Okay, let's see.
In 2017, I predicted on PeeDF that CPEC will fail by 2021-22. And I even pointed out how exactly, starting with the power sector, and how the system is rigged to fail. I provided examples of the cost of production and the cost of building the plants and the transmission lines relative to ours. And by 2021-22, Pakistani news articles confirmed my prediction to a tee.
Similarly, I predicted in 2018 that once the S-400s are introduced, PAF will become entirely defensive and helpless, that they will be pushed back towards the Af-Pak axis. Happened exactly as I predicted in Sindoor. I had also predicted we will buy 5 more squadrons.
When the Pakistanis were pushing the narrative of buying every jet on the planet in response to the Rafale deal I had predicted that the JF-17 B3's gonna be trash and that the only options for PAF will be J-10C and J-31. All 3 claims confirmed.
Back in 2017, I had posted the exact configuration of the LCA Mk1A even before Mk1A and MWF were announced. I was insulted and banned by this guy called Oscar only for making that post. They couldn't handle it I guess.
All that just on PeeDF.
On Indian forums, I had predicted the exact number of jets the IAF and IN need, and it's happening exactly as per that. The IN's numbers once again came to doubt very recently on the forum, which I corrected back to what I had always claimed. Picdel had also claimed that I had claimed IN would need 150 Rafales, and I pointed out that those numbers have not changed, the bulk have just switched over to TEDBF instead. I had claimed instead that the 26 Rafales will jump up by 13 to 31 more.
The previous decade I had predicted that the HTT-40 will only be delivered well after 2025, that's happening. I also predicted ATAGS will take until 2028 for inductions, so that's happening in 2027. I had also pointed out that the main gun requirement will be met by something else via competition.
I had predicted the SLEP of IL-76 too. When the media was reporting IL-76 will be withdrawn by 2035, I had pointed out that a bunch of them will be upgraded and will continue until 2050, so that's happening. The same thing is now repeating with Vikramaditya.
Of course, I always knew we will get Rafales in large numbers, so that's practically undisputed, irrespective of multiple members claiming not more than 36 will be bought. I had predicted we will import 6th gen, that's happening too.
When Ignorants was complaining about our indigenous sub program and how it's gonna be very late, I had predicted that as soon as P-75I is signed, we will initiate P-76 contrary to his claim of starting it after P-75I is delivered. So that's happening. I had also claimed that SSNs will happen before SSKs. So that's happened too.
When Ka-226T began to die and the media was reporting the death of all light imported helicopters via official sources, I had pointed out that all three services will get imported helicopters apart from HAL's, and now that's happening.
I claimed we will get DEW by 2021 years before that for which Ignorants mocked me, and then we got confirmation that we had one such weapon to protect Trump when he came to India in 2020.
Operationally too, I had once claimed that Pak's subs are useless for second strike against South India due to the very short cycle between conventional and nuclear, less than 3 days, within our conditions, and the short range of Babur. And Op Sindoor proved that with Pak moving nukes right after the PAF got decimated.
Politically, I had predicted mass immigration of third worlders like Indians into the UK right after Brexit. Apparently, "no one" could predict this, analysts still claim. But I have made multiple posts about it even before Covid.
@BMD dismissed it back then, and I told him to wait and watch.
I had predicted massive growth in the defense budgets of Europe too before Covid, that France's spending will be doubled. Even that's happening even though our European members had dismissed it back then.
I had also claimed before Covid that we will start seeing a massive rise in our capital budget from 2025 onwards, and that's begun too.
And these are only what I could remember off the top of my head.
So let's get this straight. How many analysts do you know who can make predictions in such a wide variety of topics and still get this many right? It's such a big deal to see someone getting just one thing right, never mind this many consistently back-to-back.
Sure, I got some misses. But I've got more hits than misses. And it's not like I keep changing my "stories" to make things fit. I claim something, I stick to it, and then there's a pretty good chance of it happening, rather than not.
@Tatvamasi once claimed I speak of future events like it's a fact. And Ignorants mocks my "2022" claims too, which have largely come true as well, irrespective of his insults. So here's a kick-a*s 2022 prediction where I spoke facts well before it happened.
If so, they what according to you, may be a possible timeline for RFP of MMRCA and negotiation and signing period , also for P75I.
I will just bookmark it, and if you turn out right, then you can say "I said so" or the other way round.
P-75I, if we have two OEMs, assuming a tender start in Aug 2023, then we could see a winner chosen between end-2024 and mid-2025. Contract signature has too many variables to guess, it could take 6 months or 2 years. We love to haggle. I'd say the contract will be signed anytime in 2026. Dunno what's the plan if only the Koreans participate.
MRFA...
Dec 3, 2022
P-75I:
I'd say the contract will be signed anytime in 2026.
MRFA:
If Rafale wins, a signature will be done within 6-12 months, well before mid-2027.
A more optimistic date for a Rafale victory should give us a signature in the second half of 2026.
Wait, what? It's like someone from MoD or PMO literally whispered it in my ears back in 2022.
How many people have you seen making such an accurate prediction? It's obvious my work speaks for itself at this point.
@Ankit Kumar
I had to bring up post 1041 prematurely, but it's happening as stated.