Well, like I mentioned two days back, the game is about GB now. The artillery fire directed in depth at the Dam project was a deliberate message to China. You shall find an advisory on evacuation of Chinese nationals from the area adjoining LC shortly being circulated.
In light of the abrogation of Article 370, Pakistan has been placed in an unfortunate position. In my view, it has two options:
1. To move to integrate the territories of what you call Azaad Kashmir (our PoJ&K) and Gilgit-Baltistan into Pakistan.
2. Militarily launch a localised conflict in order to create enough panic for powers that be that an international mediation is brought to bear up on India.
The third but suicidal option that we need not discuss is to do nothing of course.
Over here, if Option #1 is exercised, it leaves Simla and Karachi Agreements null and void and leaves Pakistani position of plebiscite to decide future of Kashmir as merely a herring. Further, it allows India a justification to expand scope of military operations across LC, a point which quite a few of us have explained as the rationale for Political Ownership of the Surgical Strikes conducted in post Uri period - of considering LC as violable and not of import. This allows India all the options to expand the nature and scope of military engagement on its own intiative.
For Option#2, PM Modi has been able to get everyone on board here. Right now, the bargaining position of Pakistan is weak. It has nothing to offer US that it can not get by letting India have its way. Work out those angles for your self.
Third ..... your public will lynch your Generals
Interesting times ahead my friend. But one thing is clear, Pakistan will take a a step and whatever step it has as options, are stupidity in every way. A checkmate ...
The above is my reply to Arsalan123 in LOC thread, since closed.