How is this unrealistic? 12 Su57 in fly off condition by 2030 what is wrong with that?
That number is for a very tiny nation like Qatar, Singapore, or Bahrain. With 12 jets, you have 2 for training, 2 for tactics development, and 8 for operational use. 3 jets will never be available due to maintenance. So you just have 4 operational jets left with 1 in reserve. So that's 1 sortie a day for 2 jets. In case of emergency you can send the remaining 2 jets up. That's all. It means your local presence is just 2 hours out of 24 hours.
Any orders we place will have to be at least 40-45 jets or local production with 6-9 squadrons.
Point is they have built the infrastructure for that, here HAL is stuck with old school production technologies. The skill set is missing as well to work on different aircrafts. There is a capacity limit.
HAL's fighter production days are coming to an end. LCA is likely to be the last IAF fighter jet they will build.
F35 is already operational. The FOC in western countries come after being tested in real time environment against an inferior enemy. Let us not even compare their test models with IAF.
For decades IAF was the testbed for Russian and then French aircrafts. More over every upgrade needs an FOC, so everytime you add a new weapon or sensor it will be tested and FOC to fly with that weapon or equipment on board will come in years.
You all know this don't you?
F-35s are not combat capable yet.
The latest Director, Operational Test & Evaluation report says no combat-capable F-35 TR-3 aircraft have been delivered to the U.S. military until
theaviationist.com
They are currently using unupgraded jets with TR-2 hardware for combat and are hoping to make the advanced version combat capable with basic capabilities by 2028. Some Block 4 capabilities are expected by 2029-30 and full capabilities only by 2033 with an upgraded engine.
The new jets don't even come with radars.
Due to delays in developing the new AN/APG-85 radar, the United States will receive F-35 aircraft for its air component without operational radars starting in June 2025. Instead, ballast is […]
militarnyi.com
I have explained the FOC scam already. That depends on GOI how early they give business to foreign partners.
And MKIzed version will only come when there is an infrastructure to sustain the production. You don't need MKIzed version before 2035 either. You just need a potent stealth aircraft to buy the time to develop AMCA and MKIzed version of SU57.
AMCA is not coming either before 2045 because you do not have any engine, I am repeatedly saying it, SU57 will come early. And there is no progress so far when it comes to engine technology at GTRE. The institution is confused because they do not have test facilities and raw material.
DRDO and HAL they have learn so much from the foreign engine but they are not able to produce because accurate production technology is missing.
Even Su-57 has not achieved FOC in Russia. And yes, if AMCA fails we will have to import something. But I don't think it will get delayed to that extent 'cause the people supplying engine tech to us don't want us to fund the Russian aerospace industry. If they fail to supply the engines, then we will be forced to rely on Russian imports. But we have time to make that decision, around 2030-35.
Both F414 and AMCA engine deals are expected this year. By 2030, one will be in full scale production, the other will be under flight testing. So we will know the status of both programs pretty quickly. That gives enough time for us to make a Su-57 decision, ie, after 2030. AMCA's engine is based on already-developed French tech too.
There was risk of AMCA failing half a decade ago, but that risk is pretty much gone today.
Well SU57 MKIzed or non MKIzed is far better than any aircraft currently in IAF inventory with a huge margin, that is well known. This is exactly what GOI did, got the Rafales first and now working on indiginization of it. And any Su57 is better than those Chinese ones.
Su-57 is still in IOC stage in Russia, and with the wrong engine, the 177. This engine is underpowered for Indian conditions where thrust drops by 15%. Izd 30 is necessary so it can give us somewhat lesser thrust than 177 due to thrust lapse and more stealth with better thermal management. Do people not realize that if we choose an engine for the Su-57 today, we will be stuck with it for the life of the aircraft, just like AL-31FP on MKI even though so many better engines have come up since?
177 barely makes it as a 5th gen engine. But we need the higher-end 5th gen capabilities of Izd 30 to manage the jet for 50 years.
J-20 has achieved maturity as of this year with the new 18.5T engine. So Chengdu is now ramping up production. It's unclear when Su-57 will match the J-20 today.
Pretty much all new jets coming up are better than every aircraft in our inventory, so there's nothing special about that, it's just the natural course of events.
Upgradation from Izd117 to Izd 30 is being done. Both are intented for stealth aircrafts.
Sure, so let's see once Izd 30 becomes operational. IAF is not gonna buy immature tech from Russia. We did that twice and paid for it.
Today, F-35 doesn't have radar or combat capability, Su-57 is immature and doesn't have the right engine. It will take until 2030 for both.