Some pretty reliable sources in twitter have gone silent. Either something is cooking - the current narrative is a diversion or, things are actually going haywire. Only time will tell. I don't see how any sensible organization/people would fall for the same Chinese trick repeatedly. If anything has been done with perfection with this Ladakh fiasco, it's media management. There has been a tight control on the information coming out in public domain. This alleged understanding, as per our news agencies and Chinese mouthpiece GT, that both countries agreed not to increase troop strength at the front, doesn't make sense from a strategic point of view - specially for India.
If we honestly have agreed to do that - as the general public is made to believe, something is seriously amiss. Trusting China to hold up its end of the bargain has proved to be costly time and again. It would take some really, and I cannot stress enough the "really", stupid people to actually take that decision and implement it.
As I see it, from GoI perspective, if we cannot go back to SQA (at the very least) it will be a major setback from the votebank perspective for the next election, and a major loss of face - internationally. If we lose land (koi nahi ghusa, has already been taken to the cleaners), even worse for GoI. All things considered, the chances things de-escalating looks pretty slim.
Or, are we going to beat up Pakistan again just as a show and diversion for the general mass from the Chinese issue. Not even sure if that will work now.
How effective is the S-400 minus it's full complement of weapons in the mountains? Don't SAMs as a rule face more limitations in mountainous regions than in the plains. Ditto for the air forces too & it's not only the Chinese SAM systems or air forces we're discussing here plus these are the Himalayas we're talking about which adds to the penalty over other mountainous regions.
There was a post from
@vstol Jockey with an example - if your radar is on the roof vs if it's on the ground ... That's very relevant in the mountains. It's the general perception now that matters, all these SAMs and stuff are quite secondary. The main question should be - shall we fight, coz if not the S400s or our arty are just as good as my cricket bat. It's a battle of strategy and will. I trust IA with the strategy but do we have the will, that is the main question!