On the land border yes, we will have issues with china. On the seas it is highly unlikely they will want to create any trouble for the foreseeable time. They will be more or less be trying out break out of american military fence. Its better to concentrate on our submarine fleet rather than spending humungous amount of money on these gimped carrier assets.
The seas are where they are expected to create trouble for us, not just for us but for everyone.
For 2019-20, the IN's capital budget was 23k Cr. Today it's 47k Cr. It's effectively doubled in 3 years. Otoh, IA's has only increased by 3k Cr, but they have brought in greater value via indigenisation, whereas the IAF's has only increased by 16k Cr. So we know where the priority has shifted too. There was a time when the IAF's budget was double that of the IN's. But now, at 57k Cr, there's only a difference of 10k Cr.
I have pointed this out quite a few times already over the years now, that the IAF's budget will slowly stagnate after 2027-30, but the IN's budget will keep growing for another decade or more. So I won't be surprised if the IN's budget surpasses the IAF's within 2025, if not 2030. Hell, it could even happen next year.
What's interesting to note is most of the IN's stuff has mostly already been paid for. Their new destroyers and frigates are almost in the water, so they have a lot of new contracts to sign over the next 2-3 years, not including a further hike in their capital budget.
Anyway, the submarines are of higher priority. We could see both the SSN and SSK contracts signed next year, well before the third carrier.