Ukraine - Russia Conflict

[BMD]

That's the regular conscription round, Russia has two per year. Those shouldn't be sent to Ukraine directly, but they will be pressured to sign contracts at the end of their military service.

Pah! They'll be going to Ukraine. What need does Russia have for extra soldiers not going to Ukraine? Either they'll be sent, or more established soldiers will be sent and they will replace those soldiers. Either way, it means 150k more going to Ukraine.

However it's likely that if Russia does indeed open a new front, it'll only be after a new "partial" mobilization of 300 000 to 500 000 people.

Ukraine want them to do that, because at the moment lots of Ukrainian troops are wasted, being deployed guarding inactive borders. It'll also extend Russia further. I personally doubt Russia can afford another front, financially or otherwise. It wouldn't be like Feb '22 this time, everyone is well prepared for it, they'd get massacred.

 

[BMD]

Pole-21 electronic countermeasures system to enter in service with Rus

// Defence & Security News - Russia // Pole-21 electronic countermeasures system to enter in service w

armyrecognition.com

Pole-21 electronic countermeasures system to enter in service with Russian armed forces.

The Russian Army has adopted Pole-21 electronic countermeasures system from Electronic Warfare Scientific and Technical Center JSC, according to the Izvestia daily. The Pole-21 is designed to protect strategic installations against enemy cruise missiles, smart bombs and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) reliant on the GPS, GLONASS, Galileo and Beidou positioning systems for navigation and guidance.​

Tens of millions of $s worth of equipment destroyed with $100k.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777075354139529650

 

[BMD]

 

[BMD]

UJ-25 Skyline - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

The UJ-25 is a weaponized version of the Ukrjet UJ-23 Topaz target drone. Both aircraft have missile-like main bodies, forward-swept wings, V-tail configurations, and top-mounted air intakes at the rear of the fuselage feeding into a turbojet engine; the UJ-25 differs outwardly only by having forward canards. Although the Skyline's specifications are not known, the Topaz has a cruise speed of 600 km/h (370 mph), a top speed of 800 km/h (500 mph), endurance of 90 minutes, and a mission radius of 400 km (250 mi) with a payload weight of 10 kg (22 lb) and is guided either by manual control link or by following a preprogrammed route. As a one-way kamikaze drone, the UJ-25 could have a strike range of around 800 km (500 mi), long enough to reach Moscow. Its jet propulsion makes it harder to counter than piston engine Shahed-136 drones used by Russia, as its faster speed combined with relatively small size and low-observable characteristics reduces the reaction time for air defenses to attempt to intercept it.[1]

 

[BMD]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777041571487035663

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777037578136330687

 

[BMD]

 

[BMD]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777343588323442924

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777351103891251616

 

[BMD]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777272841634812321

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777257690873377204

 

[BMD]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777071732496437415

 

[BMD]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777334962523357250

 

[Picdelamirand-oil]

All it says is Russia is lying about its numbers. So it looks like there is no real solution if the numbers are true.

Michel Goya is a very solid source, he's a historian who has written at least ten books, he knows what it's like to search for the truth, he has experience of what people say during a conflict and what we find out afterwards. What's more, he's a respected soldier, even though he's retired. He has access to classified information, which allows him to choose from open sources those that are close to the truths he knows. That's why he quotes sources so that he can't be accused of revealing classified information. The figures he gives are certainly the best you can get from an open source.

 

[A Person]

Russian shit crumbling due to last maintenance having been done in the Soviet era:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777360290151067814

There will be more and more of those in the coming years. No need for saboteurs, just time taking its toll.

 

[Rajput Lion]

Continue with your stupid Western propaganda "in an Indian forum" cause no one here gives a fvck

 

[randomradio]

That was only one of 3 airbases attacked.

Lol, nope. They were talking about 14 aircraft damaged or destroyed in Morozovsk.

Not Russias. I personally think Ukraines numbers are much closer to the truth, either 450k dead, or 250k dead and 200k missing legs .

Sure, sure.

Why did Russia need to mobilise 150k more this spring? He's already mobilised over 1 million, where did they go?

They have mobilized 300,000 since last year. The rest are still in Russia. Those 150k more are conscripts, because Russia is officially at war.

I know why he wanted a half million more recruits. But the conditions aren't right for that without real US support. A proper counter-offensive without air support and with only the barest minimum of materiel is just not possible.

No. The 500,000 were necessary to prepare for a new Russian offensive. It might be too late now, unless Russia plans to half-*censored* this offensive too.

 

[randomradio]

Michel Goya is a very solid source, he's a historian who has written at least ten books, he knows what it's like to search for the truth, he has experience of what people say during a conflict and what we find out afterwards. What's more, he's a respected soldier, even though he's retired. He has access to classified information, which allows him to choose from open sources those that are close to the truths he knows. That's why he quotes sources so that he can't be accused of revealing classified information. The figures he gives are certainly the best you can get from an open source.

I'm not criticizing the author or the article, just analyzing the information presented.

As per Goya, Russia's mobilization numbers are fake. But if they are true, then he doesn't say what the options are.

If I am to criticize his article, then I'd say he's comparing an emerging market with a developed market. So while it may be true that the number of volunteers in a developed market is merely 1%, the rest being less likely to fight without significant compensation, it is much easier for an emerging market to find volunteers by attracting them with higher financial compensation.

I'm sure France will find more volunteers than 1% if the taxpayer is willing to pay a volunteer €20,000 a month.



Putin should have a sizable conscript force he can use now, the last batch having received at least 6 months of training.

 

[BMD]

Lol, nope. They were talking about 14 aircraft damaged or destroyed in Morozovsk.

Nope, they attacked Yeysk and Engels too. Go back in this thread, I posted a map showing the three locations.

Sure, sure.

Guided weapons and modern warfare.

They have mobilized 300,000 since last year. The rest are still in Russia. Those 150k more are conscripts, because Russia is officially at war.

They have mobilised over a million. Exact figure is classified.

'Mobilization has never stopped' in Russia and continues, says Ukraine's spy chief

“Mobilization has never stopped” in Russia since its full-scale invasion of Ukraine and continues, Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate’s (HUR) chef, Kyrylo Budanov, said in an interview with the French newspaper Liberation published on Feb. 15.

english.nv.ua

Moscow to mobilize 500,000 new conscripts, Kyiv military intelligence says

Ukrainian officials predict the new Russian draft effort will begin after January 15.

www.politico.eu

Putin Says Over 600K Russian Servicemen in Ukraine - The Moscow Times

Russian President Vladimir Putin said Thursday that the country had deployed 617,000 Russian military personnel in Ukraine as the Kremlin’s war against Kyiv has been ongoing for almost two years.

www.themoscowtimes.com

"The front line is over 2,000 kilometers long. There are 617,000 people in the conflict zone," Putin said during the end-of-year press conference.


Putin also said Thursday that Russia had already "recruited" 486,000 people into the country’s Armed Forces, with 1,500 new recruits added every day.

617,000 in Ukraine, not including the ones already demobilised.

Песков опроверг информацию о планах мобилизовать миллион человек

Пресс-секретарь президента Дмитрий Песков опроверг публикации о планах призвать в рамках частичной мобилизации якобы до миллиона человек. РИА Новости, 22.09.2022

ria.ru

No. The 500,000 were necessary to prepare for a new Russian offensive. It might be too late now, unless Russia plans to half-*censored* this offensive too.

That offensive being the last 7 months. You are clueless. There are Russian bodies everywhere.

 

[BMD]

Continue with your stupid Western propaganda "in an Indian forum" cause no one here gives a fvck

You couldn't give one if you tried, you impotent nut-swinger. You can continue with your fact inversion.

Russian shit crumbling due to last maintenance having been done in the Soviet era:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777360290151067814

There will be more and more of those in the coming years. No need for saboteurs, just time taking its toll.

It's one thing falling down when a huge cargo vessel rams a support, but this bridge just gave up.

 

[BMD]

Special Military Humiliation continues:

Cost, 1 cell phone:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777343588323442924

Ukraine Situation Report: Russian Anti-Drone Electronic Warfare Tank Captured

Capture of the hastily modified T-72 tank sporting advanced jamming gear will be a boon for Ukraine and Western intelligence.

www.twz.com

 

[randomradio]

Nope, they attacked Yeysk and Engels too. Go back in this thread, I posted a map showing the three locations.

Guided weapons and modern warfare.

They have mobilised over a million. Exact figure is classified.

'Mobilization has never stopped' in Russia and continues, says Ukraine's spy chief

“Mobilization has never stopped” in Russia since its full-scale invasion of Ukraine and continues, Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate’s (HUR) chef, Kyrylo Budanov, said in an interview with the French newspaper Liberation published on Feb. 15.

english.nv.ua

Moscow to mobilize 500,000 new conscripts, Kyiv military intelligence says

Ukrainian officials predict the new Russian draft effort will begin after January 15.

www.politico.eu

Putin Says Over 600K Russian Servicemen in Ukraine - The Moscow Times

Russian President Vladimir Putin said Thursday that the country had deployed 617,000 Russian military personnel in Ukraine as the Kremlin’s war against Kyiv has been ongoing for almost two years.

www.themoscowtimes.com

617,000 in Ukraine, not including the ones already demobilised.

Песков опроверг информацию о планах мобилизовать миллион человек

Пресс-секретарь президента Дмитрий Песков опроверг публикации о планах призвать в рамках частичной мобилизации якобы до миллиона человек. РИА Новости, 22.09.2022

ria.ru

That offensive being the last 7 months. You are clueless. There are Russian bodies everywhere.

They haven't sent everybody into Ukraine. Putin's 617000 claim is likely fake. It could even be a number meant for the future. Most estimates put them at close to 500,000.

Ukraine claims the UAF is 800,000 strong, but that's also likely fake.

 

[jetray]

Seriously, every single time there was an attempt to get the EU to get its act together and form a stronger military, Washington and its relays would shut it down by talks about how it'd "needlessly duplicate NATO" or how it would be protectionist (as if it's absurd to want to protect what protects you) or whatever other pointless pretexts that somehow never apply to the other side of the Atlantic (why does NORAD exist, isn't it a pointless duplication of NATO?)...

there is no honor among thieves.