Ukraine - Russia Conflict

Here's why the ruble-dollar exchange rate is fake.


If you double the amount people get in yield for buying ruble bonds, of course it will strengthen it. US interest rate is about 0.5% by comparison. And even still inflation hits 23% in Russia, so it's not really working.


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Here's why the ruble-dollar exchange rate is fake.


If you double the amount people get in yield for buying ruble bonds, of course it will strengthen it. US interest rate is about 0.5% by comparison. And even still inflation hits 23% in Russia, so it's not really working.


View attachment 23681
  • In the aftermath of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the ensuing unprecedented Western sanctions, the central bank is juggling a sharply shrinking economy and skyrocketing inflation

  • Russian inflation reached 16.7% in March and the bank said on Friday that it expects annual inflation of between 18% and 23% this year.
 
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Here's why the ruble-dollar exchange rate is fake.


If you double the amount people get in yield for buying ruble bonds, of course it will strengthen it. US interest rate is about 0.5% by comparison. And even still inflation hits 23% in Russia, so it's not really working.


View attachment 23681

Dude, you don't understand economics. Give it up.
 
Dude, you don't understand economics. Give it up.
No, it is you that doesn't. You raise interest rates, you slow inflation and keep the currency stronger, but it kills the economy. Reduce interest rates and the economy picks up but you get inflation and a weaker currency. Russia has high interest rates and still sky-rocketing inflation. The sky-rocketing inflation also suggests that the XR is BS. He's turning Russia into Zimbabwe.
They are just demonstrating that status quo will be over.
Well they ended it by invading. They also drove the protests that led to this in 2013 by pushing Yanoyafuk to join the Eurasian Economic Union, sparking mass protests.


No signs of corruption/puppeteering there. :ROFLMAO: He chose this:


over this:

 
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No, it is you that doesn't. You raise interest rates, you slow inflation and keep the currency stronger, but it kills the economy. Reduce interest rates and the economy picks up but you get inflation and a weaker currency. Russia has high interest rates and still sky-rocketing inflation. The sky-rocketing inflation also suggests that the XR is BS. He's turning Russia into Zimbabwe.

Well, you at least got some basic stuff right. But when economies go down, the trends happen over a longer term. The situation is nowhere near Zimbabwe though, especially when they are self-sufficient. There are way, way worse economies right now than Russia, like Pakistan, Sri Lanka. What's happening in Russia is just correction to a new reality, the sanctions. So their economy will fall, stabilise and then grow again.
 
Well, you at least got some basic stuff right. But when economies go down, the trends happen over a longer term. The situation is nowhere near Zimbabwe though, especially when they are self-sufficient. There are way, way worse economies right now than Russia, like Pakistan, Sri Lanka. What's happening in Russia is just correction to a new reality, the sanctions. So their economy will fall, stabilise and then grow again.
23% inflation is normal?
 
It's very less considering the shock the economy's faced, with imports going down to almost zero and even local bank transactions almost shutting down.

Import shock hasn't actually hit yet since they've been running on stockpile. When that runs out expect another economic shock. Around June time.
 
  • Agree
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