Ukraine - Russia Conflict
- Thread starter randomradio
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1 person dead, 3 wounded as result of fire of tanker cars at railway near occupied Simferopol Simferopol, Crimea - Ukraine Interactive map - Ukraine Latest news on live map - liveuamap.com
1 person dead, 3 wounded as result of fire of tanker cars at railway near occupied Simferopol. Live Universal Awareness Map Liveuamap is a leading independent global news and information site dedicated to factual reporting of a variety of important topics including conflicts, human rights...
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Operation Firestorm
Russia on fire after Ukrainian drones strike energy and industrial plants in Smolensk and Lipetsk
With a tenfold firepower advantage they only manage to gain a small town per month at the cost of several thousand men. They're never going to win quite comfortably.
Russia, being a fascist dictatorship, has been able to transition to a war footing very quickly. In democratic Europe, it takes a lot more time. However, this early starts also means that Russia is now going about as fast as it can -- it is already suffering from important labor shortage, to the point that they have reinstated child labor, with kids as young as 14 getting sent to the weapon factories.
And most of their output is not new production, it's just refurbishing of old Soviet stuff that was put in storage. OSINT people estimates that at the current rate they'll have fully depleted all of the Soviet reserves in a year or two. Already we're seeing them sending T-54 tanks into battle, sometimes not even taking the time to give them some ERA blocks and cope cages because the machine is needed on the front line right now. Already we're seeing them using unarmored trucks, golf carts, and even motor bikes in an assault role because they don't have enough armored vehicles anymore.
Meanwhile, European defense industries are finally starting to get up to speed. Contrarily to Russia, there's still a lot of growth potential in the arms production of European countries.
Flood that happen because Russian infrastructure is crap. All the money that should have been going into building and maintaining Russian infrastructure has instead gone into yachts and palaces, and now is also going into buying North Korean shells and Iranian drones. Floods will keep happening.
Ukraine uses long-range missiles secretly provided by US to hit Russian-held areas, officials say
Ukraine for the first time has begun using long-range ballistic missiles provided secretly by the United States, bombing a Russian military airfield in Crimea last week and Russian forces in another o...
They are still taking new territories with minimal losses. And it's actually been quite comfortable for them on the ground 'cause Ukraine has been struggling.
After they took Marinka, they have started moving into Krasnahorivka. In the meanwhile they are also pushing towards Chasiv Yar and Ivanivske has become contested already. Overall, things are going badly for Ukraine.
And all this is still the pre-offensive period.
I don't see much happening at the upper end of things. Like the potential to keep up in case Russia's decided to increase its capabilities across the board. Or what would happen if the US has decided to abandon Europe as they prepare to take on NoKo and China.
Only Poland's making the necessary changes, but it's not enough 'cause they cannot replace their losses quickly. And that's only on the ground. They obviously cannot participate in air-sea battles.
Flooding in the boonies, it's normal for such large amounts of water. It has nothing to do with infrastructure, it's an act of god, even insurance doesn't cover such things. The same thing's happening in UAE and China. And both have world class infra.
Yeah, 1000/day minimal.Minimum losses per Russian standard = one Z corpse per square meter.
They've only managed to move forward a little bit because Ukraine has been undermined by American political games. If US support had been uninterrupted, they would still be losing ground instead of gaining it.
Despite their overwhelming advantages in number, firepower, and airpower, the Russians are actually progressing more slowly than the Ukrainians were in 2023. When everyone said that the slowness of this progress meant that the Ukrainians had failed.
Russia does not have the capacity to increase its capabilities. They're already at their maximum. Meanwhile, Europe is waking up from its old dream of "peace dividends".
Poland's buying a lot of stuff left and right, but what's more important is building your stuff instead of buying it. That's what lets you innovate during a conflict.
Neither can Russia.
The UAE floods are not comparable at all, as this was an exceptional event caused by climate changes. The weather in Russia, though, has been pretty normal. No freak storm with the equivalent of two years of precipitations in a single day. So what's happening in Russia was perfectly predictable, and indeed predicted; but autocracy and corruption got in the way of good governance.
As for China, they're in the same bag as Russia, perhaps even worse in fact. Their infrastructure is not world class, it can look that way but it definitely isn't. It's all tofu dregs. Flooding in China is also worsened by their massive construction bubble, as everyone should know by now that when you keep covering the ground in concrete and asphalt, it stops being able to absorb rain water and that makes flooding worse. But China just kept building new empty city after new empty city so as to keep the bubble going.
Exclusive-China harbors ship tied to North Korea-Russia arms transfers, satellite images show
China is providing moorage for a U.S.-sanctioned Russian cargo ship implicated in North Korean arms transfers to Russia, according to satellite images obtained by Reuters, as U.S. concerns grow over Beijing's support for Moscow's war in Ukraine. Britain's Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)...
More Ukrainians are dying in exchange.
Even when they had enough ammo, they were still losing ground, like in Bakhmut.
You do realize they are building 3 submarines a year, right? And there are 3 new nuclear submarine classes in the pipeline. And at 100 jets a year, they are very likely to challenge the USAF in the numbers game too. And all this not considering tripling/quadrupling their army. They have barely even started.
That's what I mean by them not being able to replace their losses. And I don't see France or Germany in a hurry.
So Russia has no satellites, bombers and nuclear submarines?
Excessive heat has melted too much snow too fast in Russia combined with more than normal rainfall. As for China, it's the same as the UAE, just too much water at once. And China received two times more rainfall as UAE this month.
This is from last year.
'Once-in-a-century' rain hits HK, Guangdong
www.chinadaily.com.cn
And this year.
The total rainfall during this weather process reached 200 to 280 mm, locally exceeding 300 mm.
This is all just too much water.
As for Russia:
What's Causing Russia's Record Floods? - The Moscow Times
What is driving the record-bad flooding that has devastated parts of Russia and Kazakhstan and forced tens of thousands of people to escape the fast-rising water?
This region endured similar major floods in 1922, 1942 and 1957 though the current disaster was "extraordinary and all previous 'records' have been surpassed," she added.
It's all just a freak of nature.
@randomradio - This is why more Ukrainian troops are needed. This is just the Belarussian border:
liveuamap.com
On drones quantities and effectiveness:
Lukashenka says probability of incidents on the border with Ukraine is “quite high”, adds that around 120,000 Ukrainian soldiers deployed near the border Minsk - Ukraine Interactive map - Ukraine Latest news on live map - liveuamap.com
Lukashenka says probability of incidents on the border with Ukraine is “quite high”, adds that around 120,000 Ukrainian soldiers deployed near the border. Live Universal Awareness Map Liveuamap is a leading independent global news and information site dedicated to factual reporting of a variety...
liveuamap.com
On drones quantities and effectiveness:
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Footage of the evacuation of the Russian Tsar tank T-72 from the battlefield in Ukraine. The Tsar Tank, also called the Tank-Grill, ran over a mine and stalled. The combat vehicle was attacked by Ukrainian FPV drones, but improvised protection minimized damage from the drones and the tank was not damaged. A combat vehicle was evacuated from the battlefield in the Krasnogorovka area by one of the Russian evacuation ARVs. It is worth noting that there are more and more tanks with such protection against drones, there are already several of them, at the moment this design most effectively protects against drones. They laugh at the design. But now there is no effective protection of tanks from drones. The Israeli army is now also installing canopies to protect tanks from drones
He wants to show restraint now that we've started seizing his assets.
www.yahoo.com
Putin urges restraint in state seizure of assets
Russian President Vladimir Putin has reminded prosecutors that seizing assets and turning them over to state ownership is only justified in cases where failing to act might jeopardise Russia's national security. Many assets in Russia have changed hands in the last two years. Hundreds of...
EU to tell China of next firms to be blacklisted over Russia sanctions loopholes
Purpose is to enlist China’s help in ending the companies’ activities that allegedly violate sanctions on supplying products with military applications to Moscow.
www.scmp.com