Putins grösstes Problem sind die Lastwagen
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
Putin's biggest problem is the trucks
Putin wanted to take Ukraine within a short time. The lightning victory plan did not work. Instead, the Russian army has big problems - despite its actual superiority. The fault is not the soldiers or the weapons, but the trucks.
On paper, the Russian army is clearly superior. 900,000 Russians against 209,000 Ukrainian soldiers. Plus over 3000 tanks, 1300 combat aircraft and almost 6000 artillery pieces. This was one of the reasons why Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin (69) had expected a lightning victory. But the plan did not work. The war has been going on for more than six weeks.
The Russians are hardly making any progress. Especially the big cities like Kiev are fiercely contested. Putin's troops have a big problem: logistics.
The army is obviously not in a position to use its superior strength. After all, transport is particularly important in a war. Trucks bring almost everything to the front. Soldiers, weapons, equipment.
"Military trucks have to be moved once a month".
Everything has to be brought to the war zone. And that's exactly what apparently doesn't work for Putin's army. Because the trucks are poorly maintained or were not even inspected in the first place, as Trent Telenko, a former quality inspector of military vehicles at the US Department of Defense, explains to CNN.
The desolate condition of the trucks is particularly obvious when you look at their tyres. If vehicles are only driven a little, their condition deteriorates progressively over time. "Military trucks have to be moved once a month," Telenko says. This is to make sure everything is working properly.
If you leave the trucks for months, the tyres in particular suffer. And in Ukraine, there are also muddy roads. As an example, Telenko cites some pictures of a Panzir S1 truck that got stuck in the mud. No billion-dollar budget invested by the Russians will help.
Focus on modern weapons
With the breakdown of many military trucks, the Russian army is increasingly using civilian trucks. "Civilian trucks do not meet the requirements of the military. They are not suitable for the loads or the special equipment," Phillips O'Brien, professor of strategic studies at the University of St Andrews in Scotland, told CNN.
Even the military trucks would have their troubles. Even without problems with tyres or mud. "A single mile in peacetime is about 10 to 20 miles (16 to 32 km) in wartime because of the heavy use of the truck with large payloads," O'Brien said. According to the military historian, the fact that the Russian army's trucks are in such poor condition is probably due to Putin's focus on modern weapons - also to demonstrate strength with them. This would now take its revenge.
Soldiers are not properly trained
Another problem is compulsory military service in Russia. Soldiers usually serve for one year. Too little time to learn how to maintain military vehicles properly, Telenko explains. In addition, most conscripts may not be fully committed, because they know that their service ends after one year. Motivation is therefore certainly also a problem.
And according to the US Department of Defence, the Russian army consists of just under 50 per cent conscripts. "We have evidence, even current evidence, that they are disillusioned with this war, were not properly briefed, were not properly trained, were not ready, not just physically but mentally, for what they had to do," a senior US official is quoted as saying by CNN.
Telenko also suspects corruption. Instead of spending the money on new tyres and spare parts, the officers are likely to have stuffed their pockets. To get a grip on the logistical problem, the Russians would now have to set up supply depots.
But the resistance of the Ukrainians is great. Many regions are fought over. Not a good basis for setting up large camps. The expert assesses the current situation as bad for Putin's troops. Telenko to CNN. "I don't see how the Russians can hold their current positions, let alone go on the offensive with their current fleet of trucks." (jmh)