Ukraine - Russia Conflict

Russia only have 2 options to win this war and both are bad

1) Full mobilisation and total war
2) Use tactical nuclear weapons or chemical weapons against western Ukraine and crush Ukranian morale using WMD.

There are no third option to victory. Longer the war drags on, weaker the Russian position becomes.

A third option is to go on defensive mode, rearm and return with more troops and tech. The Russians are fighting incredible numbers with far few troops.
 
And like I said the Baltics haven't been hosting such weapons, so why would NATO start with Ukraine?

NATO has never invaded another European country since its creation. I can't for the life of me think why it would start with an extremely large one with 2,000 nuclear warheads, or how it would get the idea past 30+ individual democratic parliaments either.

It's Russian imperialism, plain and simple, there are no valid excuses.

NATO cannot defend the Baltics. Otoh, NATO can defend the Dneiper River.

NATO has no need to invade a European country, they can simply buy European countries. Only Russia is the enemy.
Russia is putting all its manufacturing resources into building T-90Ms. Is this:

a) Because they've hardly lost any tanks in Ukraine;

b) Because they still have plenty of operational tanks despite losses in Ukraine;

c) Because T-14s are a brilliant finished article; or

d) None of the above?

e) It's the only operational tank in production. 🥱
 
A third option is to go on defensive mode, rearm and return with more troops and tech. The Russians are fighting incredible numbers with far few troops.
How exactly? Russia has the biggest army in Europe. They keep calling in more armour and manpower and it just gets destroyed.

It will take them a long time to re-arm with new tech. and Ukraine is cutting off their supply lines as we speak.
NATO cannot defend the Baltics. Otoh, NATO can defend the Dneiper River.

NATO has no need to invade a European country, they can simply buy European countries. Only Russia is the enemy.


e) It's the only operational tank in production. 🥱
NATO can defend anywhere it chooses. And you were talking about NATO attacking Russia not the other way.

US has not bought European countries, clear differences between the US and EU were emerging before Russia made itself a unifying factor.

Yeah, so T-14 isn't nearly ready, and they are losing lots of tanks and don't have spare operational replacements.
 
I thought the Russian Army was missing the Red Army when I saw those Soviet flags.
Boy was I wrong

Its the Soviet Army masquerading as the Russian Army

Soviet era Equipment
Soviet era Tactics
Even Soviet era problems !!!!


My guess about the full war has come wrong. But call me nuts I still think Russia will declare war and bring to bear its full weight it cannot win anyway else.

Not when NATO works to negate all its advantages vis-a-vis Ukraine.
 
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The weapons aren't the problem, the ISR is. And Russia is unable to attack the ISR assets since they belong to NATO. In a normal war, those ISR assets would be threatened, even the ones in space. So Ukraine can attack Russian ISR, but the Russians cannot attack NATO ISR.
But... but Pooty-Poo said any interference would be met with severe consequences. It's not that Russia is unable because they belong to NATO they can't attack them because they don't have the capability. They are not confident that if they tried would succeed. They can't even take out flood of NATO weapons in western Ukraine. If we're to believe Russia's air force propaganda/capabilities Mig-31's flying at extreme altitude could fly over Ukraine making a beeline to western Ukraine painting NATO aircraft scaring them into retreating further. Or Mig-31's taking off Crimea could take shots at ISR aircraft flying over the Black sea like the one that helped get the Moskva sunk. I'd actually would do that believing US/NATO would very likely not retaliate when it comes to hitting Russian targets in Crimea for fear of escalation. I think the Russians know they can't get close to those ISR aircraft flying over the Black sea because they are likely protected by fighters that can't be seen by mighty Mig-31 PESA radar.
 
How exactly? Russia has the biggest army in Europe. They keep calling in more armour and manpower and it just gets destroyed.

It will take them a long time to re-arm with new tech. and Ukraine is cutting off their supply lines as we speak.

Picdel and I have already discussed this, you missed it.

Russia needs to mobilise and increase their mass. They are currently fighting with far too few infantry against an enemy many times their mass. No air force either.

But, at least for now, the Russians believe that they can still finish it on their terms with their current numbers and tactics.
 
NATO can defend anywhere it chooses. And you were talking about NATO attacking Russia not the other way.

US has not bought European countries, clear differences between the US and EU were emerging before Russia made itself a unifying factor.

Yeah, so T-14 isn't nearly ready, and they are losing lots of tanks and don't have spare operational replacements.

Basically talking about a war between the two. NATO will find it very difficult to attack Russia from the Nordic regions, but not so from Ukraine.

Lol.

No, all I'm saying is only the T-90 is in production in Russia, so they will produce only that.
 
I thought the Russian Army was missing the Red Army when I saw those Soviet flags.
Boy was I wrong

Its the Soviet Army masquerading as the Russian Army

Soviet era Equipment
Soviet era Tactics
Even Soviet era problems !!!!


My guess about the full war has come wrong. But call me nuts I still think Russia will declare war and bring to bear its full weight it cannot win anyway else.

Not when NATO works to negate all its advantages vis-a-vis Ukraine.

It's Soviet era equipment, but not tactics. The tactics are much more modern, but they are missing some of the combined armed features. Like a lot of units are dying to artillery cued using drones. But the drones would have had a hard time surviving if Pantsirs were part of the units.

They are also using combined armed tactics without an effective comm system.
 
But... but Pooty-Poo said any interference would be met with severe consequences. It's not that Russia is unable because they belong to NATO they can't attack them because they don't have the capability. They are not confident that if they tried would succeed. They can't even take out flood of NATO weapons in western Ukraine. If we're to believe Russia's air force propaganda/capabilities Mig-31's flying at extreme altitude could fly over Ukraine making a beeline to western Ukraine painting NATO aircraft scaring them into retreating further. Or Mig-31's taking off Crimea could take shots at ISR aircraft flying over the Black sea like the one that helped get the Moskva sunk. I'd actually would do that believing US/NATO would very likely not retaliate when it comes to hitting Russian targets in Crimea for fear of escalation. I think the Russians know they can't get close to those ISR aircraft flying over the Black sea because they are likely protected by fighters that can't be seen by mighty Mig-31 PESA radar.

The Russians have the capability, but doing it will trigger war. The problem is ISR operates in a grey area. As long as NATO says they are not providing any targeting info, even if they are, there's nothing Russia can do about it. Of course, they can always trigger a wider war with NATO.

You can't scare away ISR aircraft when there's no war, you can only bring them down.

In any case, this was an opportune time to bring down Russia before it actually becomes strong. A 10 year later Russia would have meant weaker ISR support to Ukraine.

The US's ISR capabilities in the Pacific is why I support the SH for the Indian Navy. It's way too much of a game changer. I mean, we are talking about an ISR capability that the enemy cannot destroy without going to war. Ukraine has the same advantage over Russia. It's game changing.
 
Picdel and I have already discussed this, you missed it.

Russia needs to mobilise and increase their mass. They are currently fighting with far too few infantry against an enemy many times their mass. No air force either.

But, at least for now, the Russians believe that they can still finish it on their terms with their current numbers and tactics.
To do that under Russian law, he would finally have to declare it a war. And you can increase mass, maybe, but then you have two problem:

a) Reaction of the populace who are already torching parts of his country in protest; and

b) Logistics - if your logistics are sh!t, increasing mass only increases the problem.

The more you put in, the more you stand to lose also. You see, for now, Ukraine does not have the best NATO weapons, or longer range weapons, if he goes all in, NATO could decide to supply those two. At the moment he has one foot in a bear trap, go all in, and he has two feet in it.
 
Basically talking about a war between the two. NATO will find it very difficult to attack Russia from the Nordic regions, but not so from Ukraine.

Lol.

No, all I'm saying is only the T-90 is in production in Russia, so they will produce only that.
NATO is not going to attack Russia. I can't believe anyone thinks that. In 70+ years of existence, NATO has never invaded a country in Europe, whereas Russia has invaded many. The threat is all one way as regards invasions in Europe. The attack would be difficult from anywhere because 2,000 nukes and very large country. This is all about Russian imperialism, there is no threat in Europe from NATO, unless you attack a NATO country, then you're f*cked.

So, have they no production lines set up for T-14s? Why do they need new tanks, I thought they still have loads?
The first footage of British-supplied Brimstone missiles was used against Russian troops in the east.
The two tanks were hit in a very fast sequence

Another flying turret sighted.


Be interesting to see if any helicopters also fall victim.
 
Looks like it's guided weapon day today.

(Possibly a new distance record for the turret-throwing event.)
Fighters of the 25th Brigade destroyed the BMP-1 and roasted the occupiers


 
To do that under Russian law, he would finally have to declare it a war. And you can increase mass, maybe, but then you have two problem:

a) Reaction of the populace who are already torching parts of his country in protest; and

b) Logistics - if your logistics are sh!t, increasing mass only increases the problem.

The more you put in, the more you stand to lose also. You see, for now, Ukraine does not have the best NATO weapons, or longer range weapons, if he goes all in, NATO could decide to supply those two. At the moment he has one foot in a bear trap, go all in, and he has two feet in it.

That's what I mean, they will need to mobilise. With enough strength and the air force in tow, defeating the Ukrainians will not be as difficult.
NATO is not going to attack Russia. I can't believe anyone thinks that. In 70+ years of existence, NATO has never invaded a country in Europe, whereas Russia has invaded many. The threat is all one way as regards invasions in Europe. The attack would be difficult from anywhere because 2,000 nukes and very large country. This is all about Russian imperialism, there is no threat in Europe from NATO, unless you attack a NATO country, then you're f*cked.

So, have they no production lines set up for T-14s? Why do they need new tanks, I thought they still have loads?

It's like claiming England has not attacked Scotland in years. NATO hasn't attacked any European country because they have effectively conquered Europe. NATO is now busy attacking countries outside Europe. While Russia is busy attacking European countries that NATO hasn't conquered yet.

What on earth are you talking about? Stop saying dumb shit. Once Armata's trials are done, its serial production will begin.
 
That's what I mean, they will need to mobilise. With enough strength and the air force in tow, defeating the Ukrainians will not be as difficult.


It's like claiming England has not attacked Scotland in years. NATO hasn't attacked any European country because they have effectively conquered Europe. NATO is now busy attacking countries outside Europe. While Russia is busy attacking European countries that NATO hasn't conquered yet.

What on earth are you talking about? Stop saying dumb shit. Once Armata's trials are done, its serial production will begin.
Such a move risks causing riots in Russia. You can't force people to fight, they will just surrender. Airpower only works if you can do SEAD/DEAD, if you can, then it would already have worked with the 330 aircraft they originally allocated to the war. Ergo they can't do SEAD/DEAD and will just lose more aircraft and more money.

What I have seen of the Russian air force so far is by far the most pathetic out of all their forces (except maybe the navy, that's a tight one). No ability to conduct SEAD/DEAD, pathetic low altitude runs, ineffective EW/countermeasures, optics that are either ineffective or aren't being used properly (training/tech?), e.g. helicopters spamming unguided rockets in the air from low altitude, little use of heli-launched ATGMs from tree cover.

When will that be? Russia seems to parade a lot of stuff that isn't operational. And what happened to the magnificent Su-57? Hiding in a hangar.
 
This reminds me of the bathroom on COD:MW2 'Loose Ends'.

There appears to be a blow-up doll in the chicken coup. But more worryingly, all the chickens are gone.

 
Such a move risks causing riots in Russia. You can't force people to fight, they will just surrender. Airpower only works if you can do SEAD/DEAD, if you can, then it would already have worked with the 330 aircraft they originally allocated to the war. Ergo they can't do SEAD/DEAD and will just lose more aircraft and more money.

What I have seen of the Russian air force so far is by far the most pathetic out of all their forces (except maybe the navy, that's a tight one). No ability to conduct SEAD/DEAD, pathetic low altitude runs, ineffective EW/countermeasures, optics that are either ineffective or aren't being used properly (training/tech?), e.g. helicopters spamming unguided rockets in the air from low altitude, little use of heli-launched ATGMs from tree cover.

When will that be? Russia seems to parade a lot of stuff that isn't operational. And what happened to the magnificent Su-57? Hiding in a hangar.

Just like how you're a Western sheep, there will be plenty of Russian sheep to bleed for their motherland.

Okay. :rolleyes:

The Russians, or anybody for that matter, are not dumb enough to compete with the Americans in mass producing prototypes.
 
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