Poor countries will end up making new investments in oil alternatives. It's also why India is expected to easily achieved Paris Agreement goals.
Plus the Western financial system has lost its trust within the TW after the sanctions on Russia. So poor countries are focusing more on renewables than before the war to reduce oil consumption.
While oil consumption will increase, and driving growth will come from developing countries, it won't make as much money as it is doing now because richer countries led by Europe will diversify quickly first. Even earlier projections reduced from 2040 peak at 114 mbpd to now almost 2030 peak, way less than 114mbpd, and this was before the war. It's basically around 100 mbpd today. The peak is expected now in less than 5 years.
The primary driver for the reduction in growth is likely to be a slowdown in the demand growth for road transport, the report added.
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