players to fast track development and takes away comfortable shield of imported weapons.
: Less fiscal burden and more value addition to military industrial complex.
: Greater potential of Spin-offs and continued improvement and leading next-gen systems.
Vs
( LCA Mk1A + AMCA limited + Su-57E + Rafale+ Su-30MkI + Russian wingman)
Note:
: Imports of 57E & Rafale means reduced funding and focus on indigenous R&D.
: License production lilley kills HALs capability to take on Mk2 and future LCA concept.
: Investor momentum and confidence of local pvt players crashes down as it sends strong signal of future priority and uncertainties. Govts are likely to strong arm pvt players than foreign OEMs when it comes to funds and orders or lack thereof. Investors consider all of that before heavy investment. Same since decades
: Su-57E comes with its own loyal wingman, effectively putting Ghatak and Cats Warrior in backburner. Later you will see "indiginesation" of that wingman and some Cats Warrior as being done now because of 70 years of past import policies.
: Might see a mix of UCAV and AMCA concept, to push frugalness jugaad arising from fund crunch.
: Does IAF have the infrastructure and ecosystem in place?
Add your own points for two categories.