Indian Economy : News,Discussions & Updates

TATA steel is getting some components from China for their Kalinganagar blast furnace expansion. This seems to have caused some heart burns in China:
It's funny, ngl. Masses everywhere are the same. They'd blindly oppose everything when it concerns an 'enemy country', including making hyperbolic comparisons (like equating parts for a blast furnace with giving away J20s).

Tatas commissioned parts from China to save on cost. There are probably other suppliers in who would not hesitate to provide the same albeit for a higher price. So, it's not like Tatas would be hand tied even if the Chinese companies refused.
 
Does anyone know where to get standard budget documents for Uttar Pradesh?

It seems they don't publish an economic survey or frbm statement.

IAS officers don't only work for salary and perks. They work for power and hustling.
As mentioned earlier, these fabled tales of power and hustling are very dependent on cadre, departments, and posts and are often overrated. Also, when you solely rely on the allure of "power" to attract talent, why complain when you end up attracting talent that tries to pathetically exercise its "power" over the power by, for example, registering cases against those that leave a laughing emoji under their Instagram posts?

At the very least, for most 18-25-year-old students (the core demographic that appears for any exams), this reliance on power and hustling is fast losing its shine compared to multiple times the pay in comparably difficult-to-get corporate jobs.

The point is, that you hire your top bureaucrats extremely selectively based on outdated exam patterns and questions, dilute the quality of the pool, underpay them severely, villainize them for anything and everything that goes wrong, and then expect them to run the country efficiently.
 
Does anyone know where to get standard budget documents for Uttar Pradesh?

It seems they don't publish an economic survey or frbm statement.


As mentioned earlier, these fabled tales of power and hustling are very dependent on cadre, departments, and posts and are often overrated. Also, when you solely rely on the allure of "power" to attract talent, why complain when you end up attracting talent that tries to pathetically exercise its "power" over the power by, for example, registering cases against those that leave a laughing emoji under their Instagram posts?

At the very least, for most 18-25-year-old students (the core demographic that appears for any exams), this reliance on power and hustling is fast losing its shine compared to multiple times the pay in comparably difficult-to-get corporate jobs.

The point is, that you hire your top bureaucrats extremely selectively based on outdated exam patterns and questions, dilute the quality of the pool, underpay them severely, villainize them for anything and everything that goes wrong, and then expect them to run the country efficiently.

I agree with the need to reform the bureaucracy. A govt needs 2/3rd majority in both houses and 50% of the states to push real reforms through. Modi was hoping to get one in LS at the very minimum in 2014, but failed. Let's see if he manages it in the next election. He already has the states.
 
It's funny, ngl. Masses everywhere are the same. They'd blindly oppose everything when it concerns an 'enemy country', including making hyperbolic comparisons (like equating parts for a blast furnace with giving away J20s).

Tatas commissioned parts from China to save on cost. There are probably other suppliers in who would not hesitate to provide the same albeit for a higher price. So, it's not like Tatas would be hand tied even if the Chinese companies refused.

Companies will always chase cost optimization, and geopolitical noise doesn't change basic business economics. If Chinese suppliers become problematic, alternatives exist. Not everything is a national security crisis.
 
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Something interesting for those interested ...

Screenshot 2025-04-03 212453.png

This is from Bihar's 2025-26 budget, as compiled by PRS Legislative. For verification purposes, these figures align with the "Budget Ka Saar" in the Bihar government's budget link.

Hopefully, the resident experts will look at this. If people see the percentage revisions and aren't horrified, I'm not sure if they ever will be horrified by economic numbers. At this point, why even compile budget estimates and revised estimates?

And upon that, by some miracle, Bihar's economy is supposed to grow by 22% y-o-y in 2025-26. Nice.

The sources are linked below:


 
Something interesting for those interested ...

View attachment 42089

This is from Bihar's 2025-26 budget, as compiled by PRS Legislative. For verification purposes, these figures align with the "Budget Ka Saar" in the Bihar government's budget link.

Hopefully, the resident experts will look at this. If people see the percentage revisions and aren't horrified, I'm not sure if they ever will be horrified by economic numbers. At this point, why even compile budget estimates and revised estimates?

And upon that, by some miracle, Bihar's economy is supposed to grow by 22% y-o-y in 2025-26. Nice.

The sources are linked below:



The cost of Nitish Kumar's support in LS/RS.


Alternative expenditure too.

The cost of Karnataka voting BJP out. More money for AP and Bihar. Double engine growth.
 
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The cost of Nitish Kumar's support in LS/RS.


Alternative expenditure too.

The cost of Karnataka voting BJP out. More money for AP and Bihar. Double engine growth.
Sad things work this way in the country. But, can't do anything about it afterall it's all just politics. Although AP has been on a roll, several projects, industries are being set up there due to BJP support and the new capital also looks promising though it's in the very initial stages.
 
At this point, the justifications were not unexpected.
Alternative expenditure too.
Sure, it's "alternative expenditure" that somehow fails to materialize in anything.

Their deficit figures are meaningless. How on earth does a government project a revenue surplus of Rs 1,000 crore and end up with a revenue deficit of around Rs 37,000 crore? Or turn a fiscal deficit BE of Rs 29,000 crore to a RE of Rs 82,000 crore?

For the rare bunch of serious people here, understand this black magic: the Bihar government overspent its budget by a staggering Rs 70,000 crore and ended up with an economy roughly Rs 80,000 crore smaller than its estimates.

Like, how do you even achieve that? Bihar spiked its G by almost 28% and still grew by only 4.9% in nominal terms.

And it's not like this is Bihar's first time. Their 2024-25 budget snapshot is attached below.

Screenshot 2025-04-04 202315.png

They outspent their budget by 22.3%, gave a revenue surplus BE of Rs 4,500 crore, achieved a revenue deficit of Rs 35,500 crore, gave a fiscal deficit BE of Rs 25,500 crore, and achieved a FD RE of Rs 76,500 crore. And the list goes on,

The cost of Karnataka voting BJP out. More money for AP and Bihar. Double engine growth.
Yeah, the amazing double engine. Where you outspend your budget by 28% and end up with a GSDP 8% smaller than your estimates.

Bihar's had a double engine for how many years now? And all these years of outspending their budget by COVID-era stimulus levels, face-f**king their balance sheets, and co-habiting with the supreme leader's party in the state has gotten them where exactly?

The "cost" of Karnataka for voting the BJP out is this - they're still one of India's richest large states (second only to Telangana), they're still outgrowing Bihar in both real and nominal terms, and despite getting lesser from the central government for the cardinal sin of voting against the supreme leader, they've always managed to stick to their budget predictions, within the margin of error.

Also, as for Andhra Pradesh, it's got nothing to do with double engine and everything to do with CBN being an effective administrator, something he demonstrated back when he was the chief minister of united Andhra Pradesh.

And to hard carry this point, Madhya Pradesh has had a double engine for how many years now? And a BJP government for around 25 years at this point (broken only by Kamal Nath's 1-year chief ministership). And what economic miracles have they worked out in the 11 years of double engine? They're still incredibly indebted and still one of the poorest states in India. For states that have never had a double-engine government, Tamil Nadu and Telangana have done way better within the same time frame.

Heck, until 2024, Odisha was under Naveen Patnaik, a neutral regional leader. And when Patnaik left office, Odisha had transformed from being India's poorest state to being close to the national average in income. It is the richest state in East and Central India (not including AP or MH), has the best fiscal indicators of any fast-growing big state in India while still maintaining a very generous welfare regime - all the while outperforming its budget estimates (again, within the margin of error).

This just goes to show what matters when you pull out the receipts instead of relying on stories - its governance and administrative competence.
 
At this point, the justifications were not unexpected.

Sure, it's "alternative expenditure" that somehow fails to materialize in anything.

Their deficit figures are meaningless. How on earth does a government project a revenue surplus of Rs 1,000 crore and end up with a revenue deficit of around Rs 37,000 crore? Or turn a fiscal deficit BE of Rs 29,000 crore to a RE of Rs 82,000 crore?

For the rare bunch of serious people here, understand this black magic: the Bihar government overspent its budget by a staggering Rs 70,000 crore and ended up with an economy roughly Rs 80,000 crore smaller than its estimates.

Like, how do you even achieve that? Bihar spiked its G by almost 28% and still grew by only 4.9% in nominal terms.

And it's not like this is Bihar's first time. Their 2024-25 budget snapshot is attached below.

View attachment 42096

They outspent their budget by 22.3%, gave a revenue surplus BE of Rs 4,500 crore, achieved a revenue deficit of Rs 35,500 crore, gave a fiscal deficit BE of Rs 25,500 crore, and achieved a FD RE of Rs 76,500 crore. And the list goes on,

The numbers are different under Actuals.

1.jpg

Total deficit was 4.2%, not the Revised 8.9%. Next one's 9.2%, but it won't be at that level when the Actuals come out. It's just a case of overpromising and underdelivering, typical of bimaru states. They keep returning unspent money.

This one's from 2022-23.

Yeah, the amazing double engine. Where you outspend your budget by 28% and end up with a GSDP 8% smaller than your estimates.

Bihar's had a double engine for how many years now? And all these years of outspending their budget by COVID-era stimulus levels, face-f**king their balance sheets, and co-habiting with the supreme leader's party in the state has gotten them where exactly?

The "cost" of Karnataka for voting the BJP out is this - they're still one of India's richest large states (second only to Telangana), they're still outgrowing Bihar in both real and nominal terms, and despite getting lesser from the central government for the cardinal sin of voting against the supreme leader, they've always managed to stick to their budget predictions, within the margin of error.

Also, as for Andhra Pradesh, it's got nothing to do with double engine and everything to do with CBN being an effective administrator, something he demonstrated back when he was the chief minister of united Andhra Pradesh.

And to hard carry this point, Madhya Pradesh has had a double engine for how many years now? And a BJP government for around 25 years at this point (broken only by Kamal Nath's 1-year chief ministership). And what economic miracles have they worked out in the 11 years of double engine? They're still incredibly indebted and still one of the poorest states in India. For states that have never had a double-engine government, Tamil Nadu and Telangana have done way better within the same time frame.

Heck, until 2024, Odisha was under Naveen Patnaik, a neutral regional leader. And when Patnaik left office, Odisha had transformed from being India's poorest state to being close to the national average in income. It is the richest state in East and Central India (not including AP or MH), has the best fiscal indicators of any fast-growing big state in India while still maintaining a very generous welfare regime - all the while outperforming its budget estimates (again, within the margin of error).

This just goes to show what matters when you pull out the receipts instead of relying on stories - its governance and administrative competence.

Mate, I live in Karnataka, life sucks here. All prices are up. And most of Karnataka has not recevied sufficient development funds, and the govt is borrowing like crazy to fund all their free stuff. And they are paying for it by sucking the middle class dry. Property guidance values (circle rates) are up by 70%. And now they are talking about introducing some cess for services the middle class use.


Metro fare prices up big time. Bus fares are up too, while it's free for women.

These Congi retards are gonna kill us.

And we are only entering the second year.

With approximately Rs 2 lakh crore needed for subsidies and welfare schemes, only about Rs 60,000 crore—or 15% of the budget—remains for capital expenditure on development projects.

Anyway double engine means central schemes are implemented faster with the same party than with other parties. Plus it takes time to show on the ground. I mean, you are a victim of believing paper figures yourself in your posts.
 
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Arguing here is seriously more time-consuming than I believe time and again, but it's baffling. At this point, why even publish budget figures? To make a mockery of the budget? If this is the standard of your budget books, what would you expect from other government ledgers? And why would you expect your investors and lenders to believe anything you say?
Total deficit was 4.2%, not the Revised 8.9%. Next one's 9.2%, but it won't be at that level when the Actuals come out. It's just a case of overpromising and underdelivering, typical of bimaru states. They keep returning unspent money.
It's funny how it is normalized. Yeah, sure, they're the BIMARU states, they'll keep doing a worse job at maintaining their *censored*ing BUDGET books than a five year old does at maintaining his notes.

You know that Bihar is still using its budget estimate GSDP figures for its FRBM statement? Like, why? And UP does it even better; they just don't publish anything other than the budget at a glance and the annual financial statement.

And people complain when someone points out the fact that the states that publish borderline dishonest, delusional numbers in their budgets get more and more money from the central devolution pool, while states that have some of the best development and economic indices get less and less money.

It's better to stop justifying governments just because they happen to profess hate for the same group of people that you hate.

Mate, I live in Karnataka, life sucks here.
Yeah, true, that's broadly true. Just replace Karnataka with any state in India, and the statement will still be true.
All prices are up.
Welcome to India?

the govt is borrowing like crazy to fund all their free stuff.
Again, except for Odisha, a mineral-rich state that, until the BJP victory in 2024, had a competent government, and Gujarat, a first-world state with third-world human development indicators, this statement stands true for literally every political entity in India, including the supreme leader's own government.

Not saying this justifies the Karnataka government's actions, but this isn't isolated to Karnataka.
These Congi retards are gonna kill us.
Oh, for sure they will. That is if you're still alive after paying the honorable finance minister her share of the cut.

Anyway double engine means central schemes are implemented faster with the same party than with other parties.
It certainly means you get unlimited money with no regard for accountability or past fiscal performance. They get more for what you pay, the richer states get less for what they pay, they fail to narrow the gap, and then they lecture the richer states on how they should manage their budgets, definitely yeah, sure.
Plus it takes time to show on the ground.
Man, it's been 11 years in MP; god knows how many years in Bihar. How much time does it take? These states are still the most underdeveloped, poor, bankrupt, and destitute in what is already a poor country.

Look, I lived in Bengaluru during my undergrad internship; I've been living in Maharashtra (in the obvious city) for my postgrad summer internship. And more or less, I understand the mess that Bengaluru is, and that doesn't speak well for the rest of Karnataka. But then, depending on where you live, Bengaluru can be a heaven compared to Mumbai. The Maharashtra government has been double-engine for 9 years (with a 2-year break when Uddhav Thackeray was in power). And despite the tall promises, as you said, on the ground, Mumbai is a super-expensive, barely livable mess. Anywhere outside Worli, Parel/Prabhadevi, Malabar, and Nariman is a traffic-jammed, dug-up, unwalkable garbage dump. Unless you're willing to pay 60K a month rent for a 650 sq ft apartment in Hiranandani. Heck, for half that price, you can rent an apartment in Indiranagar or HSR ffs. Oh, and Nagpur is barely a city; it's just a bunch of poorly built residential colonies clustered at some points along a super-wide highway.

Oh, and the Maharashtra government has its version of Ladli-Behna, and they're already straining/capping their finances. And mind you, this is barely their first year. Just wait for their second year as well.

And this brings us back to the original post - it's a strange thing in India when a group or a political entity hates the same group of people as you, whether it be caste, religion, lifestyle, or language; everyone just disregards obvious incompetence or malice.

Like, people start justifying a freeze to the education budget by bringing up private schools (like, WTF!!??), entirely overlook the freeze in the healthcare budget, etc.

And when someone points out obvious things like the streets being open-air garbage dumps and rivers being sewage channels, the first response is "Go to Pakistan"!! (seriously WTF!?).

Anyway, I'll end the rant and the argument thread here.
 
It's funny how it is normalized. Yeah, sure, they're the BIMARU states, they'll keep doing a worse job at maintaining their *censored*ing BUDGET books than a five year old does at maintaining his notes.

You know that Bihar is still using its budget estimate GSDP figures for its FRBM statement? Like, why? And UP does it even better; they just don't publish anything other than the budget at a glance and the annual financial statement.

And people complain when someone points out the fact that the states that publish borderline dishonest, delusional numbers in their budgets get more and more money from the central devolution pool, while states that have some of the best development and economic indices get less and less money.

It's better to stop justifying governments just because they happen to profess hate for the same group of people that you hate.

Lol, as a Bimaru state, they have a low base, and high GDP growth. They issue spending directives that require a lot of debt. And they don't follow through with it. This doesn't affect investors.

With a growth plan of 10-20%, they have the room for debt. Bihar has been growing at 15%. UP grew by 12% last year. They are aiming to generate more growth.

Yeah, true, that's broadly true. Just replace Karnataka with any state in India, and the statement will still be true.

Welcome to India?


Again, except for Odisha, a mineral-rich state that, until the BJP victory in 2024, had a competent government, and Gujarat, a first-world state with third-world human development indicators, this statement stands true for literally every political entity in India, including the supreme leader's own government.

Not saying this justifies the Karnataka government's actions, but this isn't isolated to Karnataka.

Oh, for sure they will. That is if you're still alive after paying the honorable finance minister her share of the cut.


It certainly means you get unlimited money with no regard for accountability or past fiscal performance. They get more for what you pay, the richer states get less for what they pay, they fail to narrow the gap, and then they lecture the richer states on how they should manage their budgets, definitely yeah, sure.

Man, it's been 11 years in MP; god knows how many years in Bihar. How much time does it take? These states are still the most underdeveloped, poor, bankrupt, and destitute in what is already a poor country.

Look, I lived in Bengaluru during my undergrad internship; I've been living in Maharashtra (in the obvious city) for my postgrad summer internship. And more or less, I understand the mess that Bengaluru is, and that doesn't speak well for the rest of Karnataka. But then, depending on where you live, Bengaluru can be a heaven compared to Mumbai. The Maharashtra government has been double-engine for 9 years (with a 2-year break when Uddhav Thackeray was in power). And despite the tall promises, as you said, on the ground, Mumbai is a super-expensive, barely livable mess. Anywhere outside Worli, Parel/Prabhadevi, Malabar, and Nariman is a traffic-jammed, dug-up, unwalkable garbage dump. Unless you're willing to pay 60K a month rent for a 650 sq ft apartment in Hiranandani. Heck, for half that price, you can rent an apartment in Indiranagar or HSR ffs. Oh, and Nagpur is barely a city; it's just a bunch of poorly built residential colonies clustered at some points along a super-wide highway.

Oh, and the Maharashtra government has its version of Ladli-Behna, and they're already straining/capping their finances. And mind you, this is barely their first year. Just wait for their second year as well.

And this brings us back to the original post - it's a strange thing in India when a group or a political entity hates the same group of people as you, whether it be caste, religion, lifestyle, or language; everyone just disregards obvious incompetence or malice.

Like, people start justifying a freeze to the education budget by bringing up private schools (like, WTF!!??), entirely overlook the freeze in the healthcare budget, etc.

And when someone points out obvious things like the streets being open-air garbage dumps and rivers being sewage channels, the first response is "Go to Pakistan"!! (seriously WTF!?).

Anyway, I'll end the rant and the argument thread here.

It's not that simple for Bangalore. And even for Karnataka. Bangalore's pci has increased to almost double that of ot cities in India. While the rest are at 3500-4500, Bang is at 7000. And Cong has started using Bang as their own piggybank. Development budgets of BJP ruled states have increased, Karnataka's has decreased, even though they have extracted more money from the middle class.

Rural delopment is just 3% of spending versus average 5% for other states. Urban development is at 0.6% vs 3.4% for other states. Otoh, revenue is up by 16% and fiscal deficit up by 21%.

This has nothing to do with hatred. They are the ones who have all the hate. The numbers speak for themselves. Karnataka's numbers are supposed to be higher than the national average. So voter anger is obvious.

India's income tax story is overblown, it's among the lowest in the world. There are only a few venues for the opposition to attack the BJP, so they have to make mountains out of molehills using the ignorance of people. And now, 95% of tax filers will not be paying income tax under the new regime as their incomes are below 12L. I'm in the 5% and I'm not complaining. And guess what? The ones who have to pay taxes are 0.2% of India's population. You are seriously trying to say 0.2% of India's population requires your protection? What's really happening is those who cannot afford investments and home loans are paying expensive rent and taking personal loans for short-term gratificaiton, and want to blame someone else for their bad choices. Time for the Congis to find something else for propaganda.

Bimaru states are extremely poor. For example, Karnataka's PCI is above $5000. Bihar's is $1000. Other Bimaru states are between $1500-2200 or so, all well below national average, while other top states are $3500-4500. It will take them 10 years with high growth just to catch up with above average levels of development, never mind top states.

Education and health have seen major reforms, including significant reduction of wastage due to digitalization and Aadhar link. PMJAY is pushing people into private hospitals, and NEP is even pushing madrassa students into public schools. I don't see the problem here.
 
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Back again after a break, handling a job's tough. Hopefully, no one minds these erratic comebacks.
India's income tax story is overblown, it's among the lowest in the world.
Yeah, because income tax is roughly 30% of the federal revenue. The other broad 70% consists of GST and corporate tax.

While India's income tax brackets are not bad, there's a significant indirect tax burden on everyone, irrespective of their taxable income. These include cess and surcharges, which are levied on petrol and diesel as well, and the proceeds of which are not shareable with the states.

I'm in the 5% and I'm not complaining.
Many others are in the 5% and are complaining.

What's really happening is those who cannot afford investments and home loans are paying expensive rent and taking personal loans for short-term gratificaiton, and want to blame someone else for their bad choices.
Man, stop trivializing everyone's experience, stay in Mumbai for a month, and witness the glorious (read: odious) double engine in action before dismissing everyone as people who took a Bajaj EMI to get an iPhone. Heck, a CL-2 SDE in Bangalore lives a better life than a big three associate in Mumbai. Seriously, you'll find Bangalore a heaven compared to double (or triple?) engine Mumbai. Think ORR traffic is bad? That's every road in Mumbai. Like, the grass is always greener on the other side.

Bimaru states are extremely poor.
They have been extremely poor since forever, have seen massive transfers from the richer states irrespective of party or ideology throughout the years. and have still failed to narrow the gap.

Odisha and Madhya Pradesh began at broadly the same level. One had a classic right-wing government for 20+ years and double engine for 10 years, while the other had a neutral CM for 25 years.

Why is it that Odisha is approaching the national average in terms of per capita GSDP while Madhya Pradesh remains BIMARU? (and Odisha's fiscal consolidation and high growth rate predates the mining auction reforms of 2019/2020 that started bringing in massive non-tax revenue).

That said, just a random question. @Rajput Lion, @randomradio, how long do you guys think before West Bengal outdoes these BIMARU states in BIMARUness? Their growth is below average, investments are drying up, they've got probably 75% of the population dependent on their 95 social schemes, and it seems from this year's budget that the government has run out of money. Combine that with the current dispensation (I seriously don't want a hit squad on me), extreme unrest etc. Yeah, I think we'll have another BIMARU state in a few years.

Bihar has been growing at 15%.
Its real growth rate (and its grown at 9% only for the past 2 years) is similar to Tamil Nadu and Telangana (before the current dispensation *censored*ed it up), regardless of its low base.

Oh, and that is after getting 74% of its revenue from the union government, while Tamil Nadu raises 75% of its revenue on its own.

UP grew by 12% last year.
Ehh, UP's real GDP growth rates are more or less similar to Karnataka, a state that's 4 times as rich (granted, it was royally *censored*ed up a certain wrestler's party).

PMJAY is pushing people into private hospitals
While government hospitals that are not funded by state governments continue to crumble. And there are other glaring issues with this health model in a country overwhelmingly rural. But yeah, broadly, point taken.

NEP is even pushing madrassa students into public schools. I don't see the problem here.
Does not address the practically frozen education budget. Man, seriously, when was the last time you stepped into a university? If your focus here is about pushing madrassa students into public schools (or whatever decrepit remains thereof), sure, congrats.

But take it from a very recent graduate: your higher education infrastructure is a national embarrassment. The labs are old and outdated, they mostly lack funds to acquire and inculcate modern software and methods of engineering. Teaching is substandard at best, and the less I speak about the chicken coops and rat cages that they call student accommodation, the better it is.

Heck, most private universities are scams. The only private university, in my opinion, that holds up to the best IITs is BITS Pilani, and even they are leagues away from being what you'd call world-class.

Sure, the course selection freedom (believe me, students have a great degree of discretion in choosing courses and structuring time-tables), the very liberal way of conducting studies (zero attendance is a real thing FYI) are great, the hostels are amazing (the best undergraduate hostels of any tier-1 college, and I'm willing to die on that hill), there's no reservation, no political parties are allowed in campus politics (though the labs leave a lot to be desired). The catch - BITS demands Rs 25-30 lakhs in fees (depending on 4/5 yr degree); IITs take 13-15 lakhs.

The schools are even worse off; the Navodayas and KVs are crumbling ghosts from some past. All you have these days is to spend lakhs to get your kid to DPS, DAV, or Doon, and then spend another 2-3 lakhs for their tuition.

NEP isn't solving any of these; you need to invest money. And this government hasn't done it in over 6-7 years. Upon that, they've cut expenditures for higher education multiple times.

Oh, and the NEP you talk about, sure, it addresses a lot of problems in teacher training, qualification and similar stuff, so credit's where its due. But for the students? It's a joke.

And so far, it has only been about some of the best colleges and schools in your country. The lower down the ladder you go, the more problems you see. Like, problems that would make you want to bang your head in despair. Like problems that would give you a culture shock.

So yeah, I see a lot of problems. Like, a lot. And pushing madrassa kids to failing public schools solves exactly nothing.

That said, @randomradio and the others here, if you guys find these erratic, out of the blue rants distracting or excessive, let me know. I'll stop.
 
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Back again after a break, handling a job's tough. Hopefully, no one minds these erratic comebacks.

Me too.

Yeah, because income tax is roughly 30% of the federal revenue. The other broad 70% consists of GST and corporate tax.

While India's income tax brackets are not bad, there's a significant indirect tax burden on everyone, irrespective of their taxable income. These include cess and surcharges, which are levied on petrol and diesel as well, and the proceeds of which are not shareable with the states.

Pretty much everything important has no taxes or very little taxes. Everything related to imports have high taxes because the govt cannot afford to pay for them using forex. Freebie culture is the real danger.

Many others are in the 5% and are complaining.

Like they always have since taxes were invented. It's less to do with taxes and more to do with the way they spend.

Man, stop trivializing everyone's experience, stay in Mumbai for a month, and witness the glorious (read: odious) double engine in action before dismissing everyone as people who took a Bajaj EMI to get an iPhone. Heck, a CL-2 SDE in Bangalore lives a better life than a big three associate in Mumbai. Seriously, you'll find Bangalore a heaven compared to double (or triple?) engine Mumbai. Think ORR traffic is bad? That's every road in Mumbai. Like, the grass is always greener on the other side.

Um... In India, traffic cannot be managed. The population growth far surpasses any solutions. The only way out is border control, and that's illegal.

What's more important is managing inflation and maintaining low debt levels. Double engine helps with that. But where double engine really comes into the picture is in reforms. You will find the governor more pliable in passing bills.

They have been extremely poor since forever, have seen massive transfers from the richer states irrespective of party or ideology throughout the years. and have still failed to narrow the gap.

Odisha and Madhya Pradesh began at broadly the same level. One had a classic right-wing government for 20+ years and double engine for 10 years, while the other had a neutral CM for 25 years.

Why is it that Odisha is approaching the national average in terms of per capita GSDP while Madhya Pradesh remains BIMARU? (and Odisha's fiscal consolidation and high growth rate predates the mining auction reforms of 2019/2020 that started bringing in massive non-tax revenue).

Incorrect. Life has improved in these states, just not as much as other states that have managed to attract FDI and remittances.

Like Bangalore used to be a small town, you could go from one end to the next in 10 minutes. Now it's the richest city by per capita in India, significantly ahead. It has the third largest population too. It was originally designed to hold 2 million people, but currently holds 14 million. I guess all that uer awesome Kerala remittances end up in Bangalore.

That said, just a random question. @Rajput Lion, @randomradio, how long do you guys think before West Bengal outdoes these BIMARU states in BIMARUness? Their growth is below average, investments are drying up, they've got probably 75% of the population dependent on their 95 social schemes, and it seems from this year's budget that the government has run out of money. Combine that with the current dispensation (I seriously don't want a hit squad on me), extreme unrest etc. Yeah, I think we'll have another BIMARU state in a few years.

What's interesting is West Bengal used to be one our richest states and Kolkata was our richest city. The situation there is different from the Bimaru states.

WB is what will happen when leftists take over. Kerala survives due to remittances and tourism, so that time's coming for them too.

Its real growth rate (and its grown at 9% only for the past 2 years) is similar to Tamil Nadu and Telangana (before the current dispensation *censored*ed it up), regardless of its low base.

Oh, and that is after getting 74% of its revenue from the union government, while Tamil Nadu raises 75% of its revenue on its own.


Ehh, UP's real GDP growth rates are more or less similar to Karnataka, a state that's 4 times as rich (granted, it was royally *censored*ed up a certain wrestler's party).


While government hospitals that are not funded by state governments continue to crumble. And there are other glaring issues with this health model in a country overwhelmingly rural. But yeah, broadly, point taken.

Not true. The govt's revenue sharing is pretty much even, based on population.

Bihar grew at 15%, current prices. Almost all GDP growths that you see reflected on paper (like India's 7%) are current prices. You are confused between nominal and real, that calculate for inflation.

The issue Bimaru states are facing is their higher proportion of population in agriculture than in more productive work. And the Nehru-Gandhi parivar kept it that way for decades to steal votes, hence the late realization and the massive switch to non-Congress parties, primarily the BJP. Fixing this requires investment, but now they cannot compete because most of South India consciously kept Congress out of its politics and reaped benefits. FDI flows into more developed states, whereas only the govt can invest in the Bimaru states.

The goal now is to sufficiently develop human capital in Bimaru states and create employment organically using their own money, supported by govt investments. They are now the surplus labor, cheap wages states and with the right reforms will start attracting manufacturing investment. Plus improving the life of the people there would mean more developed states can exploit the market for their goods exports. It's a win-win for the country, so that doesn't work for some parties, they require people to remain poor, uneducated, and divided to win elections.

Does not address the practically frozen education budget. Man, seriously, when was the last time you stepped into a university? If your focus here is about pushing madrassa students into public schools (or whatever decrepit remains thereof), sure, congrats.

But take it from a very recent graduate: your higher education infrastructure is a national embarrassment. The labs are old and outdated, they mostly lack funds to acquire and inculcate modern software and methods of engineering. Teaching is substandard at best, and the less I speak about the chicken coops and rat cages that they call student accommodation, the better it is.

Heck, most private universities are scams. The only private university, in my opinion, that holds up to the best IITs is BITS Pilani, and even they are leagues away from being what you'd call world-class.

Sure, the course selection freedom (believe me, students have a great degree of discretion in choosing courses and structuring time-tables), the very liberal way of conducting studies (zero attendance is a real thing FYI) are great, the hostels are amazing (the best undergraduate hostels of any tier-1 college, and I'm willing to die on that hill), there's no reservation, no political parties are allowed in campus politics (though the labs leave a lot to be desired). The catch - BITS demands Rs 25-30 lakhs in fees (depending on 4/5 yr degree); IITs take 13-15 lakhs.

The schools are even worse off; the Navodayas and KVs are crumbling ghosts from some past. All you have these days is to spend lakhs to get your kid to DPS, DAV, or Doon, and then spend another 2-3 lakhs for their tuition.

NEP isn't solving any of these; you need to invest money. And this government hasn't done it in over 6-7 years. Upon that, they've cut expenditures for higher education multiple times.

Oh, and the NEP you talk about, sure, it addresses a lot of problems in teacher training, qualification and similar stuff, so credit's where its due. But for the students? It's a joke.

And so far, it has only been about some of the best colleges and schools in your country. The lower down the ladder you go, the more problems you see. Like, problems that would make you want to bang your head in despair. Like problems that would give you a culture shock.

So yeah, I see a lot of problems. Like, a lot. And pushing madrassa kids to failing public schools solves exactly nothing.

Central-govt funded universities remain the best. Rich privately funded universities and schooling systems (like ICSE) remain high quality. CBSE is centrally funded is pretty decent, save for some areas. The rest have always been dregs. Central govt does not fund the dregs, they belong to the states.

Private universities are for the upper middle class and the rich, except for some allowance for govt seats, depending on the state.

As for private schools, they have always been expensive, atleast for the last 2 decades. Sure, citizens are asking the govt to do something about it, but the problem is there are too few schools and there are still people willing to pay such large amounts of money 'cause there are more number of rich parents than there are seats available in such schools, leading to inflation. The real reason is local or state-level corruption, not the central govt. They need to allow more private schools to come up. There always needs to be an oversupply in schools.

You're blaming the wrong people. Salaried class cannot afford high quality on salaries only. They gotta either move up to upper management level earning 75L to a few crores a year or have a lot of assets for mortgage or sale, like what people used to do to send their kids abroad for education. Cities now have a surplus of both.

The only way to fund a high quality life is to get lucky at a young age (lottery, career etc) or your grandfather's invested in assets for your dad and you to utilize. A salary only gives you a mediocre middle class life. And if your dad living such a mediocre life has decided that his great retirement plan is to live off of you instead of creating assets before you are ready, then you and your family are screwed. You are then just one major medical problem away from bankruptcy.

That said, @randomradio and the others here, if you guys find these erratic, out of the blue rants distracting or excessive, let me know. I'll stop.

It's all good, mate. Take your time.
 
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Wecome back.

Pretty much everything important has no taxes or very little taxes.
TIL petrol, LNG, LPG, automobiles, clothing, and snacks have little to no taxes. That's not how it feels when I pay for my groceries and living expenses, though.

It's less to do with taxes and more to do with the way they spend.
And there you go, trivializing everyone under the sun. Do you understand that someone could use the same line when you complain about your state government increasing prices?

In India, traffic cannot be managed.
When you talk of Mumbai, its not only traffic. It's everything you hate in Bangalore but dirtier, less maintained, and multiple times more expensive.

Now it's the richest city by per capita in India
True, it's twice as rich as Mumbai (per capita), which says a lot given Mumbai's head start when India became independent.

What's more important is managing inflation and maintaining low debt levels. Double engine helps with that.
Low debt levels? I keep repeating Madhya Pradesh because it is a perfect example of near-continuous BJP rule since the start of the century, with a double-engine government since 2014. It has high debt levels, mediocre living standards, and a widening per capita income gap.

And as mentioned, Odisha did a phenomenal job at managing growth and finances while maintaining a generous welfare state. It did not have a double engine until 2024.

Life has improved in these states, just not as much as other states that have managed to attract FDI and remittances.
That doesn't say much since life has improved in almost every state except for a select few.

What's interesting is West Bengal used to be one our richest states and Kolkata was our richest city.
This is where I agree. Bengal is a national tragedy. It once used to be the richest state in India, richer than Tamil Nadu or Karnataka. And now it's a wasteland, drowning in its hubris as other states leapfrog it. And as for Kolkata, yeah, it's a mess of epic proportions.
The level of stagnation should be apparent in that Rajasthan, a bimaru state, has a higher per capita income today than Bengal.

WB is what will happen when leftists take over.
More like that is what happens when incompetent communists take over. There are many examples of economically left-wing governments that have overseen successful economic growth in their respective states. The Tamil chief ministers, some Karnataka chief ministers, Naveen Patnaik and, to some extent, CBN and KCR, are examples of the same.

And a reminder to everyone: It was the sangh that supported the current chief minister of Bengal to take down the communists.

Almost all GDP growths that you see reflected on paper (like India's 7%) are current prices.
No, you are mistaken here. The GDP growth figures you see are real GDP growth. These are calculated at constant prices, or base year prices, which currently happens to be 2011-12 for India.

The growth you see reflected on headlines (like India's 6.4% in 2024-25) are in constant, i.e., 2011-12 prices. The growth estimate is 9.5% for 2024-25 in current prices.

Similarly, the growth figures you see for states (like Tamil Nadu's 9.69%, Bihar's 9.38%, and Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh's 7-7.35%) are in constant prices.

While you are correct in stating that Bihar's 15% growth rate is in current prices, it appears you believe that this growth is without taking inflation into account, which is wrong.

Reference: PRESS NOTE ON SECOND ADVANCE ESTIMATES OF ANNUAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FOR 2024-25
In the above source, refer to Annexure A, Statement 1A: Statement 1A: Second Advance Estimates of Annual GDP for FY 2024-25 and its Expenditure Components(at 2011- 12 Prices) and Statement 2A: Second Advance Estimates of Annual GDP for FY 2024-25 and its Expenditure Components(at Current Prices)

You are confused between nominal and real, that calculate for inflation.
If you mean real GDP includes inflationary effects in the calculation, then you are wrong.

Real economic growth does not include for inflation. Real GDP is the value of all goods and services (subject to usual conditions) calculated in constant/base-year prices. It means you are calculating the value of goods and services produced without factoring in their increased value due to an increase in their prices (inflation). You are essentially discounting inflation. This is because you are trying to calculate just the increase in the production of goods and services or an improvement in the value addition to the same amount of goods and services or both.

But you calculate your nominal GDP (and therefore your nominal growth rate) at current-year prices. Since your current-year prices will be different from the base-year prices (or the last fiscal year prices), you are factoring in inflation (the change in the current-year prices). This price change (inflation) ensures an increase in your GDP, even if the production of goods and services is essentially stagnant. In other words, your production output might be the same in quality and composition as last year (which gives you zero real GDP growth), but if their prices have risen (merely due to a rise in demand due to a money supply or population or some exogeneous factor), you will have a nominal GDP growth.

This is why a very rough way of calculating nominal GDP growth is to add your real GDP growth rate with your CPI (Chained Price Index: different from the retail CPI).

In short, real GDP growth is calculated without adding the effects of inflation (increase in prices), while nominal GDP growth is calculated by including inflationary price changes.

The govt's revenue sharing is pretty much even, based on population.
My comment was more about a state's revenue generation capacity but sure.

Fixing this requires investment, but now they cannot compete because most of South India consciously kept Congress out of its politics and reaped benefits.
Agreed. Do you know who else most of South India consciously kept out? The BJP. And they will keep doing that, mark my words, and mostly, they'll keep outperforming BJP-ruled states (maybe except Gujarat, which they'll match).

That said, the party you hate is wrecking havoc in Telangana, so you might be right about them, for all I know. But then, the party you love is being an utter disgrace in Maharashtra (and the triple-engine Mumbai), so who knows?

They are now the surplus labor, cheap wages states and with the right reforms will start attracting manufacturing investment.
They have been saying this for a decade now, and except for Uttar Pradesh, I've yet to see significant manufacturing investment flow into these states. Even for Uttar Pradesh, and the immense amounts of money and patronage it receives from the union government, its economic performance is mediocre compared to Tamil Nadu or Karnataka.

Central-govt funded universities remain the best.
Name it. Which central government-funded university are you talking about? And best compared to what? I can speak for the engineering and management domains. I studied at one of the 5-6 universities that you would consider the very best (tier-1, institute of eminence, you name it). I visited multiple of these universities you would consider the very best. Heck, my graduation was pretty recent, so I know what I'm talking about.

And the "best" universities in India don't hold a candle to other premier universities in Asia (forget about the West).

Rich privately funded universities and schooling systems (like ICSE) remain high quality.
Again, seriously, name it. Which private university do you consider high-quality? In engineering, there's only BITS Pilani (barely 1000 BE seats in its main campus). Name one more. I'll wait. In management? There's ISB Hyderabad, SP Jain Mumbai, and XLRI (all combined, <1600 seats). Name one more. Again, I'll wait.

Do you seriously, honestly, think 1000 engineering seats and 1600 MBA seats that you could call high quality in the private sector are enough for a country like India?

The rest have always been dregs.
What dregs are you talking about here? Do you realize that the budgets for IITs and NITs have been frozen for a few years now? And that the budgets for IIMs were halved last year? If these are your dregs, it's better not to talk seriously about education here.

As for private schools, they have always been expensive, atleast for the last 2 decades.
I finished my schooling only towards the end of the last decade, so I'm not sure about the last 2 decades part. If you wanted to study in the CBSE board, in good private schools, you could study in Class XI or XII for Rs 60-70 thousand a year. These days, you have to pay Rs 2 lakhs to get your child into primary school. And then another Rs 1-2 lakhs on coaching and tuition. I have seen these prices rise in real time.

You're blaming the wrong people.
No, I am not. The central government can always increase Kendriya Vidyalayas. They can always improve their existing schools. They can always fund education. Their not doing so is a policy choice. Keeping CBSE central school seats frozen is a policy choice. And no student old enough to opine on these considers this policy choice as healthy for education.

Maybe you should demand more from the government as well.

The only way to fund a high quality life is to get lucky at a young age (lottery, career etc)
That's not luck. That's hard work, ambition, skills and sacrifice, for both the parents and the children.

Your father could be a middle-class employee and can choose to invest in your education instead of bribing his superiors. You could grind yourself down and secure seats in the best colleges. And then you could invest time and money on studies in the said college instead of alcohol and sex and get placed in a good company. And then, you could be a filial son and care for your parents for burning away their life to lighten yours up.

So yeah, that's not luck. And by not funding education, the government is merely making it ever more difficult, ever more draining, for both the students and their parents.

You are then just one major medical problem away from bankruptcy.
You know your dad could do all that you mentioned, and you could still be forced to maybe sell assets or (if you have a good job) drain yourself dry if you find yourself with a health scare. That's how expensive private healthcare is, and unless you are a politician's relative, you are not getting into AIIMS Delhi.

And if you plan on saying people should live healthily, mind you, I'm pretty young and fit. That doesn't make me immune from the thousand different ways I could end up in a medical emergency.
 
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