US Presidential Elections 2024.

[randomradio]

Betting market has nothing to do with it. If people want to believe immigrants are eating dogs they believe it. If people want to believe COVID-19 was fake, they believe it. If people want to believe the 2020 election was rigged they believe it. Just some of his lies.

Yeah, sure. The betting market doesn't know...

So it's fake because you don't want to believe it. The estimate for illegal immigration per year is 0.5m

Illegal immigration to the United States - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

What crap.

https://www.npr.org/2024/05/16/1251966588/immigration-border-arrests-mexico-decrease

Migrants were arrested 128,884 times in April, down from 137,480 in March and barely half a record-high of 249,737 in December, U.S. Customs and Border Protection said.

Those are just monthly figures of people arrested, not the ones that got away.

If a quarter million were "arrested" in December alone, then how many more got away?

And:
Authorities granted entry to 41,400 people in April at land crossings with Mexico through an online appointment app called CBP One, bringing the total to more than 591,000 since it was introduced in January 2023.

The documented illegals given asylum were nearly 600,000 in 3 months.

Imagine this in 2021, 9 months after Biden came to power.

https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/22/politics/us-border-patrol-record-arrests-2020/index.html

In September, the border agency made 185,515 arrests, bringing the total to 1,659,206 during fiscal year 2021, which runs from October through September, data shows.

1.7 million arrests in just 1 year. How many escaped?

We are at the minimum talking about 2m a year.

So, yeah, you have fake data.

The opposite:

What is Project 2025? Wish list for a Trump presidency, explained

A think-tank with ties to Trump has set out a vision for Republicans. But the former president has tried to distance himself from it.

www.bbc.co.uk

How Trump's Proposed Radical Expansion of Executive Power Will Impact Our Freedoms | ACLU

A second Trump administration threatens to use executive authority to further limit First Amendment freedoms, surveil Americans and undermine democracy.

www.aclu.org

Trump and Allies Forge Plans to Increase Presidential Power in 2025 (Published 2023)

The former president and his backers aim to strengthen the power of the White House and limit the independence of federal agencies.

www.nytimes.com

Project 2025 has nothing to do with Trump.

Now it's your literacy skills in question. They are measuring two different values. The 92% is Level 1 (age 5-7), the 54% is below 6th grade, which is Level 6-7. Apples and bananas.

You don't know what the heck you're talking about.

Here's the list of the levels in question.

Which US states have the highest and lowest adult literacy rates?

Although literacy varies across states, the average literacy rate of the US hasn’t changed since 2012.

usafacts.org

It's 92% at below 6th grade in 2014 to 54% in 2020. At Level 1, you are completely illiterate.

Pence was Trump's friend at the start, so what happened? Funny how all Trump's policies match Putin's.

You mean like a patriot?

Donald Trump's comments on John McCain - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

You for real bro'?

False or misleading statements by Donald Trump - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

You mean how the Democrats in the wiki page selectively quote Trump and call him a liar?

He's about as much a liar as any politician when they open their mouths. All I care about is action, the way people are supposed to be judged.

No, the Republicans just need to get behind someone sane. There are a lot of Republicans who are voting Democrat this time, because they find Trump unelectable.

Funny how even Democrats are moving towards Trump. Even in Democrat strongholds like NYC and California, Trump's moved up by 10 points.

 

[randomradio]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1851601927122882801

Potential for a supermajority.

 

[BMD]

Yeah, sure. The betting market doesn't know...

Betting market in this case bets on beliefs true or false.

What crap.

https://www.npr.org/2024/05/16/1251966588/immigration-border-arrests-mexico-decrease

Migrants were arrested 128,884 times in April, down from 137,480 in March and barely half a record-high of 249,737 in December, U.S. Customs and Border Protection said.

Those are just monthly figures of people arrested, not the ones that got away.

If a quarter million were "arrested" in December alone, then how many more got away?

Provide evidence telling us how many.

And:
Authorities granted entry to 41,400 people in April at land crossings with Mexico through an online appointment app called CBP One, bringing the total to more than 591,000 since it was introduced in January 2023.

The documented illegals given asylum were nearly 600,000 in 3 months.

Imagine this in 2021, 9 months after Biden came to power.

https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/22/politics/us-border-patrol-record-arrests-2020/index.html

In September, the border agency made 185,515 arrests, bringing the total to 1,659,206 during fiscal year 2021, which runs from October through September, data shows.

1.7 million arrests in just 1 year. How many escaped?

We are at the minimum talking about 2m a year.

So, yeah, you have fake data.

None of that changes the net immigration or illegal immigration figure. The ones granted asylum are counted in the legal net immigration statistics. Border patrol is shit-hot, it is generally manned by highly motivated individuals intent on reducing immigration.

There have in fact been more detentions under the Democrats than under Trump.

Number of migrants at US border hits new record high

US border agents encounter more than 180,000 immigrants, the largest monthly total since 2000.

www.bbc.co.uk

What does that tell you? All the evidence suggests that the Democrats are policing the border better.

Illegal immigration to the United States - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Or were there just less attempts under Trump? Unlikely really isn't it.

Project 2025 has nothing to do with Trump.

Wow, you'll believe anything.

Trump and Allies Forge Plans to Increase Presidential Power in 2025 (Published 2023)

The former president and his backers aim to strengthen the power of the White House and limit the independence of federal agencies.

www.nytimes.com

https://www.npr.org/2023/12/06/1217562544/trump-and-insiders-craft-plans-for-unprecedented-power

Much of the work is happening behind the scenes, but it involves some high-profile Trump leaders working together and on parallel routes.

Paul Dans, a former Trump administration official, is director of the 2025 Presidential Transition Project, a conservative think tank organizing dozens of partners who have joined the effort to build this government in waiting.

Brooke Rollins, Trump's former domestic policy chief, leads the America First Policy Institute, which is working on a similar effort, called Pathway to 2025.

You don't know what the heck you're talking about.

Here's the list of the levels in question.

Which US states have the highest and lowest adult literacy rates?

Although literacy varies across states, the average literacy rate of the US hasn’t changed since 2012.

usafacts.org

It's 92% at below 6th grade in 2014 to 54% in 2020. At Level 1, you are completely illiterate.

No, it isn't. JFC, now who has literacy problems again? Did you seriously think it went from 92% to 54% in 6 years?

Literacy in the United States - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Literacy in the United States was categorized by the National Center for Education Statistics into different literacy levels, with 92% of American adults having at least "Level 1" literacy in 2014.<a href="Literacy in the United States - Wikipedia"><span>[</span>1<span>]</span></a>

You mean like a patriot?

No, I mean like a foreign agent.

You mean how the Democrats in the wiki page selectively quote Trump and call him a liar?

He's about as much a liar as any politician when they open their mouths. All I care about is action, the way people are supposed to be judged.

Now you're kidding yourself, he has more of a reputation than any other politician.

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/29/politics/fact-check-donald-trump-mar-a-lago/index.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/01/24/trumps-false-or-misleading-claims-total-30573-over-four-years/

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/10/politics/fact-check-trump-pennsylvania-speeches/index.html

Funny how even Democrats are moving towards Trump. Even in Democrat strongholds like NYC and California, Trump's moved up by 10 points.

Neo-Nazi groups living off welfare. Willing to risk their welfare to get those illegals out.

 

[randomradio]

Betting market in this case bets on beliefs true or false.

That's how elections work.

Provide evidence telling us how many.

There isn't. The govt's thrown the borders open for anyone to walk in. Just look at the arrest records for yourself. If we get 120k on average every month, in 4 years that's 5.7m merely arrested.

Estimated arrivals are 10-20m.

None of that changes the net immigration or illegal immigration figure. The ones granted asylum are counted in the legal net immigration statistics. Border patrol is shit-hot, it is generally manned by highly motivated individuals intent on reducing immigration.

Border Patrol is just 21000 strong covering a border 6000 miles long. That's why the Republicans are insisting the National Guard should man the border.

There have in fact been more detentions under the Democrats than under Trump.

Number of migrants at US border hits new record high

US border agents encounter more than 180,000 immigrants, the largest monthly total since 2000.

www.bbc.co.uk

What does that tell you? All the evidence suggests that the Democrats are policing the border better.

Illegal immigration to the United States - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

The numbers crossing are so insane compared to the Trump era that the Democrats are merely seem to be catching a few more.

You can see the change in politics between Obama and Biden. This is the same as what's happened in Europe within that period. It's a highly calculated move.

Wow, you'll believe anything.

Trump and Allies Forge Plans to Increase Presidential Power in 2025 (Published 2023)

The former president and his backers aim to strengthen the power of the White House and limit the independence of federal agencies.

www.nytimes.com

https://www.npr.org/2023/12/06/1217562544/trump-and-insiders-craft-plans-for-unprecedented-power

Trump has nothing to do with Project 2025. They simply picked up all possible Republican views, added their own masala to it and released it.

It's for gullible people.

The only things that matter are actions, not words.

No, it isn't. JFC, now who has literacy problems again? Did you seriously think it went from 92% to 54% in 6 years?

Literacy in the United States - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

To be considered literate in the West, you need to read at the 7th to 8th grade level.

No, I mean like a foreign agent.

Putin is a patriot though. Trump is definitely no Biden.

Neo-Nazi groups living off welfare. Willing to risk their welfare to get those illegals out.

Ironically the increase in voteshare is from non-whites.

 

[Parthu]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1851095661917392900

 

[BMD]

That's how elections work.

Elections shouldn't run off lies, especially not obvious ones.

There isn't. The govt's thrown the borders open for anyone to walk in. Just look at the arrest records for yourself. If we get 120k on average every month, in 4 years that's 5.7m merely arrested.

Estimated arrivals are 10-20m.

You can't estimate arrivals from arrests, otherwise the way to stop crime would be to end policing. Zero arrests = zero estimated crime right?

Border Patrol is just 21000 strong covering a border 6000 miles long...

...with drones and helicopters.

The numbers crossing are so insane compared to the Trump era that the Democrats are merely seem to be catching a few more.

You can see the change in politics between Obama and Biden. This is the same as what's happened in Europe within that period. It's a highly calculated move.

So they should arrest less to appease you? Do you really think less people were trying during the early Trump years (COVID obviously had an impact though)? The rate they try at is roughly constant, why wouldn't it be?

Trump has nothing to do with Project 2025. They simply picked up all possible Republican views, added their own masala to it and released it.

It's for gullible people.

The only things that matter are actions, not words.

You mean like when he tried to overturn the result of the last election and caused a riot? Everyone in Project 2025 is close to him. He's only disavowing it for appearances:

Much of the work is happening behind the scenes, but it involves some high-profile Trump leaders working together and on parallel routes.

Paul Dans, a former Trump administration official, is director of the 2025 Presidential Transition Project, a conservative think tank organizing dozens of partners who have joined the effort to build this government in waiting.

Brooke Rollins, Trump's former domestic policy chief, leads the America First Policy Institute, which is working on a similar effort, called Pathway to 2025.

To be considered literate in the West, you need to read at the 7th to 8th grade level.

Which you couldn't because you were confusing the figures.

Putin is a patriot though. Trump is definitely no Biden.

Putin is a vain man obsessed with his own legacy. Trump is a traitor.

Ironically the increase in voteshare is from non-whites.

Anti-establishment clowns. Tell them not to do something and they do it.

 

[BMD]

Another Republican politician endorses Harris:

 

[randomradio]

Elections shouldn't run off lies, especially not obvious ones.

How are your new taxes that Labour said will not happen?

You can't estimate arrivals from arrests, otherwise the way to stop crime would be to end policing. Zero arrests = zero estimated crime right?

You are arguing my point.

...with drones and helicopters.

So they should arrest less to appease you? Do you really think less people were trying during the early Trump years (COVID obviously had an impact though)? The rate they try at is roughly constant, why wouldn't it be?

Nope. The numbers increase when the political dispensation is very soft on illegals. It then spreads by word of mouth.

Trump was a lot stricter on illegals. Biden's running an open borders policy.

You mean like when he tried to overturn the result of the last election and caused a riot? Everyone in Project 2025 is close to him. He's only disavowing it for appearances:

Then why didn't they press charges?

Instead they have him on paying off a hooker.

Much of the work is happening behind the scenes, but it involves some high-profile Trump leaders working together and on parallel routes.

Paul Dans, a former Trump administration official, is director of the 2025 Presidential Transition Project, a conservative think tank organizing dozens of partners who have joined the effort to build this government in waiting.

Brooke Rollins, Trump's former domestic policy chief, leads the America First Policy Institute, which is working on a similar effort, called Pathway to 2025.

Even if Project 2025 is Trump's, a lot of changes are still necessary if they are to stop communism from taking over.

Which you couldn't because you were confusing the figures.

It doesn't matter. The Levels tell ya it's fallen drastically since the ED was created.

The issue is surveys assume that if you have reached 5th grade as a student, you are considered literate. The reality is something else entirely.

Most Chicago students still read, perform math below grade level

Chicago students made gains in proficiency in reading and math on 2023 state assessments compared to 2022, but most students continue to perform below grade level. Overall student proficiency rates remain worse than before the pandemic.

www.illinoispolicy.org

In spring 2023, ISBE reported 26% of Chicago third- through eighth-grade students could read at grade level, edging closer to the 27% from spring 2019. Only 18% were proficient in math this spring, compared to 24% in spring 2019.

Putin is a vain man obsessed with his own legacy. Trump is a traitor.

Call him what you want, he's still a patriot.

Anti-establishment clowns. Tell them not to do something and they do it.

In 5 days we will know.

 

[randomradio]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1851095661917392900

Yeah.

Doesn't look like Trump has a chance in hell.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1852051092743606426

 

[BMD]

How are your new taxes that Labour said will not happen?

No surprise. Very stupid though.

You are arguing my point.

I'm absolutely not. More arrests do not equal more arrivals.

Air and Marine Operations’ Unmanned Aircraft System

Securing America's Borders

www.cbp.gov

Nope. The numbers increase when the political dispensation is very soft on illegals. It then spreads by word of mouth.

No, it continues regardless because the plan is still to not get caught.

Trump was a lot stricter on illegals. Biden's running an open borders policy.

Biden’s Supposed “Open-Border Policy” Does Not Exist

Just a glance at 2023 border contracts suggests that more walls, detention centers, and expulsion flights are coming.

www.thenation.com

https://www.axios.com/2023/10/17/us-mexico-border-open-borders-myth

Then why didn't they press charges?

They did but he appointed (before he left office in 2021) the judge that oversaw the case. The judge should have recused themselves but instead continued and dismissed the case.

Instead they have him on paying off a hooker.

Great image for a President.

Even if Project 2025 is Trump's, a lot of changes are still necessary if they are to stop communism from taking over.

Turning the country into a dictatorship is a no-no regardless. So much for giving back power to the states.

It doesn't matter. The Levels tell ya it's fallen drastically since the ED was created.

But they don't though, you just thought they did because your own literacy sucks.

The issue is surveys assume that if you have reached 5th grade as a student, you are considered literate. The reality is something else entirely.

Most Chicago students still read, perform math below grade level

Chicago students made gains in proficiency in reading and math on 2023 state assessments compared to 2022, but most students continue to perform below grade level. Overall student proficiency rates remain worse than before the pandemic.

www.illinoispolicy.org

In spring 2023, ISBE reported 26% of Chicago third- through eighth-grade students could read at grade level, edging closer to the 27% from spring 2019. Only 18% were proficient in math this spring, compared to 24% in spring 2019.

Too small a data set to indicate a trend.

What happened to Khan Academy—and is the SAT Getting Harder in 2024? (Spoiler: Yes)

Harvard grad, SAT/ACT/GRE perfect scorer, and test-prep expert Brian R. McElroy has provided full-time professional private tutoring, test-prep coaching, & group courses since 2002, for students of all ages: SAT, ACT, GMAT, LSAT, GRE, ISEE, college consulting, & essay editing. Tutoring /...

mcelroytutoring.com

Call him what you want, he's still a patriot.

He's a lying, toupee-wearing, faggot traitor.

In 5 days we will know.

True.

 

[randomradio]

No surprise. Very stupid though.

That means your PM is a liar too.

I'm absolutely not. More arrests do not equal more arrivals.

Uh... That's exactly what it means.

No, it continues regardless because the plan is still to not get caught.

Except if they are less serious about catching them.

Biden’s Supposed “Open-Border Policy” Does Not Exist

Just a glance at 2023 border contracts suggests that more walls, detention centers, and expulsion flights are coming.

www.thenation.com

https://www.axios.com/2023/10/17/us-mexico-border-open-borders-myth

Election time optics.

They did but he appointed (before he left office in 2021) the judge that oversaw the case. The judge should have recused themselves but instead continued and dismissed the case.

That's not how it works. There needs to be a case for a judge to move it forward, regardless of who was brought in.

Great image for a President.

Doesn't matter. It's not worth a conviction.

Turning the country into a dictatorship is a no-no regardless. So much for giving back power to the states.

It does the opposite. US power is far too centralised, it needs to delegate more power to the states. Especially with things like education.

But they don't though, you just thought they did because your own literacy sucks.

But they do. Their literacy has fallen since the ED was set up. Chicago is a good metric to go on.

Too small a data set to indicate a trend.

The less educated the minority is, the more easily they are controlled. This is a very old leftist tactic.

In India, the main minority is sent to madrassas to the same effect.

He's a lying, toupee-wearing, faggot traitor.

Obama, Biden and Harris are way worse. Anyway, if Harris wins, it will be Obama's 4th presidency.

 

[BMD]

That means your PM is a liar too.

Hiding tax hikes is common. He's hiding behind the fact he didn't increase income tax or employee NI contribution so he can still say no extra tax on the 'working man' but it still affects the working man of course.

Uh... That's exactly what it means.

No, it means more stopped.

Except if they are less serious about catching them.

They don't change border patrol and ICE employees every time there's a change of government.

Election time optics.

Hard facts.

That's not how it works. There needs to be a case for a judge to move it forward, regardless of who was brought in.

The accused should never get to nominate a judge, nor should a judge preside over a case where they know the accused.

Doesn't matter. It's not worth a conviction.

Except it was illegal.

It does the opposite. US power is far too centralised, it needs to delegate more power to the states. Especially with things like education.

How does giving the President more powers do that.

But they do. Their literacy has fallen since the ED was set up. Chicago is a good metric to go on.

They don't, you were comparing two different things to get 92% and 54%. SATs have also got harder since 2019.

SATs were redesigned for 2017, this led to improved results, they then made them harder to ibvrease integrity for university selection. They gone up and down and up and down since 1972, there is no clear pattern:

Average SAT Scores Over Time: 1972–2023 · PrepScholar

What were the average SAT scores for 2021, 2020, 2019, and earlier? Find out in our historical guide to SAT averages back to 1972.

blog.prepscholar.com

The less educated the minority is, the more easily they are controlled. This is a very old leftist tactic.
In India, the main minority is sent to madrassas to the same effect.

Must be why you're thick as shit.

Obama, Biden and Harris are way worse. Anyway, if Harris wins, it will be Obama's 4th presidency.

Or Carter's 5th presidency.

 

[BMD]

 

[jetray]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1852807444541431903

 

[randomradio]

What the heck they kill a squirrel and raccoon for?

https://twitter.com/x/status/1852683201958817811

 

[Hydra]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1852807444541431903

Allan Litchtman, with his famous model had concluded that Kamala will be the next US president. The most worrying thing is he had a track record of predicting successfully since 1984 except in Bush's case.
Don't know what Musk will do if Kamala comes to power, i am not telling that US politicians will behave like immature & mistreat Ellon, but he had his own tweets to defend or anwer.

 

[BMD]

 

[BMD]

What the heck they kill a squirrel and raccoon for?

https://twitter.com/x/status/1852683201958817811

It's illegal in many states.

https://www.wonderopolis.org/wonder/do-squirrels-make-good-pets

Squirrels were protected in wildlife conservation and exotic pet laws. Today, it’s illegal to keep a squirrel as a pet in many states. Animal experts believe this is a good thing, because squirrels are wild animals that, despite their cuteness, should remain in the wild.

Possibly also disease-related reasons - remember COVID.

 

[BMD]

 

[BMD]

Doesn't even trust his wife to vote for him: