Syrian Civil War - News & Discussions

Syrian journalists have taken a panoramic video of the Russian Khmeimim airbase in Syria using a drone. As can be seen from the video, the aircraft are in hangars, but there are no protective nets on the hangars from drones. It is worth noting that there are presumably no anti-drone units at the base, since the drone is freely filming. Currently, the airbase is home to Russian Su-34NVO, Su-24M bombers and Su-35S fighters. Also visible in the frame are two Il-76 military transport aircraft of Russia and one Il-76 of the Syrian Air Force. According to Bloomberg, Russia is close to reaching an agreement with the new Syrian leadership on maintaining two military bases in Syria. If the agreement is concluded, the Port of Tartus and the Khmeimim airbase will remain in Syria.

 
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Soldier35 said:
Syrian journalists have taken a panoramic video of the Russian Khmeimim airbase in Syria using a drone. As can be seen from the video, the aircraft are in hangars, but there are no protective nets on the hangars from drones. It is worth noting that there are presumably no anti-drone units at the base, since the drone is freely filming. Currently, the airbase is home to Russian Su-34NVO, Su-24M bombers and Su-35S fighters. Also visible in the frame are two Il-76 military transport aircraft of Russia and one Il-76 of the Syrian Air Force. According to Bloomberg, Russia is close to reaching an agreement with the new Syrian leadership on maintaining two military bases in Syria. If the agreement is concluded, the Port of Tartus and the Khmeimim airbase will remain in Syria.

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But the S-400s are gone? Weird issue, considering the jets can fly away at anytime.
 
So Netanyahu has hinted at a possibility for regime change in Iran.

The Democrats have paved the way ahead for Trump to deal with Iran. Maybe he will take charge.

This woman here is Iran's Yunus.

Maryam Rajavi - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Her 10-point plan for regime change.

Plan for future Iran in 10 points | Maryam Rajavi

Discover Maryam Rajavi's viewpoints for the future of Iran. Her thoughts, based on the Universal Declaration of Humans Rights, focus on various topics.
www.maryam-rajavi.com

But I don't think it will work out. The West has little to no leverage over them and Iran can crush any revolt quite brutally with minimal repercussions due to Russian and Chinese support. We know for a fact that regime change in Turkey failed too.

And with Hamas neutered, Hezbollah in doldrums, and Iran out of Syria, the Iranians can focus a lot more on themselves, especially with all that money they will save for now.

The next 6 months will be interesting.
 
Morality police for Syria.

 
www.firstpost.com

‘Shift to wartime mindset’: Nato chief calls for budget boost as Putin eyes ‘long-term confrontation'

European members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation are holding meetings to pitch an increase in the bloc’s target to 3 per cent at its annual summit next June
www.firstpost.com www.firstpost.com
“Russia is preparing for long-term confrontation, with Ukraine and with us,” Rutte said in a speech in Brussels on Thursday.

“We are not ready for what is coming our way in four to five years,” the Nato secretary-general said, adding: “It is time to shift to a wartime mindset, and turbocharge our defence production and defence spending."

By the end of this year, 23 of the 32 Nato members are expected to meet its target of 2 per cent.

“During the Cold War, Europeans spent far more than 3 per cent of their GDP on defence,” Rutte said. “We are going to need a lot more than 2 per cent,” Rutte added.

NATO boss wants an arms race.

They have 3.4 million troops, but with the US pivoting towards Asia, the numbers facing Russia are a bit smaller. Russia's will climb to 1.5 million over the next 2 years, but will eventually climb up to 2 million or more if given 5 years. The Russians can build very large ground forces and IADS in 5 years, but their air force at 100+ jets a year from 2026 will not be sufficiently big enough. So 5 years is not enough. Their navy has a good sub-surface component but their surface component is woefully inadequate. Addressing both will take 10 years just to somewhat balance out with NATO. So NATO has a good 10-year lead over Russia before they start to worry about 3%.

The Russians have only recently caught up technologically and will need time for it to accrue. They need more new armor, ships, subs, satellites, and aircraft, and none of that's coming in sufficient numbers in just 5 years.

While in 5 years the Russians will actually begin to look scary, but, for now, it's just fearmongering. Even a Russia + China today doesn't compete with NATO.
 
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Columns of Russian army and Rosgvardia units continue to converge on the Khmeimim airbase and the Tartus base in Syria. It is too early to talk about the future of Russian military bases in Syria; negotiations are currently underway with the new Syrian leadership. Earlier, the Syrian opposition gave their own security guarantees not only to Russian military bases, but also to all Russian diplomatic institutions in Syria. The second part of the video shows the operation of an airfield near the city of Qamishli, in northeastern Syria, where units of the 154th regiment of the Russian group of troops are stationed. The base is still operating, but judging by the flags, the military equipment is being prepared for movement. There are currently two key Russian bases in Syria — in Tartus and Khmeimim. Tartus is the only Russian naval base in the Mediterranean.

 

Stopping regime change operations in Georgia.

In the Indian subcontinent, there were 2 regime changes in Pakistan, 1 in Nepal, 1 in Sri Lanka and 1 in Bangladesh. All were successful.

Four attempts were made in India since 2019 and were stopped. The latest started early this year but has not yet gained sufficient traction, but they are working towards it.

The first one, in 2019-20, Islamists tried to use violence and were brutally crushed. They were protesting the CAA, which has nothing to do with them. The Islamists did not receive sufficient support from the rest of the country, so it was easy enough to quell.
en.wikipedia.org

2020 Delhi riots - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

The second one started off as farm protests against new progresive farm laws, but was hijacked by Khalistanis. The pandemic allowed the govt to forcefully get it called off.
en.wikipedia.org

2020–2021 Indian farmers' protest - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

The Khalistani protests were much more successful, which is why the West have started breeding them in numbers in the US, UK and Canada.

The third one started in a small state called Manipur in 2023. A tribal war between Hindu and Christian tribes, it was instigated from outside the country. It's being pushed as a religious conflict, but is in reality an ethnic one concerning reservations.

2023–2025 Manipur violence - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

The fourth one happened this year, and is ongoing.

2024 Indian farmers' protest - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Attempts were made to breach Delhi last week but were thwarted by barricades and tear gas at the state border which forced them to retreat. They are now trying again. It should begin today morning on the 16th.

The protesters have unrealistic demands, so it is bound to devolve into violence by next year.

The MO is to start peaceful protests, then slowly transition it towards separatist and terrorist elements who will then slowly begin to use violence. When the state fights back, it's branded as an anti-democratic action and displayed as such to the world, particularly with the hope that the silent majority in India starts backing the protests, like they did in Nepal, Sri Lanka and BD.

Example: Lol.
www.hrw.org

India: Protect Farmers’ Right to Peaceful Protest

Indian authorities are using threats, excessive force, and internet shutdowns to stop farmers from holding peaceful protests.
www.hrw.org www.hrw.org
(New York) – Indian authorities are using threats, excessive force, and internet shutdowns to stop farmers from holding peaceful protests, Human Rights Watch said today.

While there's not much India can do about the people in the West being fooled, but fooling the silent majority in India has failed 'cause people here have no patience towards Khalistanis and Islamists. These regime change actions in fact have helped consolidate more power towards the BJP.

Furthermore, stuff I had brought up a few months ago concerning Soros and the Globalists has now become the biggest agenda of the ongoing parliamentary discourse, it's being talked about in India's highest seat of power. So now the Globalist agenda is being delivered directly to the Indian public and has resonated with them. It's become mainstream news.

India lacks the power to stop the Globalists, we are always on the defensive, so this is where Trump comes into the picture. Hopefully he has the ability to end them. But the fact remains that there's a new regime change operation brewing in India, and if things work out for the protesters, it should come to a head in a month or two, before the harvest season in March/April.

Here's a decent article about India's concern about Soros.
sundayguardianlive.com

Soros is an economic terrorist, a threat to India’s sovereignty - The Sunday Guardian Live

At the heart of Soros’ hostility toward India lies an ideological conflict. Soros represents a vision of globalism that prioritizes liberal hegemony and
sundayguardianlive.com
 
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Rare footage of the Russian Il-76MD military transport aircraft taking off from the Khmeimim airbase in Syria, under the cover of a Russian Ka-52 helicopter. The Ka-52 helicopter is equipped with the Vitebsk onboard electronic warfare system, which, in the event of a threat, will protect the Il-76 from MANPADS. More details about the Vitebsk defense system are in the link to the video in the comments to the video. It is not yet known whether Russian troops will remain in Syria, but transport aircraft have already removed some of the S-400 air defense systems from Syria. Officially, the Russian leadership reports that negotiations are underway with the new Syrian authorities.

 
The Israeli Air Force struck an ammunition depot and a base of the 23rd brigade of the former Syrian army in the province of Tartus. Presumably, F-16I aircraft were used in the attack, the type of bombs or missiles used is not reported. As a result of the strike, the military depots were completely destroyed, the colossal explosion was visible for many kilometers. An earthquake with a magnitude of about 3 points was recorded during the explosion of ammunition. It is worth noting that the air defense in Syria is currently practically absent from the armed forces of the new Syrian government. Israel is systematically destroying military equipment of the former Syrian army to eliminate future threats.

 
As predicted, both right after sanctions and more recently, Russia's preparing for war in the next decade, not the next 5 years.


HTS handing Tartus to Russia would make half the civil war in Syria meaningless. If an alliance with Iran becomes possible, Lebanon could end up being used as a staging ground for a new two-front invasion half a decade later, the other one from Iraq.
 
Erdogan plans to invade Kurdistan.

Wonder if he's got designs on Armenia too.

In other news, NoKo's busy in Russia.

Or it could belong to Russia.
 
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So RST shared with his friends how the Al Assad regime would fold up but neglected to share that information here. I don't care about you lot but I find this extremely believable . Also that prediction about Trump's victory which half of the almost 20 members who regularly post here got right. @ # 339

Another item worth noting among the many predictions RST made but declined to mention here is the fact that he's got more predictions than Baba Vanga right.

I've always held why us plebians are so deeply blessed & fortunate to have RST in our midst while he could easily be on the board of the ORF or RAND Corporation ( no puns here ) , Atlantic Council , Stimpson Centre , or any of the top TTs in the US or Europe you can name ,but no , he deigns to subject us to his predictions & analyses , exclusively .

I've tears in my eyes. No , not out of guffawing relentlessly but , tears of gratitude.

Meanwhile this happened -

Bashar Al-Assad's Wife Files For Divorce, Wants To Return To UK: Report

Bet RST predicted this too , much before Assad married this woman , but neglected to mention this here. All very believable.
 
Rare footage of US Air Force A-10 Thunderbolt II attack aircraft in action in Syria. The A-10 Thunderbolt II was developed in 1972 and is considered one of the best in the world, just like the Russian Su-25 attack aircraft. The video was filmed from afar, with the A-10 Thunderbolt attacking positions of the former Syrian Army. A-10 Thunderbolt Supports Kurdish Offensive

 
The United States has begun construction of a new military base in the city of Kobani, located in northern Syria, near the Turkish border controlled by the Kurdish "Syrian Democratic Forces". There is nothing special about the construction of a military base, except that its construction could lead to a confrontation with Turkey. As is known, the United States supports Kurdish units. Turkey supports the "Syrian National Army". A convoy of 50 trucks has already arrived in the region, transporting cement blocks, surveillance cameras, fuel tanks and equipment for creating trenches. It is also expected that additional forces will be sent: military personnel, armored vehicles, weapons, radars and air defense systems. Work on the construction of a US military base in Syria has already begun; the facility will become a base for the International Coalition troops.

 
Footage of abandoned MiG-23 fighters of the Syrian Air Force has been published. After the change of power in Syria, Syrian MiG-23 fighters and Soviet-made Su-24 bombers were abandoned. Judging by the video, there is no security at the airbase, and bombs and other aircraft weapons were also abandoned. MiG-23 fighters were produced in the USSR from 1969 to 1985, Su-24 bombers from 1967 to 1993. The Russian Air Force currently uses modifications of the Su-24M2 and Su-24MR bombers.

 
Video of another abandoned military base in Syria. The video shows Syrian military equipment, Soviet and Russian production. Abandoned tanks T-90A, T-72, T-55. Also visible in the frame is the ZSU-23-4 Shilka air defense system, infantry fighting vehicles and other military equipment of the Syrian army.

 
The Russian version of the "Mangal" protection has also appeared on the T-72 tanks of the new Syrian army. It is worth noting that it is quite difficult to understand where the new and old armies are in Syria now. This version of protection against drones has a simplified version and protects the tank only from ammunition dropped by drones from above. The tank is additionally equipped with first-generation dynamic protection "Contact-1".

 
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