US Presidential Elections 2024.

RASALGHUL

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Aug 13, 2022
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So, From last 3 days, I have been listening to Ramaswamy. Most of what he says is Common sense, But I think he Wrong/Naïve/Novice in Foreign policy.
He says that he wants to Limit Russia-China relationship as only Trade relationship, I want to know that Why does he believe that Russia is eager to Share Exotic military tech to China?
Also with regards to Taiwan he says that he wants strategic clarity (i.e. defends Taiwan until US is independent on chips) then after achieving independence( chips) wants to go back to Strategic ambiguity.
@randomradio Your thoughts?
 
So, From last 3 days, I have been listening to Ramaswamy. Most of what he says is Common sense, But I think he Wrong/Naïve/Novice in Foreign policy.
He says that he wants to Limit Russia-China relationship as only Trade relationship, I want to know that Why does he believe that Russia is eager to Share Exotic military tech to China?
Also with regards to Taiwan he says that he wants strategic clarity (i.e. defends Taiwan until US is independent on chips) then after achieving independence( chips) wants to go back to Strategic ambiguity.
@randomradio Your thoughts?

Yeah, he's completely wrong on both counts, and more. Even some of his domestic policies are suspect. He is very right about some things, especially regarding social issues, education, health etc. But his opinions on immigration seem to be off point, mostly Republican talking points. He's brought fresh perspective towards bureaucracy though, but I'm not sure how well his solutions will work.

His foreign policy is completely zero. His understanding of Russia-China dynamics is obviously completely wrong. But then many people make the mistake of believing they are allies. He also seems to have underestimated the Chinese defence industry. It's the result of strong govt-led propaganda that's misled regular folks, him being one of them.

People also do not understand the Taiwan issue, something that happened even before semiconductors became a thing. He understands China's Malacca dilemma, which is actually greatly exaggerated even in strategic polity circles, never mind the regular folk. But he fails to apply the same for the First Island Chain that is rarely talked about by regular folks too. He also doesn't seem to understand the technology itself, it's not important to geopolitics.

And he doesn't understand the point of showing strategic ambiguity either. He doesn't realize that if he withdraws it once, he can't reinstate it, 'cause it has nothing to do with the US itself. It's all about controlling the moves of other parties involved. We also have strategic ambiguity regarding our nuclear weapons. Changing this for both India and the US is a permanent change, you can never go back. The US know exactly what it's gonna do, they just want other people to keep guessing in order to divide opinion.

He is obviously wrong about Ukraine as well. The US can't back off, 'cause he doesn't realize the consequences it will bring to US hegemony and its economic might. A lot of countries allow the US to have some dictatorial control over them in exchange for security. And he wants to demolish that. It will set the US back by decades.

Anyway, if he gets nominated or becomes president, he's gonna get schooled in these things anyway, like all the presidents before him.
 
 
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Even some of his domestic policies are suspect.
Which One?
But his opinions on immigration seem to be off point
I Disagree. IMO his immigration policies are on point. Shutting lottery based H-1B visas and allowing merit based immigration.
He's brought fresh perspective towards bureaucracy though, but I'm not sure how well his solutions will work.
Yup, Babucracy is tough to get rid off.
People also do not understand the Taiwan issue, something that happened even before semiconductors became a thing. He understands China's Malacca dilemma, which is actually greatly exaggerated even in strategic polity circles, never mind the regular folk. But he fails to apply the same for the First Island Chain that is rarely talked about by regular folks too.
Yup, Agree here.
He also doesn't seem to understand the technology itself, it's not important to geopolitics.
What?? Explain more.
Changing this for both India and the US is a permanent change, you can never go back. The US know exactly what it's gonna do, they just want other people to keep guessing in order to divide opinion.
Yup.
He is obviously wrong about Ukraine as well. The US can't back off, 'cause he doesn't realize the consequences it will bring to US hegemony and its economic might. A lot of countries allow the US to have some dictatorial control over them in exchange for security. And he wants to demolish that. It will set the US back by decades.
I think he knows that too. He said that under his deal, Putin will take back nukes from kaliningrad, back off from China " No limit Friendship", and also backoff from meddling in south america & africa. I dont see putin accepting these terms.
Anyway, if he gets nominated or becomes president, he's gonna get schooled in these things anyway, like all the presidents before him.
I doubt, he will win the republican nomination.
Although, I would say that he is the most articulate & intelligent person among both parties candidates.
They haven't already?
Nope. China doesn't have hypersonic cruise missile like Zircon.
 
Which One?

Immigration and bureaucracy. He wants troops to bring down immigration, but that comes at a cost more expensive than the border wall. His move to reduce bureaucracy by 75% as well, I don't think it's possible to that extent. Gotta see what he does in both areas though.

I Disagree. IMO his immigration policies are on point. Shutting lottery based H-1B visas and allowing merit based immigration.

That's okay. I've always supported bringing more quality into such regulations. Anyway, it's irrelevant. The US has massive vacancies, he can't do much here. If he changes the current system, it will only mean all those jobs will move to India. The only change he can make is increasing the number of visas. It's just a political talking point devoid of reality. Since people are irrational about some subjects, politicians have to be equally irrational. People actually ask for IT jobs with neither the certification, education nor interest. There are people with arts degrees who think they are qualified for it.


Of course, a merit-based system is obviously better than lottery, but it's just a red herring, most vacancies are at the entry level.

Another thing is changing the current quota system to something that benefits Indians is bad for India. We prefer our brains to struggle in foreign shores so they always have a fond memory of India. It means investments.

But I was referring to illegal immigration.

What?? Explain more.

Taiwan's semiconductors are not as important as controlling the Pacific. Even if Taiwan's semiconductor industry is shut down, it will set the world back by just a generation at most, both Intel and Samsung will catch up. Plus what's special about Taiwan's semiconductor is not Taiwan itself, but the people involved in the industry. In case of war, these people can be moved to other countries beforehand. The invasion is not gonna come out of the blue, it's gonna take a month to prepare, enough time for an evacuation of many important civilians.

Otoh, if the US loses control of Taiwan, they will eventually have to give up on half the Pacific. The Chinese will get past the First Island Chain, and that will give them full access to the Western Pacific. Right now, China is nothing in the water, but if the US loses Taiwan, the Chinese will pose the same threat Japan did in 1941. And it will also become impractical for the US to protect SoKo and Japan, so both countries will eventually fall into China's lap, especially with their dwindling populations. The same with the SCS.

I think he knows that too. He said that under his deal, Putin will take back nukes from kaliningrad, back off from China " No limit Friendship", and also backoff from meddling in south america & africa. I dont see putin accepting these terms.

He's pretty retarded to even bring this up. The US has no leverage. The only country that can positively influence Russia today is India. Pretty much everybody else lacks any sort of leverage over Russia, including China. It's all because we don't really need them in the long term. Thats what's scary about us in relation to every country.

I doubt, he will win the republican nomination.
Although, I would say that he is the most articulate & intelligent person among both parties candidates.

Agreed. He is in contention only if Trump is arrested. He's a great VP candidate though, but I think Vivek will deny that position and just try again the next term. It's better for him that way, especially as a 42-year-old.
 
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What ?????? We will be energy dependent for a long time......also we will import exotic military tech for foreseeable future.

That's in the short to mid term. Hydrogen will put us on the road to independence, starting from the next decade. Majority of our weapons imports will end soon, well within this decade. So 15 years down the line, ie, long term, we won't need them.

Yes for exotic tech, but the numbers we need will be so small that it won't be enough to have leverage over us. More importantly, exotic imports are only meant to act as a stopgap until we get our own capabilities. So, unless they have control over our operational capabilities, they won't hold any leverage. Otoh, we will have more leverage over them on the economic side, diminishing the value of the exotic tech even further.
 
How are you so sure about this?

The effort all the energy companies are putting into this.




Here's the reason why the West attacked Adani.
In February, France-based TotalEnergies, which is one of the largest foreign investors in billionare Gautam Adani's business empire, said it would put its participation in the ports-to-energy conglomerate's $50 billion hydrogen project on hold after the Hindenburg Research came out with a scathing report on its operations.

Both the companies had outlined a capex plan of $50 billion to set up a 2.5 million metric tonnes per annum (mmtpa) of green H2 manufacturing capacity over the next 10 years, with the first phase of 1.0 mmtpa expected to be commissioned before 2030. Though TotalEnergies did not sign a contract.


The good news is Adani is going it alone.

2.5mmt of hydrogen is equal to 7mmt of petrol/diesel. India's total petrol consumption last year was 35mmt and diesel was 86mmt. India's total fuel consumption was 223mmt.

So if we are to completely replace current levels of consumption, we need 33 such projects for a total spending of $1.7T. It's not a lot if we think in terms of 2 decades. Plus if Adani can do that kind of investment, you can only imagine what Ambani, state refiners and other companies can do together.

With annual capacity of 1 mmt green hydrogen requiring $ 25 billion in capex, RIL's adequately funded balance sheet is a key competitive advantage, the report said. India aims to produce 5 mmt green H2 annually by 2030 requiring US$ 130 billion in capex per our est.

5mmt of hydrogen replaces 35mmt of petrol, which could very well be half our consumption by then, perhaps 60%.

And 5mmt by 2030 could become 5mmt every few years to 5mmt every year. Industry estimates say India's hydrogen industry will be worth $2T by 2040, with $400B of it being exported.
 
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This is the saddest day of my life. My hero Irish Joe has chosen to bow out of the Presidential race. It's a monumental tragedy . The only Irishman of consequence & look how did the establishment treat him.

The man single handedly did much more for US foreign policy than any of his predecessors. He neutralised Russia & the EU without firing a single shot , he may well have begun the process for the final resolution of the Israeli Palestinian problem dogging the ME for nearly a century now , he's put China on notice & most importantly he's redeemed the reputation of the Irish. Isn't it so ? @BMD

Now for some more breaking news ...


In all likelihood we're about to see a half black half Indian grifter all the way from sweetie's home state & an ex Jr Senator too contesting in Irish Joe's place . Says a lot about California I guess.

Must be very proud someone from your state is contesting the Presidential elections , sweetie ? The last time a grifter sorry some one from California contested was in the late 1960s if I recall right . He was known as tricky dick - another grifter , in which case what was wrong with my hero Irish Joe contesting ?

Hope you don't go overboard with your celebrations sweetie . No more moonshine , weed , pot or chicken . Save that for when Kamala Harris wins. @Innominate
 
Is your black a$$ officially back from your self imposed ban? :D
May be , May be not .

Heywaitaminute !

You mean you want me to violate your no good stinky unwashed hairless culo . No thanks . That's @BMD 's territory. You need to buzz him.

Meanwhile here's final confirmation Kamala Harris will be confirmed by DNC .


Anything with the Soros name on it endorsing KH aaannd it's official.

Congratulations to you sweetie & all white trailer trash in Skids Row or outside of it. Your collective goose is cooked. Be prepared to be dispossessed of whatever little you possess by the DEI / BLM gang. Time privileged white boy arses gets owned me thinks . In any case you'd love it. So there . 😀
 
All jokes aside Joe Biden definitely helped my fiance repay student loans by pausing interest. Really helped work down our overall loan.

Kamala is just unpopular and I think they should have just kept Biden at this point. Maybe his health really deteriorated after catching covid last week? Just waiting until after Republican National Convention for politics? Regardless, it's a hail mary decision that was entirely unnecessary.

At least the Democrats can play the age card now. Donald Trump will be the oldest candidate to be on a ballot this November.
 

The average IQ of the average Trump supporter. The algorithms were pretty easy to crack - get the people to echo your last word thereby making it sound like it's they who want it . It's no wonder Trump's such a huge hit with the M(TP)AGA crowd. Ja , sweetie ? @Innominate
 
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