US - Israel - Iran War

Most ships still getting through. Iranian control of Hormuz is <10%.

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Meanwhile their ar5e is getting strip-mined in response to its childish efforts to undermine UNCLOS.

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The United States used three Corsair naval drones for the first time to attack Iranian port infrastructure. The target of the US naval drone attack was a submarine and naval maintenance facility in Bandar Abbas, Iran.
The Corsair naval drones were developed by the American company Saronic Technologies. The unmanned Corsair boat can carry up to 450 kg of payload over a range of over 1,850 km at a speed of approximately 65 km/h. The drone is controlled via the Starlink system.

 
Iran launched a missile strike against a US base in Jordan and an oil facility in Bahrain. The type of missiles used by Iran has not been disclosed. Footage also shows American Patriot air defense systems in action. It is worth noting that the US is currently also striking Iranian targets.

 
Trump is a man of the moment, accustomed to generating media spectacles for an audience with a short attention span. But Hormuz is not just a news cycle; it is a physical bottleneck in the global economy.

He embarked on a war he likely thought would be short, spectacular, and politically profitable. It is now settling in for the long haul—impacting oil prices, maritime insurance, tanker routes, and, soon, the price at the pump.

In Ukraine, he could simply change the subject. With Hormuz, he cannot: American voters see the crisis right there on the gas station sign.

The longer he stalls, the more drastic the eventual outcomes become: military escalation, humiliating de-escalation, or a sham deal sold as a victory. He likely senses this. And since there are no good options, he does what he knows best: buying time through spectacle.

Trump can control a narrative for forty-eight hours; he cannot exert lasting control over a strait, an oil market, and a regional war.