India - Pakistan Standoff 2019
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It is more like a low-probability but catastrophic weapon. If they push it, you won't have any choice but to go for toe to toe nookluar combat with Pakistanis.
Someone should just fly a drone 200 or 300 meters high with a flashing light insulting IK. Will love them to waste their previous MANPADs on small drones.
The Heron will have to fly in contested airspace, it will get shot down. As I said, the airspace will be contested if you cannot hold the water. The detection range of these aircraft is very less against ships. Even though a ship is large, it is on the surface, so radar horizon comes into play. At 12 Km altitude, you can only see up to 400Km, which is not a lot.
The Mig-21 saga will repeat. Without the air defence system of the ship, PAF aircraft will get close enough to lure IAF jets into kill zones.
Or else, just to sink 1 tanker, you will need to bring in an entire strike package with a full squadron worth of aircraft, like the 16+8 we used for strikes, in order to prevent the PAF from attacking IAF jets, which is ridiculous.
That's why Strike Corps won't be used, nor will all-out war be declared. Only CSD at worst.
If I sink one of the first tanker even at a cost of one heron --assuming Pakistan contests that in the first place, then no tanker will come. Remember, loss of a heron is not that big as compared to loss of a pilot. And loss of a tanker is massive.
BTW, Pakistani will also have to take away a AWACS to keep track of your heron.
Oh, BTW, these tankers can also be seen on sats too. I have seen enough of them on images that I have downloaded.
And not to mention once a tanker arrives, it takes days for the tanker to unload its fuel via a pipeline connecting to shore. It actually waits outside the harbour.
Moral of this story is Pakistani should stop dreaming about Kashmir ...they could have escalated and take Kashmir which they are fighting for years but they couldn't.So Pakistani fake mullahs should tell their people to stop dreaming about Kashmir...we can't take Kashmir by war.
I have a feeling IAF is giving them a hard time still with mock charges/alertness. North India airspace (above Delhi, Punjab and large parts of Rajasthan) is mostly empty too (there is corridor open between Delhi/BOM for civilian traffic)....so that would likely support this.
They are forced at best to have a trickle of aircraft hugging Afghan border area....as their one corridor. Punjab/Sindh etc is largely devoid of a/c and Karachi still seems to be handling very few international aircraft traffic.
Combine all that with the few ships willing to berth in Karachi now....because of Indian naval presence too.
This is good, we are making their economy suffer for little cost on us (given we have strategic depth and they don't). Good for future reference too.
Nag is not inducted into Infantry Units yet. Like before, too many bluffmasters around.
155 mm may have been used earlier too. Unconfirmed (as of yet) news indicated PA using 155 mm and India retaliating.
Those flights in Pakistan will likely end by tonight.
A naval blockade will be good for Pakistani reserves. If they don't buy oil, then they can save a lot of forex.
As of yet ... I doubt it. GoI wants to keep the pressure up on PA while givinv GoP room to maneuvre. Release will build too much public pressure on GoP/may result in IK becoming a liability.
I know. I said I am unsure as am waiting for information from more sources. Although identity is likely as stated.
That is good for CSD. Guess the location where it's impact will be felt. Pulwama 40, Iran 27 and now Afganistan 40, and IN is blockading from South.
Blood shortage reported in Kotli and Rawalkot sector.Heavy artillery(155 mm) firing.ATGM and MBRL usage also reported
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