Pakistan Economy : Updates and Discussions

Masha Ganesha! Pak rupee touching new heights every day!

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India - Teacher teacher ye aapki baat nhi maan rha hai.
FATF - Haan beta maan jayega, jao dono log bahar ja kar khelo.
India - yes Mam


After sometime:
India - Teacher teacher ye fir baat nhi maan rha hai, dekho isne mujhe mara.
FATF, US - Pakistan beta aise nhi karte, sorry bolo bhaiya se.

After some more time:
India - Teacher teacher isne fir mujhe mara.
US - Koi nhi beta, ladai nhi karte, main dantunga usko.
India - yes sir.
 
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First massive oil discovery and now this............You don't have to embarass yourself, that's our job.

ADB distances itself from Pakistan's 'premature' claim of USD 3.4 billion loan
Press Trust of India | Islamabad, Last Updated at June 17, 2019 10:40 IST

In a huge embarrassment for the Pakistan government, the ADB has distanced itself from the "premature announcement" of Prime Minister Imran Khan's adviser that the global lender would provide a loan of USD 3.4 billion to the cash-strapped nation, saying "discussions are ongoing".

The rare rebuff by the Philippines-headquartered institution came a day after Khan's adviser on finance Abdul Hafeez Shaikh and Federal Minister for Planning, Development and Reforms Khusro Bakhtiar announced that the country would get a loan of USD 3.4 billion for budgetary support, out of which USD 2.1 billion would be released within a year.

The Asian Development Bank (ADB's) stance taking the rare step on a public holiday to issue a statement assumes significance as the cash-strapped country is trying to overcome a ballooning balance-of-payments crisis that threatens to cripple its economy.

In its statement, the ADB confirmed the meetings with the government members and discussions on loans. "These discussions are ongoing and details of the plans as well as the volume of ADB's financial support, once finalised, will be contingent upon the approval of ADB management and its Board of Directors," ADB's Country Director for Pakistan Xiaohong Yang was quoted as saying by Dawn news on Monday.

The ADB said it was "discussing with the GoP (government of Pakistan) plans to provide budget support programmes, results-based and project assistance to help improve Pakistan's competitiveness and fiscal sustainability".

It said the bank could help the government manage external debt and balance of payments and maintain the momentum of macroeconomic and structural reforms to support economic stability and expansion.

"ADB is pleased with the progress of discussions with the government of Pakistan on these issues," the statement added.
Sources here said "the ADB management was embarrassed by the government's premature announcement about the ongoing discussions on loan programme which the bank had not even taken up with its board of directors and had to take an extraordinary step to downplay the discussions".

The ADB delegation which had met Shaikh was also not authorised at its own to finalise any loan programme that normally involved long-drawn discussions, the report said.

Moreover, the ADB had also linked its loans for budgetary support to the approval of USD 6 billion bailout package from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a 39-month reforms programme, it said.

The sources said that the statements by the two senior Cabinet members focused on the exchange rate as the Pakistani rupee has been losing its value against the UD dollar for over a year with no let-up.

Pakistan seeks help to overcome a ballooning balance of payments crisis. Last month, it reached an agreement in principle with the IMF for a three-year, USD 6 billion bailout package aimed at shoring up its finances and strengthening a slowing economy.

In April, three influential US lawmakers urged the Trump adminstration to oppose the proposed multi-billion bailout package being sought by Pakistan from the IMF arguing it could be used to repay the Chinese debt.

China is investing heavily in Pakistan under the USD 60 billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Launched in 2015, the CPEC is a planned network of roads, railways and energy projects linking China's resource-rich Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region with Pakistan's strategic Gwadar Port on the Arabian Sea.

The US has serious reservations over global lenders like the IMF providing a bailout to Pakistan to pay off Chinese debts. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo in the past warned that any potential IMF bailout for Pakistan should not provide funds to pay off Chinese lenders, saying "we will be watching what the IMF does... there is no rationale for IMF tax dollars and associated with that American dollars that are part of the IMF funding, for those to go to bail out Chinese bondholders or China itself".


(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

ADB distances itself from Pakistan's 'premature' claim of USD 3.4 billion loan
 
First massive oil discovery and now this............You don't have to embarass yourself, that's our job.

ADB distances itself from Pakistan's 'premature' claim of USD 3.4 billion loan
Press Trust of India | Islamabad, Last Updated at June 17, 2019 10:40 IST

In a huge embarrassment for the Pakistan government, the ADB has distanced itself from the "premature announcement" of Prime Minister Imran Khan's adviser that the global lender would provide a loan of USD 3.4 billion to the cash-strapped nation, saying "discussions are ongoing".

The rare rebuff by the Philippines-headquartered institution came a day after Khan's adviser on finance Abdul Hafeez Shaikh and Federal Minister for Planning, Development and Reforms Khusro Bakhtiar announced that the country would get a loan of USD 3.4 billion for budgetary support, out of which USD 2.1 billion would be released within a year.

The Asian Development Bank (ADB's) stance taking the rare step on a public holiday to issue a statement assumes significance as the cash-strapped country is trying to overcome a ballooning balance-of-payments crisis that threatens to cripple its economy.

In its statement, the ADB confirmed the meetings with the government members and discussions on loans. "These discussions are ongoing and details of the plans as well as the volume of ADB's financial support, once finalised, will be contingent upon the approval of ADB management and its Board of Directors," ADB's Country Director for Pakistan Xiaohong Yang was quoted as saying by Dawn news on Monday.

The ADB said it was "discussing with the GoP (government of Pakistan) plans to provide budget support programmes, results-based and project assistance to help improve Pakistan's competitiveness and fiscal sustainability".

It said the bank could help the government manage external debt and balance of payments and maintain the momentum of macroeconomic and structural reforms to support economic stability and expansion.

"ADB is pleased with the progress of discussions with the government of Pakistan on these issues," the statement added.
Sources here said "the ADB management was embarrassed by the government's premature announcement about the ongoing discussions on loan programme which the bank had not even taken up with its board of directors and had to take an extraordinary step to downplay the discussions".

The ADB delegation which had met Shaikh was also not authorised at its own to finalise any loan programme that normally involved long-drawn discussions, the report said.

Moreover, the ADB had also linked its loans for budgetary support to the approval of USD 6 billion bailout package from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a 39-month reforms programme, it said.

The sources said that the statements by the two senior Cabinet members focused on the exchange rate as the Pakistani rupee has been losing its value against the UD dollar for over a year with no let-up.

Pakistan seeks help to overcome a ballooning balance of payments crisis. Last month, it reached an agreement in principle with the IMF for a three-year, USD 6 billion bailout package aimed at shoring up its finances and strengthening a slowing economy.

In April, three influential US lawmakers urged the Trump adminstration to oppose the proposed multi-billion bailout package being sought by Pakistan from the IMF arguing it could be used to repay the Chinese debt.

China is investing heavily in Pakistan under the USD 60 billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Launched in 2015, the CPEC is a planned network of roads, railways and energy projects linking China's resource-rich Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region with Pakistan's strategic Gwadar Port on the Arabian Sea.

The US has serious reservations over global lenders like the IMF providing a bailout to Pakistan to pay off Chinese debts. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo in the past warned that any potential IMF bailout for Pakistan should not provide funds to pay off Chinese lenders, saying "we will be watching what the IMF does... there is no rationale for IMF tax dollars and associated with that American dollars that are part of the IMF funding, for those to go to bail out Chinese bondholders or China itself".


(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

ADB distances itself from Pakistan's 'premature' claim of USD 3.4 billion loan
Yup, surprising to see ADB even held talk to help them with $ 3.4 billion. Being a stakeholder, India should question the return and ability of the Pakistan to pay the loan.
Pakistan is not ready to change the fundamental flaws in their economy, they are in fact borrowing more to pay their debt and are not showing any signs of generating required revenue to overcome this situation. I don't know why some organizations are saving them from defaulting.
 
Gas consumers to face up to 200% price hike
By Zafar Bhutta

Published: June 19, 2019

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PHOTO: FILE

ISLAMABAD: Domestic consumers are set to face up to 200% hike in gas prices from July 1, mainly due to the rupee depreciation against the dollar. However, the Petroleum Division has proposed no increase in gas prices for the elite who use gas in bulk.

The Economic Coordination Committee (ECC), scheduled to meet on Wednesday (today), is likely to approve the proposed hike in gas tariff, an official said. The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) government has already increased gas prices by up to 143% during the ongoing financial year.

The Petroleum Division has proposed 25% increase in gas prices for domestic gas consumer in the first slab. Fifty per cent (50%) increase is recommended for the second slab, 75% for the third slab, 100% for the fourth slab, 150% for the fifth slab and 200% for the sixth slab gas consumers.

Pakistan sets lower revenue targets for oil, gas firms

However, no increase has been proposed for the bulk gas consumers.

With the proposed increase in gas prices, the bill for consumers falling in the first slab will go up from existing Rs285 to Rs422 per month. Bill for slab-two consumer will go up from Rs572 to Rs1,219; bill for slab-three from Rs2,305 to Rs4,009; bill for slab-four from Rs3,589 to Rs7,995 and bill for slab-five from Rs13,508 to Rs14,373 per month.

The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) had recommend 31% and 20% across the board increase respectively in gas prices for all categories of the Sui Northern Gas Pipeline Limited (SNGPL) and the Sui Southern Gas Company (SSGC) consumers.

The main reason for increase in gas prices is said to be depreciation of rupee against dollar. Ogra had set Rs150 per US dollar exchange rate to determine prices of gas for consumers in the next financial year.

The SNGPL had demanded 144% average increase in gas prices. However, Ogra allowed 46% average hike for its consumers. The SSGC had demanded 30% increase in gas prices. But the regulator allowed 28% average price increase for the next financial year.

Ogra had recommended 18% increase in gas price for slab-one consumers, 29% for slab-two, 32% for slab-three, 12% for slab-four, and 4% for both slab-5 and slab-six consumers.

Experts say Ogra allowed increase in gas prices to enable the government avail the International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout package. The government has already agreed with the IMF to increase prices of gas and electricity.

The SNGPL had estimated its revenue requirement to be Rs1223.7 billion that included Rs309.5 billion for ongoing financial year and Rs165.12 billion shortfall for previous year’s adjustment.

The regulator allowed total revenue of Rs293.3 billion including Rs264.58 billion for the next fiscal year and Rs28.7 billion revenue for previous years’ adjustments. The gas utility has been allowed to recover this revenue shortfall from the gas consumers by increasing prices of gas by 47%.

No oil, gas reserves found off Pakistan shore

The regulator has also allowed the SNGPL to build 8,000 kilometers distribution network with an initial cost of Rs5.3 billion. It also allowed Rs1.12 billion to recover from the gas consumers for rehabilitation of system and Unaccounted for Gas (UFG) control.

The authority allowed Rs344 million for 450 industrial and 5,000 commercial gas connections. An amount of Rs3.2 billion has been allowed for 400,000 new domestic gas connections.

The regulator allowed 6.30% UFG. Out of the total gas theft amounting to 49.06 billion cubic feet per day, Ogra has put the burden of 29.2 bcfd on consumers. The total UFG has been assessed at 10.5%.

The SSGCL had projected a total revenue shortfall of Rs254.7 billion for next financial year 2019-20 and Rs24.9 billion for previous years’ adjustment.

The regulator allowed passing on Rs270.7 billion that include Rs245.8 billion for next financial years’ adjustment and Rs24.9 billion for previous years’ adjustment. The total UFG of the company has been calculated at 15.69%. The regulator allowed 6.30% from the gas consumers amounting to Rs19.2 billion.
 
Borrowing from SBP doubles to Rs2.7tr

Shahid Iqbal, Updated June 23, 2019
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KARACHI: The government has announced its decision to stop borrowing funds from the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) in the next fiscal year after cumulative borrowing in the ongoing fiscal year doubled to Rs2.7 trillion as of June 14 compared to Rs1.43tr in the same period last year.

The disappointing revenue collection during the ongoing fiscal year forced the government to borrow heavily from the SBP but the decision not to borrow from next fiscal year does not tally with the actual revenue position of the government.

The government in the budget 2019-20 plans to increase revenues by up to Rs1.4tr on account of higher inflation and reducing subsidies.

At the same time, the government’s debt retirement to scheduled banks has more than tripled to Rs859 billion compared to Rs247bn in the same period last year.

Sources in financial sector believe that in the absence of central bank, the government will look towards the commercial banks for its financing needs.

The possible huge outflow of funds from the banks to the government would practically dry up the liquidity for private sector ultimately affecting the overall economic activity.

However, with the approval of the IMF programme by the IMF board, it is likely that funds from other bilateral sources will resume and help government decrease its reliance from the SBP as well as the commercial banks.

The commercial banks have already invested Rs5.2tr in the government papers till April including Rs3.122tr in treasury bills and Rs2.077tr in Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs).

On the other hand, non-bank financial institutions have also invested Rs1.364tr in PIBs and Rs678bn in T-bills bringing the total investments from the private sector till April — including banks — to a whopping Rs7.3tr.

The government’s total domestic debt as of April have reached Rs18.5tr. Financial sector analysts believe that the government would opt to issue long-term PIBs to raise liquidity with highly attractive rate of around 13 per cent or more.

The PML-N government had also issued PIBs at higher rates in the beginning of their five-year tenure but the move proved to be costly after interest rate fell to single digit.

Bankers have also warned that the government’s recent drive to get Rs40,000 prize bonds registered could also deprive it from possible source of borrowing.

Published in Dawn, June 23rd, 2019


Borrowing from SBP doubles to Rs2.7tr - Newspaper - DAWN.COM