Indian Economy : News,Discussions & Updates

Rupee gains 17 paise in opening trade at 69.67 per dollar
MoneyControl • Nov 30, 2018 09:04 AM IST
By Moneycontrol News


The Indian rupee opened higher by 17 paise at 69.67 per dollar on Friday versus previous close 69.84.

Yesterday the rupee ended with a gain of 78 paise at against Wednesday's closing of 70.62 per dollar on the back of falling crude oil prices. This was highest closing for rupee against dollar since August 21.

The dollar-rupee December contract on the NSE was at 70.10 in the previous session. December contract open interest declined 1.50% in the previous session, said ICICIdirect.
Rupee gains 17 paise in opening trade at 69.67 per dollar

GOOD NEWS. Indian rupee breaches RS 70 to dollar now @69.67/dollar...😉😉😉


let me rub some salt on BHwarna in PDF ;)
 
let me rub some salt on BHwarna in PDF ;)
BhWarna or you may call him Pakistani BH** W*....😝😝
Rub some red chillies and lemon too from my side...😁 Tell him INR will soon retain all its lost ground and may soon be at 65/dollar, while Pakistani Rupee is at all times low @142/dollar.😉

Also Pakistani forex reserves have gone down below critical levels. Good time ahead for Pakistani economy..😁😂
 
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TAFE joins hands with Japan's ISEKI to manufacture compact tractors in India
Tractors and Farm Equipment Ltd (TAFE) on Thursday said it has inked an agreement with Japan's ISEKI & Co to manufacture compact tractors in India. ISEKI & Co is the third largest Japanese agricultural machinery manufacturer for tractors, planting and harvesting machinery and engines.

"Under this agreement, ISEKI will offer product technology to TAFE for manufacturing these products for the Indian market," the company said.

It further said the scope of the agreement will also cover sourcing of components/assemblies through TAFE, which will also sell ISEKI's premium light utility compact tractors in the 35-54 hp range in India.

The tractors will be manufactured in TAFE's Madurai plant and are expected to roll out by 2020, it added.

These multi-utility light weight tractors are suitable for puddling operations, orchard and plantations land preparation, tilling, inter-cultivation and spraying applications, among others, the company said.

Commenting on the agreement, TAFE Chairman and CEO Mallika Srinivasan said, it brings together ISEKI's global experience in light utility compact tractor segment and TAFE's strong position in the Indian market, along with its strong manufacturing capability and robust supply chain.
TAFE joins hands with Japan's ISEKI to manufacture compact tractors in India
 
India’s Q2 GDP growth rate falls to 7.1%, but retains fastest growing economy tag

The Indian economy grew at 7.1 per cent in the July-September quarter of the current fiscal, down from 8.2 percent in the previous quarter (April-June), according to government data released Friday. However, it still remained ahead of China to retain the tag of the world’s fastest-growing major economy.

In the last fiscal year, the Gross Domestic Product at constant prices (2011-12) had grown at 6.3 per cent in July-September quarter. The size of the GDP in the second quarter of 2018-19 is estimated at Rs 33.98 lakh crore, as against Rs 31.72 lakh crore a year ago, showing a growth rate of 7.1 per cent, according to the Central Statistics Office (CSO).
 
Hindustan Unilever set to be India’s top foods firm with boost from Horlicks
India’s largest consumer goods company Hindustan Unilever Ltd (HUL) is set to become the country’s largest listed foods company, powered by a ₹31,700 crore all-stock acquisition of GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Healthcare Ltd that will give the local unit of Unilever brands such as Horlicks, Boost and Viva.

The move would also help HUL make its most ambitious foray into the health and wellness space, chairman Sanjiv Mehta said. In addition, HUL will enter into a five-year contract to distribute GSK Consumer’s over-the-counter and oral health products.

“Let’s look at it from a point of a consumer—health, wellness is a big need. If you look at the nutrition deficiencies, it is massive. This squarely fits into that space. From a strategic point of view, it makes immense sense for us to get into this category. It’s a great strategic fit,” Mehta told reporters.

The market for health food drinks in India is estimated at ₹7,000 crore, according to HUL, with Horlicks accounting for around 60% of volume.

“We have very carefully examined their strengths, the claims that we will be able to make, the nutritional properties in the brand, the product, and there is a huge opportunity,” Mehta said. “Its penetration is low, but we are in a business which knows how to do market development. We are a business which knows how to do premiumization.”

The merger is subject to approvals from statutory authorities and shareholders.

This transaction values GSK Consumer at ₹31,700 crore. HUL will issue 4.39 of its own shares for every share of GSK Consumer. Following the issue of new HUL shares, Unilever’s holding in HUL would drop from 67.2% to 61.9%, the company said.

HUL will also market and distribute some brands of GSK Healthcare such as Sensodyne, Otrivin, Crocin and Eno.

“HUL will take on the distribution of all of this under a five-year contract. They get the benefits of what we do with our distribution and reach,” said Srinivas Pathak, chief financial officer, HUL. “For us, it gives us a sense of the pharma channel and a better understanding of that business.”

The company believes that its move to market and distribute GSK Consumer’s products is in line with its own focus on beauty and personal care (BPC) products.

“For us, pharmacy is an important channel from BPC perspective,” Mehta said. “There are many brands sold through chemists. Chemists lend credibility to the brands. For us, that is where the benefits will come in. For GSK, it will also give them access to the massive reach that we have.”

HUL’s products are available at more than eight million outlets in India.

After the merger, the combined revenue of HUL’s foods and refreshments business is expected to cross ₹10,000 crore, which would take HUL slightly ahead of Britannia Industries and Nestle, which reported revenues of ₹9,830 crore and ₹9,952 crore in 2017-18, respectively.

The annual revenue for ITC from its fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) business that includes home and personal care, lifestyle and stationery stood at ₹11,339.3 crore during the last fiscal. The figures for ITC’s food business on a stand-alone basis were not available.

“Post acquisition, HUL will clearly become the largest foods business, considering ITC’s core FMCG business to be slightly lower than ₹10,000 crore,” said Abneesh Roy, research analyst at Edelweiss Securities Ltd.

For HUL India, foods and refreshments contribute 18% of the revenue, whereas the proportion for parent Unilever is 41.7%.

HUL will further increase penetration with a focus on rural markets and emerging channels while expanding its offerings in the fast-growing premium segment. It believes that customer development will be a growth multiplier, given its network. It expects the business to grow in double digits in the medium term and margins to be accretive to HUL, said the company.

Separately, at a press conference in New Delhi, David Redfern, chief strategy officer for GlaxoSmithKline Plc, said his company would focus purely on the pharmaceutical business. He said that after its acquisition of Swiss pharma giant Novartis earlier this year, GSK’s health food business focus on India and Bangladesh became less important.

Redfern said the company would continue to invest in pharmaceuticals, vaccines, oral healthcare and over-the-counter business.
Hindustan Unilever set to be India’s top foods firm with boost from Horlicks
 
India PMI: Rise in new export orders is welcome, but sustenance key
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Improvement in overall new orders was driven by increased new export orders. Graphic: Mint

Business activity in India’s manufacturing sector increased in November, courtesy a surge in new orders. As a result, the Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose to an 11-month high of 54 in November from 53.1 in October. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while one below that threshold points towards a contraction.

As per the survey, new orders expanded at the second-fastest rate in over two years, only slower than that seen in December 2017. Further, the expansion in total new orders was supported by greater sales to international markets. Growth of new export work quickened to the fastest in just under four years, as producers reportedly received bulk orders from clients in key export destinations, said the survey report.

Considering that a full-fledged trade war has been one of the key concerns for Indian companies, the rise in new export orders is welcome. However, the key question is whether this will sustain, given that the US and China have agreed to defer additional tariffs only temporarily.

As for input prices, they moderated in November and increased sales helped companies raise output prices. This is likely to provide some respite to the operating margins of manufacturers, who have been reeling under cost pressures.

Meanwhile, business sentiment among Indian manufacturers improved from October’s 20-month low, with companies forecasting better market conditions in the coming 12 months.

“The relatively weak demand environment seen earlier in the year showed signs of abating, with clients unfazed by another round of increases in output prices and placing more orders regardless. Correspondingly, goods producers rebuilt raw material stocks in order to guard against possible delivery delays and fulfil contracts. Manufacturers further drew down their finished goods stocks to meet demand. This, coupled with improved business sentiment, should ensure that production continues to rise at a robust clip as we head towards 2019,” said Pollyanna De Lima, principal economist at IHS Markit and author of the report.
India PMI: Rise in new export orders is welcome, but sustenance key
 
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India’s factory activity in November expands at fastest pace in 2018
India’s factory activity in November expanded at the fastest pace this year, buoyed by a rise in domestic and foreign demand that allowed firms to raise prices, a private survey showed. Monday’s survey bolsters views that business activity in Asia’s third-largest economy continues to recover from a slowdown and indicated that risks from rising inflation pressure would not dissuade the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) from tightening monetary policy again.

The Nikkei Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), compiled by IHS Markit, rose to 54.0 last month from October’s 53.1, confounding median expectations in a Reuters poll for a fall to 52.6. It held above the 50-point threshold mark that separates growth from contraction for the 16th straight month.

“The relatively weak demand environment seen earlier in the year showed signs of abating, with clients unfazed by another round of increases in output prices and placing more orders regardless,” noted Pollyanna De Lima, a principal economist at IHS Markit.

Separately, data on Friday showed India’s annual pace of economic growth moderated to 7.1% in the July-September quarter, from 8.2% in the previous three months.

The pace was pulled down by a slowdown in consumer spending and farm growth at a time Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government turns its attention to an election due by May.

The latest survey showed the new orders sub-index, a proxy for domestic demand, rose to 55.9 in November—its highest since December 2017 and an encouragement to firms to increase output.

Foreign demand expanded at its quickest pace in nearly four years while optimism about future output increased from October’s 20-month low.

“Signs of rising confidence in the upturn were also provided by the trend for employment, which continued to grow at one of the quickest rates seen in six-years,” de Lima said.

“Supply-chain pressures remained weak, however, which supported a softer rise in input prices.”

Employment growth remained well-above the long-term average of 50.7 in November although firms hired at a slower pace last month than they did in October.

Despite input cost inflation easing to a seven-month low in November, stronger demand let firms raise prices at the fastest pace since February 2017, posing upside risks to inflation.

According to a Reuters poll, the RBI will raise interest rates once next year, after raising them twice this year, to try and contain inflation, which hit a 13-month low of 3.31% in October.
India’s factory activity in November expands at fastest pace in 2018
 
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Crisil cuts India growth forecast to 7.4% on weakening global growth
CrisilNSE 0.25 % Monday cut India's growth forecast for current fiscal to 7.4 per cent on the back of weakening global GDP and trade growth.

India's growth in the July-September quarter slipped to 7.1 per cent from 8.2 per cent in the April-June quarter.

"For fiscal 2019, we are lowering our GDP growth forecast by 10 basis points to 7.4 per cent from 7.5 per cent estimated earlier. Forecasts of lower global trade and GDP growth has created a downward bias to growth in emerging economies," Crisil said.

India's export, which saw a revival in early part of 2018, could likely see a slower growth, it projected.

"The forecast has a downward bias given that global growth prospects are turning weaker than estimated earlier. Also, if liquidity issues persist in the financial system, demand could get further dented," Crisil said.

Despite the downward revision at 7.4 per cent, India's growth in fiscal 2019 will be faster than both, the 6.7 per cent seen in fiscal 2018 and the trend rate of growth, Crisil said.

It said the long-term average growth rate seen in the last 13 years, as per the recently released GDP back series data is 6.9 per cent.

"For the rest of this fiscal, growth will find support from private consumption, driven by continues government spending on construction activities, benign inflation and revision in government salaries at the state level," Crisil said.
Crisil cuts India growth forecast to 7.4% on weakening global growth
 
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India, UAE ink currency swap agreement
AR-181209614.jpg&MaxW=780&imageVersion=16by9&NCS_modified=20181204160131

(Picture retrieved from Raveesh Kumar/Twitter)
The agreement to this effect was inked during the two-day visit by Indian External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj.

In a landmark move, the UAE and India on Tuesday inked a currency swap agreement, which means businesses can now can do trade using local currencies of rupee and dirham, instead of dollar.

With nearly $50 billion bilateral trade, the two countries are one of the largest trade partners for each other and have made robust investments bilaterally. The latest development will be a big boost to import and export bilateral trade.

The agreement to this effect was inked during the two-day visit by Indian External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj. The minister co-chaired the 12th session of the UAE-India Joint Commission Meeting with Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan, Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation held at ministry's headquarters in Abu Dhabi. Both leaders agreed to boost cooperation in trade, security and defence. The leaders also decided to strengthen their resolve to combat extremism and terrorism in all its forms, regardless of the perpetrators and their intent.

Sheikh Abdullah said the UAE has always shared strong historical ties with India. He noted the bilateral relations are based on mutual respect, trust and aimed at enhancing mutual benefit of the people.

Swaraj congratulated the leadership, government and the people of the UAE on the occasion of the celebration of the National Day.

The ministers also oversaw memorandums of understandings being signed.

First was for development of cooperation in Africa between both the ministries. Later, the currency swap agreement was inked between the Central Bank on UAE and the Reserve Bank in India. Mohammed Ali bin Zayed Al Falasi, Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of UAE and Indian Ambassador to the UAE, Navdeep Singh Suri signed the agreement.

Separately, Mohamed Sharaf, Assistant Minister for Economic and Commercial Affairs at the UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation and TS Tirumurti, Secretary for Economic Affairs at the Indian Ministry of External Affairs, led the Senior Officials Meeting held discussions under eight subcommittees - bilateral matters, consular field, space, education, agriculture and livestock and development cooperation, civil aviation, and economic and trade, investments, banking and finance cooperation.
 
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M&A flows into India are set to exceed those into China this year for the first time in decades

Chinese shoppers, for a long time flavor of the month for blue-chip consumer companies, now have competition from India.

It has been a blockbuster year for mergers and acquisitions as multinationals have found ways to increase their exposure to the promising Indian market. This week Unilever beatNestlé in a competitive auction for Horlicks, a nutritional malted-milk drink that makes most of its sales in the south Asian country. In May, Walmart stumped up $16 billion for a controlling stake in Indian e-commerce site Flipkart.

More foreign money is now pouring into India than China. Overseas companies have spent $38 billion acquiring Indian assets so far this year, compared with $32 billion in China according to Dealogic data. That overturns a long-term trend--the value of inbound mergers and acquisitions in China had outstripped that in India since at least 2000.

IMF economists expect growth in India to exceed 7% over the coming years--a faster clip than China, which is slowing. Add the threat to Chinese consumer spending posed by trade tensions with the U.S., and it’s easy to see why companies are now betting on India.
Including Walmart’s Flipkart deal, almost half of the activity has been in India’s consumer and retail sectors. Urbanization and changing family structures are driving strong demand for all kinds of products. City dwellers outspend people living in rural areas, while nuclear families spend 20-30% more per capita than India’s traditional extended families, according to The Boston Consulting Group.

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Shoppers exit a Puma store in Mumbai, India.PHOTO: DHIRAJ SINGH/BLOOMBERG NEWS

Indian stock market valuations already price in much of the growth, however, so getting a foothold isn’t cheap. MSCI ’s India index trades at 17 times projected earnings, compared with ten times for China. Excluding expected synergies, Unilever’s $3.75 billion bid for Horlicks and some smaller businesses worked out at a sky-high 27 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. It could offer roughly $1 billion more than Nestlé by paying in part using the expensive shares of its listed Indian subsidiary, Hindustan Unilever .
Another problem is that local competition in India can be fierce. Patanjali, which makes beauty and home care products, is one of many dynamic local players in the consumer sector. Last year, European mobile-phone giant Vodafone was forced to write $4.2 billion off the value of its Indian unit and merge it with a rival’s in order to compete with an upstart offering cheap data plans.
Still, with risks rising in China big companies have little choice but to take India seriously if they want scale in emerging markets. The run of deals will likely continue.

Below link has an interesting graph.

Worried About China? Multinationals Now Favor India
 
About two months back I had stated that Urjit Patel will now resign as he has already caused huge damage to our economy and now he will be either sacked or He will resign and scoot from India like his predecessor and bigger cheat Raghuram Rajan.
Urjit Patel has resigned today.
 
As I had posted earlier on this thread we are heading for deflation by January once the new crop comes in and oil prices drop. My statement has come true.
Inflation cools, IIP growth surges in double treat for economy
What will cause more damage to a growing economy, inflation or deflation? Please read the article it states that most risks have been mitigated and our PhD was predicting 4.8 inflation for next year.
@Guynextdoor, who is correct now as far as understanding Indian markets is concerned? An Ex NDA science graduate or a PhD in finance from some of the most reputed universities of the world?
 
As I had posted earlier on this thread we are heading for deflation by January once the new crop comes in and oil prices drop. My statement has come true.
Inflation cools, IIP growth surges in double treat for economy
What will cause more damage to a growing economy, inflation or deflation? Please read the article it states that most risks have been mitigated and our PhD was predicting 4.8 inflation for next year.
@Guynextdoor, who is correct now as far as understanding Indian markets is concerned? An Ex NDA science graduate or a PhD in finance from some of the most reputed universities of the world?

now that urjit is gone it won't stop with 4.8 for sure.
 
We have been sparring Pals since donkey's years. Let us see what happens in Jan 2019.
You've been sparring with a donkey. Please show me a single coherent argument he's strung together since last evening citing reasons why the Congress's won or the BJP's lost , forget the donkey's years you've known him virtually for.
It just doesn't happen. It's never happened in the past too. I've seen a lot of moderators & members here berate Kshitij Sharma / Pachawry / Advaidhya for low quality posts.

I wonder why does this clown get a free pass.