India may well have 70 nos GE F-404 TFs but how many numbers of Mk-1s have we produced ? Add the trainers ( haven't kept count of it ) to it , the various TDs & prototypes including Naval prototypes & we can see how most of it would have been consumed .
A figure of 10-15% is kept in reserve for emergencies which is what we're utilising now .
Please note that GE Production Plan of ALL the TFs it manufactures doesn't exceed 100 nos per annum. As far as our production plan goes in sync with the agreement we've with GE they were contracted to deliver 12 nos GE F-404 per annum.
We could stretch that figure but it wouldn't be by much. In any case we can't do so for another couple of years as GE like most of the aerospace industry in the west is dependant on its supply chains which has still not recovered fully from the after effects of the COVID pandemic.
The 24 nos production plan by HAL was its way of demonstrating their mfg prowess & commitment to the project. Was it fake news generated by HAL ? No . Was it posturing on their part ? Yes , to an extent , given the bad blood prevailing between HAL & IAF due to historical reasons especially production planning & schedules.
HAL can now turn around & tell everyone from IAF to the MoD that they've created facilities for the mfg of upto 24 FAs within 2 years from date which can also cater to export if need be , but if the production plans of GE doesn't exceed 12 or say 16 ( which should be the maximum they can deliver us ) how's it the fault of HAL ?
These corporate games are played all the time by senior management of all major corporations which anybody with experience of it in the Corporate World will immediately recognise.
Ideally we should have gone in for local production of the F 404s too. Probably we will after inking the agreement with GE for the F 414 TFs , if we want yo stabilise the production of the 2nd tranche of 97 nos Mk-1a to avoid nasty surprises like what we're receiving now.
RoK has localised the production of the F 404s . Apart from some vital parts which is sourced directly from GE supply chain they're not dependent on GE for the TFs. Comparing our situation to theirs for the F 404 is chalk & cheese , really.
There's also the GE investor call report which @marich01 could probably help us out with. All their production plans for their various TFs are clearly given out there . Whatever I've posted above can be corroborated there . Ezsasa shared these details on D F I some time back. The forum being defunct , I couldn't trace it as a lot of data has disappeared.
The image of the US MIC has taken a beating with the QC issues at Boeing and now, this. You'd have thought Western manufacturers were superior to their Russian counterparts in terms of timely deliveries and support.
I understand there are supply chain problems all over but the timing couldn't be worse for us.