Ukraine - Russia Conflict

But so far, a lot less western tanks have been taken out. They're updating their drone defences, that's all. I think future tanks could have far more top armour.
Because only less western tanks were sent to the field.
 
Because only less western tanks were sent to the field.
All T-90Ms sent to the field get destroyed in quick order once they go on the offensive. If the US sent as many M1s as Russia has sent T-72/80/90s (i.e. several thousand), Russia would have lost already.
 
All T-90Ms sent to the field get destroyed in quick order once they go on the offensive. If the US sent as many M1s as Russia has sent T-72/80/90s (i.e. several thousand), Russia would have lost already.
In 0 to 100 scale, if Russian tanks are 100% sh!t, then the western tanks are 80% sh!t for modern warfare.
 
If Ukrainian losses were heavier than Russian losses, Russia would be in Lviv right now.

Not necessarily. The Russians are preparing for an offensive, so we can only come to a conclusion after we see the result. Since the Ukrainian counteroffensive in 2022, the Russians have been taking it slow all for the sake of the upcoming offensive.

No, overall they were gaining ground.

We are not following the same wars then.

How much slack capacity for production does Russia have, considering they are already suffering from a workforce shortage to the point of having to reinstate child labor? How are they gonna quadruple their army? With what people? Indians? They've already run out of Russian volunteers and have to keep increasing the promised pay.

Lot of fake news coming out.

As for three submarines per year... They're planning on one Lada and one Yasen per year, and one Borei every two years; that's fleet replacement rate, not fleet expansion rate. Also based on their track record, I strongly doubt they'll stay on schedule.

There's also a new Borei-derived Khabarovsk class for Poseidon torpedoes and a successor to the Yasen called Laika.

So Lada, Borei, Yasen and Khabarovsk under production, and the Laika taking over from the Yasen around 2030.

There's also Belgorod. Unclear if more will be built.

Ah, forgot about more Improved Kilos being ordered.

And it doesn't change their main problem. The Black Sea Fleet is stuck in the Black Sea and can't get out, Kaliningrad and St Petersbourg are likewise fully enclaved in Lake NATO, Murmansk is far too close to the Finnish border to be safe, and Petropavlosk is in Kamchatka. In other words, the Russian navy is basically useless in a war against Europe.

The Russians will operate in the Arctic, Pacific and Atlantic 'causing problems for the Scandinavian countries, the US and UK. They have the Northern and Pacific Fleets for that.

Two options here:
  1. They don't use them.
  2. They lose them very fast.

Pretty much zero losses to date.
 
In the autumn, Ukrainians were tired and exhausted; now they are often angry with the United States and Europeans. Anger at Washington, because for them the F-16s absolutely must be maintained in Ukraine and can no longer touch NATO territory. Bulgaria is not afraid to maintain the aircraft it has supplied at home.

The general staff is worried about the Russian offensive in the summer, and the huge quantities of men and equipment that have accumulated. Around 510,000 men, 3,400 battle tanks and more than 1,000 additional towed artillery pieces from depots.

He assumed that the new deliveries from the United States might just be enough to hold the front.

The SAMPT has one battery, the Iris-T three, and ammunition production is the bottleneck. The Patriot is the only solution.

The big problem is also short-range anti-aircraft defence, there's not much left. The Orlan can safely fly lower and lower to coordinate the Lancet. The Ukrainians want to develop drones against Orlan, because these also coordinate Shahid attacks on civilians in the former occupied territories.

Former ATACMS particularly valuable because of cluster munitions, as electronic warfare makes precise targeting (GPS) hard. The Europeans made a foolish mistake in giving up cluster munitions.

Ukraine will not be able to hold out if Germany does not put its position in the construction of land vehicles into the balance. The Ukrainians are hungry for Rheinmetall's Lynx, because armoured infantry fighting vehicles are the most important systems.

The highest casualty rates among units are among medics, who are hunted down by the Russians to undermine morale. Recovery of the wounded is impossible without an infantry fighting vehicle.

Battle tanks are again becoming more relevant to Ukrainian defence, as the Russians are making more use of electronic warfare with turtle tanks that render drones useless.

As there is no strategic planning or coordination in Europe for arms deliveries, Ukraine cannot develop a military strategy.

Ukraine is naturally at its limit by now. Too many casualties, an unsustainable economy, insufficient materials and dithering allies. Forget 500k, even 100k troops from a different axis could push Ukraine over the edge. We are potentially looking at endgame now.

Ukraine has to quickly find and train 500k troops of their own over the next 2 months. At the very least, Ukraine should have been flying a few dozen F-16s by now.
 
Ukraine is naturally at its limit by now. Too many casualties, an unsustainable economy, insufficient materials and dithering allies. Forget 500k, even 100k troops from a different axis could push Ukraine over the edge. We are potentially looking at endgame now.

Ukraine has to quickly find and train 500k troops of their own over the next 2 months. At the very least, Ukraine should have been flying a few dozen F-16s by now.
Russia has had way more losses due to longer offensives with less gains.
 

Russia using cluster munitions on a city.