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Absolutely shocked at your reasoning.
Disrespectful and disregarded for the secrets they hold. What a shame our defence enthusiasm had led us to. By all means my friend you need a baba, Shani rahu aur ketu 8th house mein budh ke Sath Jo Hain.

Over and out.

You are Neither understanding the problem nor you are willing to acknowledge the Changes in the world where Social Media is also a fighting arm

Ghafoor was publicly saluting his SM warriors and asking whether they had got their payments 🤣
 
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Our ops whatever they were. Are not the issue.
The braHmos and the f16s were.
We confirmed it's a centcom us base with drones and choppers.
The rest was made up. But like you said agree to disagree.
It was. But no more. Please check the latest on it. USA and CENTCOM has nothing to do with this base anymore for last over three years.
 
It was. But no more. Please check the latest on it. USA and CENTCOM has nothing to do with this base anymore for last over three years.

It's been placed as a contingency support base along with drone placement.
Spoken to the establishment. You might wanna reach out. We've become happy to share it seems in the last 5 months. There was an invitation sent out too, self paid visit to Delhi. I'm sure you're aware.
 
Dude whats the salary of ISPR troll? Can Indians apply for the job 😂😂
Sir, I haven't had the honor of being on the payroll of ISPR. Will absolutely let you know when I do. I don't see any reason why Indians cannot apply for the job.

I agree with you. DG ispr called an urgent press conferance of journalist just to express the regret of falling trees. it followed by urgent meeting called by your prime minister to discuss the issue of death of three cows I fully agree with you.
Sir, I'm glad that you agree. I hope the remaining members also agree soon, there was no need for a 500+ pages long discussion.

Personally I don't think Phalcon AWACS could have mistaken F16 for a mirage.
Sir, what the radar sees is a blip and its perceived size, nothing else. The electronic signature for example the radar, ECM, comms etc determines its type. During the battle, the radar operators classify and 'tag' the hostiles. We do not know the electronics onboard the Mirage-IIIDPs (some Mirages don't even have a radar), just that they are primarily trainer/strike aircrafts. It is possible for the hostile to be mis-identified, it happens a lot even during exercises.
Primarily, the absence of IFF is enough for it to be declared hostile. I believe that's exactly what happened with the ill-fated Mi-17.

@BlackOpsIndia is the only person who posted that the roof structure changed after 26th to a Pyramidal structure. But his chicken shit brain failed to educate him the reasons for change of roof structure. AND he even posted the pics of the structures. Can we find someone even more brainless than him here? AND you have him as Local Host.
Sir, instead of taking it personally and lashing out, I'd recommend going through the imagery again. The immediate before/after imagery does not show any roof change. On Google Earth its confusing, since the DOI of the 'before' is 13/06/2018.

That long post by a *censored* - look how conveniently he says IAF failed to strike and PAF "deliberately" failed to strike haha
Sir, I don't think calling me a *censored* will change the truth.

Just one of the SOWs hit the brigade HQ compound... There were 3 to 4 unexploded ones lying close to the LOC, which IA was planning to destroy... clearly these missed their mark...
Sir, I'm only going by the official IAF press release which acknowledged PAF SOWs falling within IA compounds. The Indian media has falsified so much information that I don't even know where to begin with. Last I read 11x H-4s missed their mark, as reported by ANI. I hope you can calculate how many Mirages are need to launch AND guide that amount of SOWs.

The roof was slightly dislodged. Also, the munitions do not "destroy". The bombs penetrate and explode where intended, and the munitions were the fragmentation kind, so all it does is drop "grenades" inside.

This has been used many times by the Israelis, particularly in Syria. The roof will comfortably withstand the hit because it's obviously bolted on and is metal.

Maybe the US does lack such a weapon. There are plenty of weapons the US doesn't operate, like the AASM or the Brimstone 2.
Lockheed Adds Some Israeli SPICE To Kinetics Market

As for the alignment, I don't see much of a difference. The distance between the farthest holes seem to be as wide as 2m at the very minimum. I hope you don't think that's not at least 6 feet. The holes alone must be half a meter in diameter. And it's obvious that even if 3 planes were used for 3 bombs, the target was likely the center of the roof. So the angle of entry seems quite accurate for 3 aircraft flying side by side.

Btw, the munitions used were of the 70Kg kind.
Sir, I never thought that optimism could reach the levels I witnessed today. Anyhow, you are entitled to your opinion.

It appears that the 'narrative' presented by Sameer Joshi is still going strong, although it has more holes in it than the combined amount of PGMs dropped during this standoff. These are the articles written by Sameer Joshi, kindly go through them:
“HELL FOR LEATHER” - Sameer Joshi - Medium
DEBUNKING THE ISPR’s ANTITHESIS OF A PRECISION STRIKE AT BALAKOT - Medium

When you're done, kindly answer the following questions based on what he wrote:
  1. He says IAF has clear SAR imagery indicating the damage done in the strikes. Exactly what sort of damage was that, which was invisible to 50cm optical imagery? Does India operate SAR assets of resolution less than 50cm? Why didn't the IAF release that SAR imagery?
  2. He identified the main 30x30m hall as target and found holes in it based on PlanetLabs imagery. But he later said that it wasn't the target. Why didn't the IAF 'sources' tell him the truth from the beginning? After all, IAF knew what it was targeting, right?
  3. He claimed 6x individual targets struck initially. But later he claimed only 3x holes in a single target? Again, why did his sources not give him consistent information? Why did he switch his claims after the February 27th imagery from ESI was released?
  4. He identified 3x holes on a singular roof joint of the smaller structure. Is it not possible that the black 'holes' (rather rectangles) he sees are mere single-pixel wide image artifacts, arising due to the sharpening algorithm? How did SOWs from different planes perfectly aligned on a single roof joint along the same line, after gliding for ~40kms? Why didn't the roof dent/collapse 6000lbs of material falling on it at supersonic speeds? Assuming the 'penetrator' theory, why didn't the roof blow off due to use of 3x80kg explosives?
  5. He claimed that 5x SOWs were employed. But there are 3x bomb craters, plus 3x 'holes', plus 'heap of soil'. So were there actually 7x SOWs employed?
  6. He said that 'penetration' munitions were used to avoid collateral. But FS Gokhale said that "selection of target was conditioned by our desire to avoid civilian casualties. The facility is located in the thick forest on a hill-top far away from any civilian presence". Then how could there be a need to use 'penetration' munitions? Why didn't IAF sources claimed that penetrators were used right away, rather only after satellite imagery was released by PlanetLabs showing no damage?
  7. He mentions that the structure had a thin metal roof with a light concrete layer. Considering that air forces all over the world use general-purpose fragmentation munitions with delay fuzes against non-hardened targets to cause maximum casualties and damage, why wouldn't 3x2000lbs general-purpose munitions with simple delay fuzes be enough? How is it possible that they wouldn't inflict max casualties and completely destroy the said structure?
  8. He said that SPICE itself has the fuze. But as I've explained earlier, the munition has the fuze, SPICE is just a strap-down kit.
  9. He compares 'penetrator' to BLU116. But the amount of NEQ explosives used for calculations is far below the amount used in BLU116. Also, there is no information of the 'penetrator' available? Who is the OEM of the penetrator? When did IAF induct it?
  10. He theorizes that 80kg explosive exploded in 3.5m deep rock silo dug by the penetrator. How could the shrapnel kill people protected by a 3.5m deep Basalmic rock? If mere shockwave was enough to inflict casualties, why didn't the same shockwave from 3x 'penetratos' blow apart the walls or roof? How did the shockwave from 3x bombs hitting the same quadrant, travel throughout the structure killing people but failed to blow off any walls?
  11. He theorized 14kPA overpressure originating from 80kg NEQ explosive as the limit for collapse, and claimed that the overpressure was just below it. Later, he claimed 3x holes in the smaller structure. Wouldn't there be more damage caused by 3x bombs causing more/repeated overpressure hence more damage resulting in collapse of the structure?
  12. He compared the strikes with Gaza strikes. But they are roof-knock strikes, conducted a few minutes before the actual strikes to drive out the inhabitants. Why would Israeli AF always bomb a target twice if the first strike kills everyone? Why hasn't the Israeli AF ever made the same claim, and instead insisted that they are roof-knock strikes, as evident by the people escaping prior to the actual strike?
  13. He alleged that ISPR funded international experts. But as I quoted in my previous post, at least 4x neutral observers arrived at the same conclusion, from 2x different sources of satellite imageries? Why has no neutral expert agreed with the Indian version of the events of the Balakot strike? Did ISPR pay everyone to remain silent?

From "locating holes" in the 30x30m shelter to it being not the target at all to "fuel air explosives" to "mass graves" to "penetrators" to Crystal Maze to PAF itself hitting Balakot...it has been an interesting change of narrative, unbecoming of the 4th largest Air Force in the world. I'm surprised that no heads were rolled in the aftermath of the entire episode.
 
Sir, I haven't had the honor of being on the payroll of ISPR. Will absolutely let you know when I do. I don't see any reason why Indians cannot apply for the job.


Sir, I'm glad that you agree. I hope the remaining members also agree soon, there was no need for a 500+ pages long discussion.


Sir, what the radar sees is a blip and its perceived size, nothing else. The electronic signature for example the radar, ECM, comms etc determines its type. During the battle, the radar operators classify and 'tag' the hostiles. We do not know the electronics onboard the Mirage-IIIDPs (some Mirages don't even have a radar), just that they are primarily trainer/strike aircrafts. It is possible for the hostile to be mis-identified, it happens a lot even during exercises.
Primarily, the absence of IFF is enough for it to be declared hostile. I believe that's exactly what happened with the ill-fated Mi-17.


Sir, instead of taking it personally and lashing out, I'd recommend going through the imagery again. The immediate before/after imagery does not show any roof change. On Google Earth its confusing, since the DOI of the 'before' is 13/06/2018.


Sir, I don't think calling me a *censored* will change the truth.


Sir, I'm only going by the official IAF press release which acknowledged PAF SOWs falling within IA compounds. The Indian media has falsified so much information that I don't even know where to begin with. Last I read 11x H-4s missed their mark, as reported by ANI. I hope you can calculate how many Mirages are need to launch AND guide that amount of SOWs.


Sir, I never thought that optimism could reach the levels I witnessed today. Anyhow, you are entitled to your opinion.

It appears that the 'narrative' presented by Sameer Joshi is still going strong, although it has more holes in it than the combined amount of PGMs dropped during this standoff. These are the articles written by Sameer Joshi, kindly go through them:
“HELL FOR LEATHER” - Sameer Joshi - Medium
DEBUNKING THE ISPR’s ANTITHESIS OF A PRECISION STRIKE AT BALAKOT - Medium

When you're done, kindly answer the following questions based on what he wrote:
  1. He says IAF has clear SAR imagery indicating the damage done in the strikes. Exactly what sort of damage was that, which was invisible to 50cm optical imagery? Does India operate SAR assets of resolution less than 50cm? Why didn't the IAF release that SAR imagery?
  2. He identified the main 30x30m hall as target and found holes in it based on PlanetLabs imagery. But he later said that it wasn't the target. Why didn't the IAF 'sources' tell him the truth from the beginning? After all, IAF knew what it was targeting, right?
  3. He claimed 6x individual targets struck initially. But later he claimed only 3x holes in a single target? Again, why did his sources not give him consistent information? Why did he switch his claims after the February 27th imagery from ESI was released?
  4. He identified 3x holes on a singular roof joint of the smaller structure. Is it not possible that the black 'holes' (rather rectangles) he sees are mere single-pixel wide image artifacts, arising due to the sharpening algorithm? How did SOWs from different planes perfectly aligned on a single roof joint along the same line, after gliding for ~40kms? Why didn't the roof dent/collapse 6000lbs of material falling on it at supersonic speeds? Assuming the 'penetrator' theory, why didn't the roof blow off due to use of 3x80kg explosives?
  5. He claimed that 5x SOWs were employed. But there are 3x bomb craters, plus 3x 'holes', plus 'heap of soil'. So were there actually 7x SOWs employed?
  6. He said that 'penetration' munitions were used to avoid collateral. But FS Gokhale said that "selection of target was conditioned by our desire to avoid civilian casualties. The facility is located in the thick forest on a hill-top far away from any civilian presence". Then how could there be a need to use 'penetration' munitions? Why didn't IAF sources claimed that penetrators were used right away, rather only after satellite imagery was released by PlanetLabs showing no damage?
  7. He mentions that the structure had a thin metal roof with a light concrete layer. Considering that air forces all over the world use general-purpose fragmentation munitions with delay fuzes against non-hardened targets to cause maximum casualties and damage, why wouldn't 3x2000lbs general-purpose munitions with simple delay fuzes be enough? How is it possible that they wouldn't inflict max casualties and completely destroy the said structure?
  8. He said that SPICE itself has the fuze. But as I've explained earlier, the munition has the fuze, SPICE is just a strap-down kit.
  9. He compares 'penetrator' to BLU116. But the amount of NEQ explosives used for calculations is far below the amount used in BLU116. Also, there is no information of the 'penetrator' available? Who is the OEM of the penetrator? When did IAF induct it?
  10. He theorizes that 80kg explosive exploded in 3.5m deep rock silo dug by the penetrator. How could the shrapnel kill people protected by a 3.5m deep Basalmic rock? If mere shockwave was enough to inflict casualties, why didn't the same shockwave from 3x 'penetratos' blow apart the walls or roof? How did the shockwave from 3x bombs hitting the same quadrant, travel throughout the structure killing people but failed to blow off any walls?
  11. He theorized 14kPA overpressure originating from 80kg NEQ explosive as the limit for collapse, and claimed that the overpressure was just below it. Later, he claimed 3x holes in the smaller structure. Wouldn't there be more damage caused by 3x bombs causing more/repeated overpressure hence more damage resulting in collapse of the structure?
  12. He compared the strikes with Gaza strikes. But they are roof-knock strikes, conducted a few minutes before the actual strikes to drive out the inhabitants. Why would Israeli AF always bomb a target twice if the first strike kills everyone? Why hasn't the Israeli AF ever made the same claim, and instead insisted that they are roof-knock strikes, as evident by the people escaping prior to the actual strike?
  13. He alleged that ISPR funded international experts. But as I quoted in my previous post, at least 4x neutral observers arrived at the same conclusion, from 2x different sources of satellite imageries? Why has no neutral expert agreed with the Indian version of the events of the Balakot strike? Did ISPR pay everyone to remain silent?

From "locating holes" in the 30x30m shelter to it being not the target at all to "fuel air explosives" to "mass graves" to "penetrators" to Crystal Maze to PAF itself hitting Balakot...it has been an interesting change of narrative, unbecoming of the 4th largest Air Force in the world. I'm surprised that no heads were rolled in the aftermath of the entire episode.

I believe phalcon can do more.
Falcon mentioned electronic signature confirmed F16 kill.
F16 drop tank at the site of mig21 crash..
For us it won't matter whether F16 or mirage 3 went down, why would we get obsessed with F16 kill.
Pak has not come out with any official announcement.
Strangely Lara salingman reported full count of F16s even though Pentagon said it's not aware of it.

From Indian point of view after IAF came out with statement and radar pic, we don't doubt their narrative. And we look up for Pak or US official source s for others to accept it.
 
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I see that the hair-splitting continues. Let me reiterate my personal views on the standoff.


1. Balakot Strikes:
IAF utilized diversion, terrain masking and a deeper base to create an element of surprise. IAF's Mirage-2000s popped up from behind the Pir Panjal range, ingressed ~9-10km across the LoC over Muzaffarabad sector and launched SPICE-2000 SOWs armed with 2000lbs general purpose munitions. PAF couldn't intercept, because 2x airborne CAPs were diverted to Lahore & Bahawalpur sectors to intercept the intended incursions there and no new airborne CAPs were available for interception. PAF was not cleared to go in hot pursuit.
There is conclusive evidence available that IAF missed. There is no damage to any structure in satellite imagery. There are no people or vehicles visible in post-strike imagery for moving dead-bodies. There are no repair efforts visible. There are no videos on SM of ambulances or any sort of other massive vehicle movement in Jaba/Bisian to signify any major event.

  • How did IAF miss? It was most probably a systematic GPS targeting error since the SOWs missed by nearly identical distances.
  • Why was GPS used instead of IIR or TV-guidance? Because visibility was poor for IIR and line of sight was not available for TV-guidance.
  • Would using Crystal Maze have made any difference? No, as it shares the same seeker as SPICE and the same restrictions apply here.
  • Did PAF thwart IAF strike? No, otherwise the SOWs would not have been armed and would have missed by much larger distances.
  • What about NRTC's report of 300 active cell phones? Active cellphones before the strike are no measure of casualties.
  • What about an Italian journalist claiming hundreds of casualties? She is biased to the extent that her 'journalism' is limited to Pakistan.
  • Why Pakistan didn't allow journalists to visit the facility promptly? Because Pakistan's narrative was that there was no JeM camp. If journalists took photos and matched them with Indian intel dossier photos, JeM camp would have been confirmed, even if it wasn't functional for the past couple of years.


2. Operation Swift Retort:
PAF had contingency plans of responding to such an adventure, adopted probably after post-Mumbai IAF's 2x parallel incursions. A large amount of aircrafts went airborne around 0800, conducted IB-wide patrols and monitored different IAF CAPs. PAF utilized diversion and swarm tactics, and ingressed when there were the least amount of IAF assets in the Sunderbani-Rajouri sector.
2x Mirage-VPAs approached Sunderbani area from the South, launched 1x H-4 each at targets in Narian & Naushera from well within Pakistani airspace and bugged out. They were followed by 2x dual-seat Mirage-IIIDPs to guide H-4s using man-in-the-loop TV-guidance, alongwith 2x JF-17 escorts. 2x JF-17s approached Rajouri area from the West with 2x JF-17 escorts, launched 2x Mk-83 REKs each at targets in Poonch & Rajouri without ingressing.
IAF acknowledged the SOWs hitting within Indian Army compounds.

  • What were PAF's targets? They were empty areas within Indian Army Brigade HQ, Battalion HQ and Ammo dumps at multiple locations.
  • Why PAF chose such targets? Since IAF strikes didn't do any damage, PAF wanted to demonstrate right, intent and capability to retaliate.
  • Why didn't Pakistan use artillery instead? Because Pakistan needed to retaliate in a proportional manner.
  • Were PAF strikes meant for public consumption? No, they were done to restore conventional deterrence, as declared before IAF strikes.
  • Did IAF thwart PAF strike? No, otherwise the SOWs would have missed the IA Compunds. IAF didn't have any assets to jam the SOWs.
  • What about H-4 debris in AJK? Those are SFM assemblies, jettisoned successfully after boosting the glide assemblies.


3. Dogfight over LoC:
IAF vectored MiG-21s, Su-30s & Mirage-2000s against PAF's Mirage-IIIs, JF-17s & F-16s. Following 4x kills occurred in my opinion:

A. Unconfirmed kill 01: PAF claims that SL Hassaan's F-16 launched an AMRAAM at a large RCS target, believed to be Su-30MKI, deep inside IoK. There exists electronic confirmation of kill via detonation at the intended position/altitude and target blip disappearance. However this is circumstantial evidence and not released to public. There is a possibility that the AMRAAM hit chaff and the target dropped below horizon afterwards.

B. Unconfirmed kill 02: IAF claims that WC Abhinandhan shot down a PAF F-16 before being shot down himself. Enough video evidence, witnesses and statements exist to indicate that 2x aircrafts went down along the LoC in close vicinity. One is confirmed to be MiG-21, other could possibly be one of the dual-seat Mirage-IIIDPs which went closer to guide the H-4 SOW. There is a possibility that Mirage-IIIDP was shot down by another AMRAAM alongwith the MiG-21 Bison due to being in close proximity, in a case of fratricide.

C. MiG-21 Bison: WC Abhinandhan's MiG-21 ingressed 'blindly', vectored by his GCI. WC Abhinandhan was cleared to cross the LoC and go in hot pursuit. PAF DA-20 jammed his comms and he was shot down by WC Nauman's F-16. Wreckage, missiles and EFT were recovered indicating that before getting shot down, WC Abhinandhan did not launch any AAM. IAF didn't claim any other launches.

D. Mi-17: An IAF Mi-17 flying in proximity of Srinagar AFS was mistaken as a UAV and shot down by the SPYDER SAM system based at Srinagar AFS.

  • Why did PAF launch AMRAAMs at long ranges? To take down IAF aircrafts, or at least keep them at bay for the duration of the operation.
  • Why DG ISPR initially denied use of F-16? Because PA feared retribution from US on offensive use of F-16 against India. However DG ISPR later rectified to no F-16s used in air-to-ground strikes.
  • Why couldn't the unconfirmed kill 02 be an F-16? Third-party confirmation of no F-16 loss exists. Besides, IAF claimed F-16 based on ELINT data of the swarm in the area, which doesn't necessarily mean an F-16. WC Abhinandhan could not have confirmed a visual/kill of F-16, since his comms were jammed.

4. Aftermath:
A. Pakistan's nuclear deterrence has not been compromised as none of Pakistan's nuclear red lines were breached. There is always room for small skirmishes, it is India's fault that they believed Pakistan's rhetoric and imposed red lines on themselves. Pakistan's conventional deterrence was compromised, but an immediate restoration was attempted. Time will tell if it was restored successfully.

B. IAF wasted the opportunity of neutralizing militants by missing. It is highly unlikely that it will get another chance like that again. However IAF did gain useful experience of precision strikes, interceptions and battle management. PAF also got the opportunity to gain useful combat experience. Mirages with H-4s, JF-17s with Mk-83 REKs and F-16s with AMRAAMs were used in combat, alongwith EW/ECM using DA-20 and battle monitoring/management using Saab-2000 AEW&C.

C. IAF has identified key weaknesses namely targeting errors, lack of enough AWACS, mediocre BVRs, limited shelters for Su-30s and importance of electronic warfare. PAF has identified key weaknesses namely lack of LRSAMs, not enough MRSAMs and lack of BrahMos-equivalent systems.

D. Asset mobilization, alert levels and climbing the escalation ladder was practiced by both countries. . Both countries carried out conventional air-strikes. Pakistan knows that there will be retribution for any large militant attack. India knows that it won't get away with any misadventure on Pakistani soil.

E. Modi has closed the doors on himself, and he must strike next time otherwise he would risk losing his electoral popularity. However India did indeed pressure Pakistan into rethinking militant support and actively shutting them down for good. If hopefully there isn't a major militant attack ever again in Kashmir, the Indian military aggression will have achieved its objective.

5. Third-party analysis:

Balakot Airstrikes
An airstrike and its aftermath
Satellite images show madrasa buildings still standing at scene of Indian bombing - Reuters
Were India’s airstrikes in Pakistan a strategy for public approval? | The Strategist
India’s strike on Balakot: a very precise miss? | The Strategist
Images - India, Pakistan Airstrike | European Space Imaging
Surgical Strike in Pakistan a Botched Operation? - DFRLab - Medium

Dogfight over LoC
Geolocation and a Philosopher's Stone in Kashmir - bellingcat
Falcon vs Bison: Verifying a MiG-21 Wreck - bellingcat
IN DEPTH: Indian Plane Shot Down Over Pakistan in February
Did India Shoot Down a Pakistani Jet? U.S. Count Says No.
I almost took you serious before you started quoting ISPR propaganda word to word. Whats with you people, this is not Pakistani forum we wont sell you out to ISPR if you talk truth, even your most rational ones amazes me at times.
 
When you're done, kindly answer the following questions based on what he wrote:

He says IAF has clear SAR imagery indicating the damage done in the strikes. Exactly what sort of damage was that, which was invisible to 50cm optical imagery? Does India operate SAR assets of resolution less than 50cm? Why didn't the IAF release that SAR imagery?

The govt can't reveal SAR images due to sensitivity. They aren't in it for the PR game. In fact, they probably assumed that Pak will deny the strike itself.

He identified the main 30x30m hall as target and found holes in it based on PlanetLabs imagery. But he later said that it wasn't the target. Why didn't the IAF 'sources' tell him the truth from the beginning? After all, IAF knew what it was targeting, right?

Why will IAF tell him anything?

He claimed 6x individual targets struck initially. But later he claimed only 3x holes in a single target? Again, why did his sources not give him consistent information? Why did he switch his claims after the February 27th imagery from ESI was released?

Is he the IAF Chief or NSA or PM to get accurate information?

He identified 3x holes on a singular roof joint of the smaller structure. Is it not possible that the black 'holes' (rather rectangles) he sees are mere single-pixel wide image artifacts, arising due to the sharpening algorithm? How did SOWs from different planes perfectly aligned on a single roof joint along the same line, after gliding for ~40kms? Why didn't the roof dent/collapse 6000lbs of material falling on it at supersonic speeds? Assuming the 'penetrator' theory, why didn't the roof blow off due to use of 3x80kg explosives?

Fragmentation. They do not do structural damage.

He claimed that 5x SOWs were employed. But there are 3x bomb craters, plus 3x 'holes', plus 'heap of soil'. So were there actually 7x SOWs employed?

Three geographical locations were hit, one of which is Balakot. Those craters in Balakot have nothing to do with the IAF.

He said that 'penetration' munitions were used to avoid collateral. But FS Gokhale said that "selection of target was conditioned by our desire to avoid civilian casualties. The facility is located in the thick forest on a hill-top far away from any civilian presence". Then how could there be a need to use 'penetration' munitions? Why didn't IAF sources claimed that penetrators were used right away, rather only after satellite imagery was released by PlanetLabs showing no damage?

There is a mismatch between the claim and the understanding of the reader. Target was selected based on its remoteness, so that there are no casualties even inadvertently. Penetration munition was used to get through different floors of the building. The Spice can be programmed to hit a specific floor after penetration. So the two statements are unrelated.

The building was multistorey.

He mentions that the structure had a thin metal roof with a light concrete layer. Considering that air forces all over the world use general-purpose fragmentation munitions with delay fuzes against non-hardened targets to cause maximum casualties and damage, why wouldn't 3x2000lbs general-purpose munitions with simple delay fuzes be enough? How is it possible that they wouldn't inflict max casualties and completely destroy the said structure?

IAF didn't have that type of Spice unforntunately. Recently bought some of that building razing type.

He theorizes that 80kg explosive exploded in 3.5m deep rock silo dug by the penetrator. How could the shrapnel kill people protected by a 3.5m deep Basalmic rock? If mere shockwave was enough to inflict casualties, why didn't the same shockwave from 3x 'penetratos' blow apart the walls or roof? How did the shockwave from 3x bombs hitting the same quadrant, travel throughout the structure killing people but failed to blow off any walls?

Too much speculation on type of penetrator used, possibility of shockwave etc.

He compared the strikes with Gaza strikes. But they are roof-knock strikes, conducted a few minutes before the actual strikes to drive out the inhabitants. Why would Israeli AF always bomb a target twice if the first strike kills everyone? Why hasn't the Israeli AF ever made the same claim, and instead insisted that they are roof-knock strikes, as evident by the people escaping prior to the actual strike?

That's something for him to answer. It's his speculation after all.

He alleged that ISPR funded international experts. But as I quoted in my previous post, at least 4x neutral observers arrived at the same conclusion, from 2x different sources of satellite imageries? Why has no neutral expert agreed with the Indian version of the events of the Balakot strike? Did ISPR pay everyone to remain silent?

That's something for those experts to answer, whether they agree with Joshi or not.

From "locating holes" in the 30x30m shelter to it being not the target at all to "fuel air explosives" to "mass graves" to "penetrators" to Crystal Maze to PAF itself hitting Balakot...it has been an interesting change of narrative, unbecoming of the 4th largest Air Force in the world. I'm surprised that no heads were rolled in the aftermath of the entire episode.

Narrative? Everything you see is speculation. It becomes a narrative only if the govt participates in it. As far as the govt is concerned, they hit the targets successfully.

Heads need not roll after successful strikes, and their position has not changed since the day of the strikes.
 
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@BlackOpsIndia has failed to render any explanation for change of roof top of the supposed target of IAF strikes and he is a senior member and Local Host. That shows the third rate standard of this site and forum.
@BlackOpsIndia is the only person who posted that the roof structure changed after 26th to a Pyramidal structure. But his chicken shit brain failed to educate him the reasons for change of roof structure. AND he even posted the pics of the structures. Can we find someone even more brainless than him here? AND you have him as Local Host.

Is that best you can do whining, crying, getting personal? I respect you for being veteran and old but it seems too much respect got to your head so level up.

What's the obsession with Local Host? Do you even know the meaning of it? A google search would have saved you from this embarrassment in public.

Where did I claimed roof getting shifted or structure changing? Are you deluding yourself and imagining things?

I have ignored you time and again for peddling lies and fantasies, claiming one thing and then claiming exactly opposite after few posts and then irony of it saying "told you so". I have not pushed you on many things and gave you a way out every time even after your highly inaccurate claims and so do others out of respect. Why the do you need to leverage it beyond point? Why do want people to call you out on your every inaccurate claim and humiliate you by counters? Giving you a pass just because you are a veteran is not enough?

I know why you are rattled, well get used to it.
 
We had picked up the strike package the moment they got airborne. We FAILED to accurately analyse their intentions and mission. That is where we went wrong. If someone had concluded that it was a proper strike, we would have immidiately launched 10-15 more fighters.

That means India does not have assets inside their airforce. Neither officials could sniff the logistics movement and PAF preparation to strike Indian airbases beforehand, even after their ispr chief mentioned that they will hit back!

Very poor state of security! This is why I always say that ISI has spread their assets inside India because PAKISTANIS KNEW THAT INDIA WAS NOT EXPECTING any strike from them the very next Morning of 27th Feb That's why they were confident and came.
 
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IFF I am not wrong, PAF very cleverly camouflaged and fooled our >Radar assessment and analysis of their airspace on 27th before striking.

1) They did not launch all of their aircrafts at the same time. If they had launched it at the same time, Indian radars would have caught them and analysed it as a strike package.

2) What they most probably did is, they sent up their aircrafts one by one very gradually and made it look like a red alert or a normal sortie and waited for the orders.

3) Indian radars picked them as a strike package only when the strength was built and headed towards LOC.

It is not possible that within 24 hours their PAF was ready to hit India hard and such a huge movement of logistics were not detected overnight.
 
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That means India does not have assets inside their airforce. Neither officials could sniff the logistics movement and PAF preparation to strike Indian airbases beforehand, even after their ispr chief mentioned that they will hit back!

Very poor state of security! This is why I always say that ISI has spread their assets inside India because PAKISTANIS KNEW THAT INDIA WAS NOT EXPECTING any strike from them the very next Morning of 27th Feb That's why they were confident and came.

Our lapse =/= Enemy competence. Do you actually think the ISI is everywhere? Get real. This forum is taking off from the real world and flying in the realm coke fueled imagination
 
Our lapse =/= Enemy competence. Do you actually think the ISI is everywhere? Get real. This forum is taking off from the real world and flying in the realm coke fueled imagination


If they are not every where how could be Pakistanis be so confident that India was not expecting Pakistan to hit back? Some mole was activated overnight to pass on the info of Indian assessment!

And even if India expected a strike, they camouflaged preparations well. Otherwise India would have taken them down before launching their aircrafts.

This simply shows their strikes were covert as well like India did in balakot.

And this is exactly what Ghafooriya was boasting about, by saying that "We also have capability".

India only came to know that it's a strike at the nick of the time.
 
If they are not every where how could be Pakistanis be so confident that India was not expecting Pakistan to hit back? Some mole was activated overnight to pass on the info of Indian assessment!

And even if India expected a strike, they camouflaged preparations well. Otherwise India would have taken them down before launching their aircrafts.

This simply shows their strikes were covert as well like India did in balakot.

And this is exactly what Ghafooriya was boasting about, by saying that "We also have capability".

India only came to know that it's a strike at the nick of the time.

There is a term - Escalation Matrix - read about it once. India follows the doctrine of proportionate response and measured escalation. India went to great lengths to say the hit in Balakot was on Terrorism and not Pakistan. War is not a neighborhood fist fight where you land your best punches. India could take out the strike package once it took off and formed up in Pak airspace - that would be an act of war. Do you want a shooting war with Pakistan? The GoI decided the time was not right. So the RoE was - dont spank them till they cross the border

When PAF hit our military locations, THAT was a Casus Belli and could have been used to declare war. India was about to hit them nice and hard before the powers that be intervened. Also they got our pilot so that worked in their favor. Pakistanis should install a photo of WC Abhinandan next to Jinnah everywhere.. Jinnah might have created Pakistan but WC Abhinandan had a part in preserving it.

I could not make out head or tail of your statement - This simply shows their strikes were covert as well like India did in balakot.
The strike was detected and intercepted - to a degree.

Gen. Ghafoor is a ...as my school teacher used to say - Bandaran da PT Master. He is adept at making snide comments on India's shortcomings almost like the Pammi Aunties of East Delhi neighborhoods. He is a source of information after applying the necessary filters. Nothing more.
 
There is a term - Escalation Matrix - read about it once. India follows the doctrine of proportionate response and measured escalation. India went to great lengths to say the hit in Balakot was on Terrorism and not Pakistan. War is not a neighborhood fist fight where you land your best punches. India could take out the strike package once it took off and formed up in Pak airspace - that would be an act of war. Do you want a shooting war with Pakistan? The GoI decided the time was not right. So the RoE was - dont spank them till they cross the border
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Pakistan did not fit into your so called fancy term known as escalation matrix unfortunately, Lol. War is fought on the basis of ground reports not on the basis of bookish terms. India failed to get info out of PAF HQ on what they were upto and missed the bus. India was really not prepared for the PAF response at all, because Indian officials failed to assess it. And that's the reality. But some how IAF managed to prevent the devastation

When PAF hit our military locations, THAT was a Casus Belli and could have been used to declare war. India was about to hit them nice and hard before the powers that be intervened. Also they got our pilot so that worked in their favor. Pakistanis should install a photo of WC Abhinandan next to Jinnah everywhere.. Jinnah might have created Pakistan but WC Abhinandan had a part in preservi

Did India stop the war in kargil when Nachiketa was caught? NO! Reason, ISI sponsered media was not allowed to puke and build propaganda. And Neither Govt of India demanded them to return Abhinandan. India was keen to strike them.
That's why I say, India has got ISI donkeys every where.

And FYI, Pak has a new ISI chief, as Asif Munir's tenure was cut short by Immi after meeting Modi. that means ISI was upto something and responsible for Pulwama and other sort of things in India. Other wise why would only he be transferred to other department. This never happened in the history of Pakistan.

I could not make out head or tail of your statement - This simply shows their strikes were covert as well like India did in balakot.
The strike was detected and intercepted - to a degree

My point is, why the logistic movement of PAF and intelligence was not at India's disposal on the evening of 26th Feb. That was my reply to Vstol, for saying India could not assess Pakistan's move.
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Pakistan did not fit into your so called fancy term known as escalation matrix unfortunately, Lol. War is fought on the basis of ground reports not on the basis of bookish terms. India failed to get info out of PAF HQ on what they were upto and missed the bus. India was really not prepared for the PAF response at all, because Indian officials failed to assess it. And that's the reality. But some how IAF managed to prevent the devastation

.


Pakistan's story always has been - No terror camps in Pakistan. They claimed India bombed their forest land. Now India does not have any terror camps of its own so who do they hit? They chose the easiest targets close to the LoC. If you actually tone down the rhetoric and try to figure things out, its not that hard. Really.


And FYI, Pak has a new ISI chief, as Asif Munir's tenure was cut short by Immi after meeting Modi. that means ISI was upto something and responsible for Pulwama and other sort of things in India. Other wise why would only he be transferred to other department. This never happened in the history of Pakistan.

.

If you think Imran Khan can fire the ISI Chief, you are connected to the best suppliers. My compliments.

Did India stop the war in kargil when Nachiketa was caught? NO! Reason, ISI sponsered media was not allowed to puke and build propaganda. And Neither Govt of India demanded them to return Abhinandan. India was keen to strike them.
That's why I say, India has got ISI donkeys every where.

Consider the possibility that FB and Whatsapp are not always reliable sources of information and the media might not be a traitor. Seriously do you wake to the speeches of Zaid Hamid? Guys like you probably search for KGB interrogation videos on Pornhub.

Kargil was a different war. We were fighting for our land. The public was behind the Government. This time there was no war. This whole thing just blew up in everyone's faces. The public chickened out and the Govt. knew it could not press its luck.
 
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What most people here forget are the statements made by Pakistan after India did surgical strikes in Myanmaar and how Pakistanis said that India will get a beffitting reply if it tried them in Pakistan. They infact said that it is impossible for India to do so in Pakistan. But we did it across LOC in 2016 and we repeated it this year. For us Pakistan and Myanmaar are same.
Sir, I'm glad that you agree. I hope the remaining members also agree soon, there was no need for a 500+ pages long discussion.

Nice to see you here friend. A knowledgeable guy like should be here and not on that troll forum.
 
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India was really not prepared for the PAF response at all, because Indian officials failed to assess it. And that's the reality. But some how IAF managed to prevent the devastation
India was not prepared because Modi as per his own words did not expect Pakistan to even acknowledge the Balakot strikes... National security should be based on preparing for the worst, but the Modi government just hoped for the best and left it at that...
 
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