Line of Actual Control (LAC) : India & Tibet Border Updates

@Quicksilver : This is why I am more inclined towards believing narratives about Chinese incurssion. It is supported by circumstantial and verifiable evidences.

you are more inclined to believe:
1) the chinese incursion
2) IA hs no ammo (even for one day)

but you are NOT inclined to believe
1) our forces can manage this easily
2) this build up is by India and not china

even though we have no real info on either.

it only shows what you want to believe.
If those tents and fortification are indeed Indian, then it is so close that Indian soldiers can actually and literally SLAP Chinese soldiers there.
he did say "eyeball to eyeball" lol
 
When you lack information, you look for invariants. What can definitely NOT be the case.
1. Can Indian forces procure a brand new platform in this short while? Unlikely.
2. Can India buy a new platform in 500 Cr? Unlikely.

Then look for what was done in similar situations before.
3. What did India bought with her past emergency purchases of similar kind? A2A missiles mainly.
4. What is likely to be purchased? Similar kind of ammo. A2A missiles for IAF, Ammo for IA.
when you lack information, you should say you lack information.

you shouldnt pass off your "opinion" as "information".

there was a 11 hour marathon meeting between ind-china generals - we dont know the outcome of that.

for all your know, chinese AI and deepfakes could be behind these satellite imagery.

India is a democracy, sooner or later the truth will come out. much earlier than the chinese regime for sure.
 
One interesting and kind of unusual statement came out from Russia yesterday when our DM was about to do PC.

They said Russia will honour all the previous weapon deals and will not renege on them.

Unusual and interesting because we are the buyers, Russia is supplier, it's us who may renege on some deals, by not paying, buying from elsewhere, like that of Kamov Heli and others. How come Russia has to mention it specifically? Was there anything like that? Did they threaten to stop supply and break contract? This statement does not make sense when put without context.
I am not sure sir but there was a chatter that Chinese are trying to disrupt our supplies by putting pressure on Russia.
 
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but you are NOT inclined to believe
1) our forces can manage this easily
This part I never said. Though from the tweets by @Falcon I don't believe the "easy" part. This is not an easy conflict.

2) this build up is by India and not china
No, from the evidence we have seen, I am doubtful that these are Indian deployments.
I am not sure sir but there was a chatter that Chinese are trying to disrupt our supplies by putting pressure on Russia.
There was a post on facebook by People's Daily urging a Russian Think Tank to help de-escalate crisis in Asia by NOT providing supplies to India. Their words not mine.
 
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I always stated that it was about CPEC and relieving pressure on Pakistan. Chinese have spent largest amount of money in CPEC. They can't let it go. They initially tried to rope in India as a partner but that failed. Now with BJP announcing that they want whole of J&K including POJK & GB, china is worried about its investments. Did it ever occur to you that China will loose East Turmenistan and Tibet if India has to go into offensive with world behind us?
Irrespective of who fires first shot, The supplylines of PLA will get demolished and destroyed by us. The famous 6th army of Germans for whom Hitler had said that they can they even win heavens for him was defeated only because of very long supplylines. The Battle of Stalingrad has the dubious distinction wherein a Field Martial surrendered to the enemy.
We have to ensure that initial rocket arty barrage of PLA is not able to cause much damage to our frontline formations and infra deep inside. After that they will not have reloads with them. But if India seizes the initiative and strikes them first thru pre-emptive strikes, we wont have any threat to even our formations from Chinese arty and rocket forces. After that the game goes to use of nukes. We are more than prepared to kill over 80% chinese population as they are not homogeneously spread like Indian population. Plus, first nuke strike on India will bring a shower of nukes on China from rest of the world. The pet dogs of China, will be gone much before that. I mean Pakistan & N Korea.
I am 100% sure that even Russia will help India in this war as they too have very old grudge with China plus demise of China will help them more than a strong China. They want to get into Mongolia, especially inner Mongolia. World and chinese want China dismembered. Freedom from CCP.

If I were Chinese, my fear would not be Tibet. It would be Xinjiang. If India manages to get back the GB area and PoK from China, then we share a border with Xinjiang. Unlike Tibet, this region has a population which can be incited by us to violence. And this is the fear China has.

A war with China is inevitable. If not now, few years down the line. It is in our interests to ensure the Quad succeeds. More so, post the events of the past 2 months. An Asian NATO. The Indo-Pacific Treaty Organisation.
 
Its just simple earthworks that they are building. But, it will be more difficult for IA to vacate them in hand to hand combat.. assuming they are chinese fortifications

India has no road accessing that Galwan area where trucks can go to carry material. Only small track for patrolling. So they can't construct that much. More over there is a place Zo La in Sikkim, tracking area comes after Nathu La, if you watch the chinese side from there you can see blue or red roofs similar to what you are seeing in photos.

There is a reason why Rajnath ji rushed to Moscow.

Edit: But I forgot to mention that at many places in Sikkim the Indian army has red roof as well just like you see in the photo. The only reason why they are chinese structure is because I don't see any connectivity towards Indian side so how are they built. That's my doubt.
 
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One interesting and kind of unusual statement came out from Russia yesterday when our DM was about to do PC.

They said Russia will honour all the previous weapon deals and will not renege on them.

Unusual and interesting because we are the buyers, Russia is supplier, it's us who may renege on some deals, by not paying, buying from elsewhere, like that of Kamov Heli and others. How come Russia has to mention it specifically? Was there anything like that? Did they threaten to stop supply and break contract? This statement does not make sense when put without context.

You can read it in multiple ways. All deals will be fulfilled. New deals are off the table. Deliveries will be as per schedule, not expediated. Too many interpretations can be made.
 
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when you lack information, you should say you lack information.
There is NO additional information ANY one of us has here barring professionals like @Falcon @vstol Jockey. So, it is quite evident that there is a lack of information also given terse communication from South Block.

you shouldnt pass off your "opinion" as "information".
ALL of my posts are my opinions only. LOL! Do I need to now say that explicitly?

Sorry, if I have said that. Lemme be explicit. I DO NOT WORK FOR SOUTH BLOCK. I am not a part of IA or IN or IAF or IB or RAW etc. There I said that explicitly.

When we get information like satellite images, that is quite evident.

there was a 11 hour marathon meeting between ind-china generals - we dont know the outcome of that.
No comments. Indeed there was no information shared in public.

for all your know, chinese AI and deepfakes could be behind these satellite imagery.
Thats hard actually. Why? Many of these sat images are coming from Planetlabs and GeoEye-2 sat and can be cross verified with some cost. I am actually working to get access to PlanetLabs so we will have an independent source and much larger view.
 
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By the way this is Nathu La. Same red roofs
 
I am surprised that some members still think that structures in PT14 is Indian. They are undeniably Chinese fortifications.


1) Defensive walls are facing Indian side. Chinese side of the base of open and even have a road. No army will shut down its retreat/supply line while keeping enemy face wide open for attack

2)Its on the other bank of the river, again if its Indian, we will have our back against a river whose water flow is controlled by Chinese. Something not anyone with a brain will do. If we built the fortifications, we would have built in the other bank of the river which is accessible to Indian vehicles. Also, river will be a natural obstruction to any chines assault.

3) Chinese already have heavy machines and diggers few 100 meters above for at-least 2 weeks, evident from old satellite pictures.

4)All Chinese tents are pink tents which IA do not use.
PT12.jpg
 
If I were Chinese, my fear would not be Tibet. It would be Xinjiang. If India manages to get back the GB area and PoK from China, then we share a border with Xinjiang. Unlike Tibet, this region has a population which can be incited by us to violence. And this is the fear China has.

A war with China is inevitable. If not now, few years down the line. It is in our interests to ensure the Quad succeeds. More so, post the events of the past 2 months. An Asian NATO. The Indo-Pacific Treaty Organisation.
Well, India will have to pick a camp. Don't know how will it work. Will it be China specific camp or left open to other threats. If it is indeed then we will find it hard to join. You don't want to fight Russia if US picks a fight with them.
 
Both of them knows each others and their possible plan.
But it seems this will be bloody one.
First of all in mountain warfare the party that is on top of the mountain has advantage.
PLA has advantage.

But due to terrain factor which everyone already knows IAF have advantage over PLAAF.

Last thing we have more than enough manpower.
But need money ,weapons and technology .
And during this COvid time it would be Herculean task.

And for the PM if he cant stand up against China this time.
It would be a Waterloo for his political career.
Will destroy the strong man image he takes.

But AFAIK Modi wont back down .Guy has tremendous will power .
Mobilisation of entire military showed his nature .
Most probably there will be limited war includes AF and Army .
Navy involves if it gets serious
Oh no Sir, Modi will never back down and if the Chinese don't listen, by God he will gather all his fury and ire and ask them again.

Heaven protect those audacious interlopers from the wrath of the commander in chief. They do not know his white hot rage that will crash into them and force them to hold very lengthy discussions again and again. I pity the poor *censored*s, I do. They'd much rather face lead than live through the shame of Mr. Modi's strong, strong condemnations.
 
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Oh no Sir, Modi will never back down and if the Chinese don't listen, by God he will gather all his fury and ire and ask them again.

Heaven protect those audacious interlopers from the wrath of the commander in chief. They do not know his white hot rage that will crash into them and force them to hold very lengthy discussions again and again. I pity the poor *censored*s, I do. They'd much rather face lead than live through the shame of Mr. Modi's strong, strong condemnations.
Modi is sitting silent right now. Dare I say, rightly so. That said, when he opened his mouth for once, it was more for his political advantage and less for anything else.

Right now this crisis is being managed by Foreign Ministry on diplomatic side.

South Block is having lunch and dabbas are fully open. No one did a damn thing during entire May and now in June too. In july they will run like headless chickens again for more emergency supplies. Wonder if Dabba-Babus have some kind of summer holidays.
 
Oh no Sir, Modi will never back down and if the Chinese don't listen, by God he will gather all his fury and ire and ask them again.

Heaven protect those audacious interlopers from the wrath of the commander in chief. They do not know his white hot rage that will crash into them and force them to hold very lengthy discussions again and again. I pity the poor *censored*s, I do. They'd much rather face lead than live through the shame of Mr. Modi's strong, strong condemnations.
can we put the political bickering aside atleast during this time? you can do all your "modi Stronk" jokes once we are past this headache.
 
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can we put the political bickering aside atleast during this time? you can do all your "modi Stronk" jokes once we are past this headache.
Yes, we must not hold our commander in chief accountable when the Chinese want to steal the table he invited them to sup on and on their way blame us for not providing enough mutton.

Neheru hoisted himself with his own petard, and the silly goat is rightly admonished so. Same will be done for Modi's faults. I did not mention BJP did I? I mentioned our leader, chosen by the people. If that is political bickering, I'm afraid the only non political bit in this whole mess are the two armies (actually one, the other has political commissars). Would you like me to blame the Indian armies instead?

I'm afraid the only way to get Mr. Modi's immovable attention from his singular, admirable focus from domestic political machinations is to roast his proverbial nuts on the fire. It saddens me, oh so much, to tear him away from the corridors of power he so adores, but like they say, a pair roasted in time, saves nine (hundred and ninety nine million +lose change).
 
Yes, we must not hold our commander in chief accountable when the Chinese want to steal the table he invited them to sup on and on their way blame us for not providing enough mutton.

Neheru hoisted himself with his own petard, and the silly goat is rightly admonished so. Same will be done for Modi's faults. I did not mention BJP did I? I mentioned our leader, chosen by the people. If that is political bickering, I'm afraid the only non political bit in this whole mess are the two armies (actually one, the other has political commissars). Would you like me to blame the Indian armies instead?

I'm afraid the only way to get Mr. Modi's immovable attention from his singular, admirable focus from domestic political machinations is to roast his proverbial nuts on the fire. It saddens me, oh so much, to tear him away from the corridors of power he so adores, but like they say, a pair roasted in time, saves nine (hundred and ninety nine million +lose change).

you should hold everyone accountable. but that has a time and place. using the skirmish happening right now to score political points only shows our divided state to the enemy.
as of now, I would hope people will support their armed forces And yes that includes the supreme commander, the DM, EAM, etc).
they also know that if they fail, they will be roasted.

but do they need to be roasted right now when they are already facing fire from external threats? can we give them support to counter that threat? at least that much we can do?
 
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By the way this is Nathu La. Same red roofs
This is the building right on Nathu La, yes? Then I'm afraid the situation is a bit different. It's a formal gate/immigration point. I actually have a picture of it.


[Actually, I'm removing the image here since I don't know if it's alright to post it. It has like loads of tourists, so that's not secretive. But, still. I'll post of a mod gives me okay]

The small green-brown camo polycarb sheet at the bottom is how most of the IA structures look, and a flat green.

And this is just the gate, nothing sensitive so don't go flipping on me. Those are milling tourists, so no sensitive info there.
 
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