Indian Economy : News,Discussions & Updates



My favorite economist analyst.

India should just follow the Poland/Malaysia model. Huge amounts of FDI and manufacturing focused on exports. This 7% growth stuff is gonna leave India behind China forever.

Jobs in manufacturing garnets, electronics and cars provide large quantities of jobs. While improving India's education system will unlock the national world brands/startups.
 
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India needs 10% growth badly. Manufacturing is the key to solve jobs issue as well.

Unless something big happens, I doubt it's possible. China did it when global growth was high. A more sustainable 7-8% growth with a stable currency would be a better option.

India's exchange rate back in 2010 was Rs 45 to a dollar. Today it's Rs 80. Meaning, with a stable currency, our GDP today would have been $6T already, and we would have been on our way to $12T instead.

What's more important today is drastically improving our socio-economic conditions, like introducing universal healthcare and quality school education with sufficient access to all. Our actual literacy rate is atrocious. There's also a need to upskill labour. All this needs to be done by the end of the decade, or our massive population advantage will become meaningless.
 
Unless something big happens, I doubt it's possible. China did it when global growth was high. A more sustainable 7-8% growth with a stable currency would be a better option.

India's exchange rate back in 2010 was Rs 45 to a dollar. Today it's Rs 80. Meaning, with a stable currency, our GDP today would have been $6T already, and we would have been on our way to $12T instead.

What's more important today is drastically improving our socio-economic conditions, like introducing universal healthcare and quality school education with sufficient access to all. Our actual literacy rate is atrocious. There's also a need to upskill labour. All this needs to be done by the end of the decade, or our massive population advantage will become meaningless.

Yes, the author did mention education as India's biggest weakness, now that infrastructure has been addressed.
 
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Yes, the author did mention education as India's biggest weakness, now that infrastructure has been addressed.

Higher education in India is decent, stuff middle class and above can afford. So that has to scale up as more and more start affording it.

Whereas school education is WIP, but they are working on it.

We are currently following a 10+2 system, that's 10 years of primary and secondary schools (1-10th grades) and 2 years of high school (11th and 12th). It's for children between 6 and 18.

That's being changed to a 5+3+3+4 system starting from 3 years old.

New-National-Education-Policy.png


Details here for those interested:

Interesting bit here:
The Higher Education Commission of India will have a board, an interim committee, an Academic Council, and a technical committee. The Prime Minister of India will chair the Interim Committee. There will be 14 members, seven of whom will be elected by the general public. The Board will be in charge of all government universities. The Interim Committee will be in charge of the day-to-day running of the Board.
 
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Higher education in India is decent, stuff middle class and above can afford. So that has to scale up as more and more start affording it.

Whereas school education is WIP, but they are working on it.

We are currently following a 10+2 system, that's 10 years of primary and secondary schools (1-10th grades) and 2 years of high school (11th and 12th). It's for children between 6 and 18.

That's being changed to a 5+3+3+4 system starting from 3 years old.

New-National-Education-Policy.png


Details here for those interested:

Interesting bit here:
The Higher Education Commission of India will have a board, an interim committee, an Academic Council, and a technical committee. The Prime Minister of India will chair the Interim Committee. There will be 14 members, seven of whom will be elected by the general public. The Board will be in charge of all government universities. The Interim Committee will be in charge of the day-to-day running of the Board.
Primary education has the biggest weakness.
 
Primary education has the biggest weakness.

Within 10 years, the minimum skills required out of school will be to read a newspaper, write a few lines about a surprise topic and do some basic maths. Anything above that is only for college education. And everything else will be handled by AI. Of course, Indian education barely provides even that outside cities.
 
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