Ukraine - Russia Conflict

less sales means less profit, resale value of vehicle will be hit. companies will more or less spin off car divisions and those divisions will be having terrible customer service as it is EOL product.

It might happen slowly in India and other developing countries but oil sooner or later will no longer be the commodity to threaten with. Irony is that gulf cntries used to sell oil at a discount to west and premium to asian customers. Now they will have hard time , it will be lucky if they are in the vehicle let alone the driving seat.

Energy independence and AI/robotics will make war much more likely though.
 
Belarus literally means white russians. I hope you dont lose your mind when it happens.

The name will seem foolish to future generations when they decide to take up a more scientific thought process and discard the notion of race, like biologists have already done.
 
Energy independence and AI/robotics will make war much more likely though.
Oil will become less dominant than today, but economic growth and rising population will see that the remaining uses of oil still make it an important commodity, just not as important. We won't see prices like today in real terms, but it will still be valuable.



 
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A grandiose explosion of a Russian ammunition depot in Popasnaya after a precise defeat of the Armed Forces
This is not just a huge explosion. The amount of explosives in TNT equivalent ensured the formation of a classic mushroom, as after a nuclear explosion. Specialists could calculate from the shape, speed of formation and height of the mushroom, how much good will was in this gesture.

 
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It's a good strategy to hit their ammo storage now that Russia is starting to get thin on ammo. it's slow but I think this strategy of hitting their supplies and high ranking personnel is going severely hurt.
 
Oil will become less dominant than today, but economic growth and rising population will see that the remaining uses of oil still make it an important commodity, just not as important. We won't see prices like today in real terms, but it will still be valuable.


Poor countries will end up making new investments in oil alternatives. It's also why India is expected to easily achieved Paris Agreement goals.

Plus the Western financial system has lost its trust within the TW after the sanctions on Russia. So poor countries are focusing more on renewables than before the war to reduce oil consumption.

While oil consumption will increase, and driving growth will come from developing countries, it won't make as much money as it is doing now because richer countries led by Europe will diversify quickly first. Even earlier projections reduced from 2040 peak at 114 mbpd to now almost 2030 peak, way less than 114mbpd, and this was before the war. It's basically around 100 mbpd today. The peak is expected now in less than 5 years.

 

The State Duma, the Russian parliament, introduced an amendment to the federal laws on the support of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, which provides for the introduction of "special measures in the economic sphere" obliging Russian enterprises (regardless of ownership) to support Russian so-called "special military and counterterrorist operations".

The amendment would ban Russian businesses from refusing to accept government orders to support "special military operations" and would allow the Kremlin to change employee contracts and working conditions, such as forcing workers to work at night or on public holidays.
 
Poor countries will end up making new investments in oil alternatives. It's also why India is expected to easily achieved Paris Agreement goals.

Plus the Western financial system has lost its trust within the TW after the sanctions on Russia. So poor countries are focusing more on renewables than before the war to reduce oil consumption.

While oil consumption will increase, and driving growth will come from developing countries, it won't make as much money as it is doing now because richer countries led by Europe will diversify quickly first. Even earlier projections reduced from 2040 peak at 114 mbpd to now almost 2030 peak, way less than 114mbpd, and this was before the war. It's basically around 100 mbpd today. The peak is expected now in less than 5 years.

They will but the growth of the economy will still increase oil use in other areas, even if it doesn't affect transport. That said, how many EVs are whipping about in India and Vietnam say. And even if they were, you still need oil. Then you have rising commercial and industrial uses, some of which don't involve emissions. Lubricants, solvents, petrochemical feedstocks, LPG. Vulcanisation in rubber production, petroleum coke, waxes, tar, binders in asphalt. Oil companies will likely diversify into other uses as transportation uses diminish too. There are carbon capture schemes and also a market for hydrogen which can be extracted from crude oil. If the hydrogen economy kicks off that could be big. I expect an electric vs hydrogen car war in the coming years, with some crossover in power generation.

Only in India. If you invade a European democracy you get sanctioned. There is literally nobody who didn't already know that.

No, I agree, it won't be as valuable, but it will still be very valuable. Oil is definitely not going the way of VHS Cassettes and Blockbusters.