How many carriers are they eventually aiming for?
Because a few years ago, during the induction of the Shandong, some reports said, they aimed for 6 carriers, atleast 2 of which being nuclear-powered.
But now, I'm hearing they are going for 10 carriers, 6 of them being 'super carriers'...
Still, even if they do reach that figure, they're gonna find their O&M costs ballooning through the roof (carrier + escorts + air-wing + sailors). Also, the Americans will still have 11 supercarriers, since that's the US Navy's statutory requirement...
Anyway, talking about the Indian situation.... first of all, we need a comprehensive defense white paper, which should answer a very important question:
What should the Indian Navy's role be?
-A long-range expeditionary force, like the USN? Nah, we'll need nuclear-powered fleets for that, and it's too bloody expensive.... Maybe 10-15 years down the line, we'll think about it.
-A small, effective littoral force, limited to protecting Indian trade and shipping lines and somehow, containing China in the IOR? Nah again, bcoz even for protecting our trade routes, we need CVBGs to effectively secure the water all the way from the Gulf of Aden + Gulf of Oman in the West (against the Pakistanis, considering if they even have any blockade capability) to the southern parts of the South China Sea (SCS) (against the Chinese) in the East.
So the way I see it, assuming the Chinese manage to put 8 carriers into the water by 2040, the Indian Navy should (realistically) operate atleast 4 CVBGs.
1) Vikramaditya CBG (Carrier Strike Fleet 01)
2) Vikrant CBG (Carrier Strike Fleet 02)
3) Vishal CBG (TBA) (Carrier Strike Fleet 03)
4) IAC-3 CBG (TBA) (Carrier Strike Fleet 04)
Now let's go over all these CSFs, their composition, projection strength, endurance, future role, etc...
NOTE - All these are based on current patterns, deployments + planned future acquisitions + wartime assumptions(all 4 carriers pressed into active duty) + a little educated imagination)
1) CSF 01 - INS Vikramaditya:
Composition:
- (C) INS Vikramaditya [45,400T, Max 40 aircraft, 1700+ sailors, Range: 25000+ Km]
- (D) INS Delhi
- (D) INS Mysore
- (D) INS Kolkata
- (F) INS Shivalik
- (F) INS Talwar
- (F) INS Tarkash
- (S,C) INS Kalvari
- (S,C) INS Khanderi/ (S,N) ISSN - 1
- (R) INS Jyoti
Projection Strength
- Total 10 ships, 4,200+ sailors, ~60 aircraft, support from shore-based P-8Is, MQ-9Bs, + helos + medium range strike missiles, Special Forces deployment capability, Gulf blockade capability (VBSS, etc...)
Role(s):
- Patrolling the Arabian Sea
- Protecting Indian civil trade ships in the two Gulfs
- Form the spearhead of offensive ops against Pakistan
- Can be switched over to secure the Greater IOR
Endurance:
- 50 days (extendable to 90 days)
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2) CSF 02 - INS Vikrant:
Composition:
- (C) INS Vikrant [45,000T, Max 40 aircraft, 1600+ sailors, Range: 16000+ Km]
- (D) INS Visakhapatanam
- (D) INS Kochi
- (D) INS Chennai
- (F) INS Sahyadri
- (F) INS Nilgiri
- (F) INS Himgiri
- (S,C) INS Karanj
- (S,N) INS Chakra III
- (R) INS Deepak
Projection Strength:
- Total 10 ships, ~4000 sailors, ~60 aircraft, support from shore-based P-8Is, MQ-9Bs, + helos + medium range strike missiles, Special Forces deployment capability, true CEC capability (MF-STAR + Barak 8), Strait blockade capability...
Role(s):
- Patrolling the Bay of Bengal + waters south of Sri Lanka
- Can switch with or for CSF 01
- Ensure trouble-free shipping till SCS
- Form spearhead of offensive ops against the Chinese (CBGs)
- Effectively blockade China's trade ships in the Strait of Malacca, Lombok Strait, Sunda Strait, and elsewhere...
Endurance:
- 50 -70 days
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Here comes the end of current fleet capabilities. In the next post , we'll take a look at the Navy's near-future capabilities....
LEGEND:
C - Carrier
D - Destroyer
F - Frigate
R - Replenishment Ship
S,C - Submarine, Conventional
S,N - Submarine, Nuclear
IAC - Indigenous Aircraft Carrier
ISSN - Indigenous Nuclear-powered Attack Submarine
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