Ukraine - Russia Conflict

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Russian tank factories are busy.
 
Well Ukraine just freed up 60-65k troops and that isn't counting the 50k+ troops being trained all over Europe. I think we can see where the next offensive will be at.

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Ukraine forces in the coming days or weeks will cross the Derp River at Kherson creating a buffer zone then late next month Ukraine will invade from Zapo and will succeed. They will cut off Crimea of supplies from land which will make Crimea dependent on the blown up Crimean bridge and Russian ferry boats for survival all while being in range of HiMARS... Btw Ukraine will also cut off water only this time it will have a more devastating effect since Russian supplies coming in will be few. Ukraine is not going to invade Crimea with troops anytime soon they are going to starve it while at the same time getting arty and HiMAR's. Russian bases and airfields in Crimea are going to be put out of commission.

As for Donbas Ukraine will continue to slowly take land unless Russian forces there declare Crimea in danger and pull out but I think Ukraine doesn't really care about Donbas at least pre war borders the prize is Crimea, Russia's pride and ego, they can take Donbas at a much later time if Russian forces are still there defending it.
 
The Russians mobilised 82000 troops into Ukraine after the first week of mobilisation. So that's likely more than a 1:1 replacement.

Gen Milley claimed 100,000 recently, which means it's most definitely less than that. So 82000 is a good measure, meaning it's not more than that in reality at least.

I wonder if he's counting the 'volunteer militias' from LPR & DPR, lots of whom have also died. Because technically, as far as the US is concerned they are supposed to be Ukrainian citizens.

Still a huge number though, and way worse than the Afghan war.

This was expected , it is what you called a proper war in a very very long time.

You can't be serious.

The USSR collapsed shortly after a disastrous offensive war which had less than 1/4th the number of deaths the Russians are experiencing now. And keep in mind this is an offensive war as far as the Russians are concerned...they picked the time & place to fight.

But looking at the casualties, it's though Hitler has laid siege to Stalingrad.

I'll agree with one thing though - this was expected. Not along the lines the Russians thought, but just using common sense. If you decide to invade a country you know is backed by the US and which has been preparing for war with you for the last 8 years, and you decide to send in the troops with little to no air cover, a mass casualty event on top of mass casualty event is definitely to be 'expected'.

This is a disaster of epic proportions no matter which way you cut in. And the other takeaway is that the RuAF has no real capability to operate beyond line of sight of Ground Controller stations.
 
(...)
Like one of the articles you posted said Russia depends on Ukrainian engines for helicopters, but the Russians replaced it with their own years ago.
(...)
So that dependency is gone. It was part of their self-sufficiency program. So another lie.
(...)
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The Ka-62 helicopter will be ready for operation in 2025
Before that, Russian helicopters must replace the Western components of this model
ATO.ru - Russian Helicopters Holding will have to recertify the new medium Ka-62 helicopter, replacing foreign components on it. As Igor Panshin, the holding's director of civil helicopter sales, said at the 13th Helicopter Forum on 9 November, certification of the updated model is scheduled for 2025.

Rosaviatsia issued a type certificate for the Ka-62 in November 2021, but this document contains serious restrictions on the operation of the helicopter. It cannot yet carry passengers, climb to a height of more than 1500 m above sea level or 500 m above the underlying surface. In addition, this model prohibits flights over water, in icing and thunderstorm conditions, and temperature restrictions are set at -25 to +25oC.

Previously, the manufacturer planned to carry out additional tests in 2022-2024 to extend the operating conditions. However, Rosaviatsia head Alexander Neradko admitted at the forum that "further work on the project has so far been suspended due to certain circumstances".

Apparently, the official meant the Western sanctions imposed in March this year on the supply of aviation equipment and components to Russia. According to Panshin, the Ka-62 depends more than other models on Western components (according to some data, their share reaches 60%). The helicopter uses French Safran Ardiden 3G turbochargers, an aviation-resistant fuel system from Safran Aerosystems and gearboxes developed by Austrian company Zoerkler.

The French engines are expected to be replaced by the Russian VK-1660V developed by UEC-Klimov. This year, the developers carried out the first bench tests of the Russian engine; its certification is planned for 2024. Russian Helicopters has not yet announced how the remaining foreign components will be replaced by the Ka-62.

The Ka-62 was the first 'Kamovo' helicopter designed not according to the pine tree, but according to the classical scheme - with main and rear screws. It has a take-off weight of 6800 kg and can carry up to 15 passengers or 2000 kg of cargo in the cabin. The development of the helicopter began in 1990; the prototype of the modern version of the Ka-62 took off for the first time in 2016. According to the comprehensive programme for the development of the Russian air transport industry approved by the government in June this year, it is planned to produce 90 such helicopters from 2025 to 2030.

Earlier, the head of the Arsenicyev Aviation Company Progress, where it will be assembled, said earlier that serial production of the imported-replaced Ka-62 would not begin until 2025.

Panshin also mentioned that the company is working to replace foreign engines and auxiliary power plants on its other models. The Ansat and Ka-226 light helicopters use Canadian PW207K and French Arrius 2G1 engines respectively. In addition, many Mi and Ka helicopter models are now equipped with imported APUs - Ukrainian AI-9 or Czech Safir.
- ATO.ru /deepl
 
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Stalin never sided with the Nazis. He tried to, but as a feint.

Europe is still collectively stronger than Russia conventionally.
He signed a pact with them and invaded Poland together with them. He couldn't believe it when Hitler turned on him.

But Europe has much less of a record for invading other European countries.
They want to become bigger thugs than us......
we will never let that happen. 🤣
The Russians were the biggest thugs of all, they spent 70 years proving that, well after WWII. India engaged in its own thuggery too.
 
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It was an alliance of convenience. Before WW2 began, France's number 1 threat was the SU and vice versa. So SU wanted to use Germany against France. Unbeknownst to all, the Nazis had their own plans. Neither side thought Germany was a threat 'cause they were all drunk on Kool-Aid. The Germans had built their war machine in secret.

The Germans of that time are like the Russians of today. Replace France with NATO and the SU with China and we see history repeating itself.
It was an alliance of evil and then a competition between two evils. The winner became the bad guys for the rest of the century.
 
"In addition, 32 projectiles launched by U.S.-manufactured HIMARS MLRS have been shot down near Novaya Kakhovka, Korsunka and Antonovka (Kherson region), as well as five U.S.-manufactured HARM anti-radiation radars near Irmino (Lugansk People's Republic), Yenakiyevo (Donetsk People's Republic), Korsunka and Novaya Kakhovka (Kherson region)".

Russian IADS are Good.
 
Well Ukraine just freed up 60-65k troops and that isn't counting the 50k+ troops being trained all over Europe. I think we can see where the next offensive will be at.

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Ukraine forces in the coming days or weeks will cross the Derp River at Kherson creating a buffer zone then late next month Ukraine will invade from Zapo and will succeed. They will cut off Crimea of supplies from land which will make Crimea dependent on the blown up Crimean bridge and Russian ferry boats for survival all while being in range of HiMARS... Btw Ukraine will also cut off water only this time it will have a more devastating effect since Russian supplies coming in will be few. Ukraine is not going to invade Crimea with troops anytime soon they are going to starve it while at the same time getting arty and HiMAR's. Russian bases and airfields in Crimea are going to be put out of commission.

As for Donbas Ukraine will continue to slowly take land unless Russian forces there declare Crimea in danger and pull out but I think Ukraine doesn't really care about Donbas at least pre war borders the prize is Crimea, Russia's pride and ego, they can take Donbas at a much later time if Russian forces are still there defending it.
We always guess wrong with these things though. Remember the Kherson offensive that turned into a Kharkiv offensive and a Donetsk offensive.
 
"In addition, 32 projectiles launched by U.S.-manufactured HIMARS MLRS have been shot down near Novaya Kakhovka, Korsunka and Antonovka (Kherson region), as well as five U.S.-manufactured HARM anti-radiation radars near Irmino (Lugansk People's Republic), Yenakiyevo (Donetsk People's Republic), Korsunka and Novaya Kakhovka (Kherson region)".

Russian IADS are Good.
Yeah, and 90% of Kherson voted to join Russia. I don't even click '.ru' links anymore.
 
The many massacres inside your own country.

lol! Stop being disingenuous..
You are stooping so low.
Please, How many countries we have invaded...or international laws that we are violating/ed..
Remember the Kherson offensive that turned into a Kharkiv offensive and a Donetsk offensive.
There was also kherson offensive but since it wasn't sucessfull as kharkhiv , media compleletly neglected that( Also Ukraine suffer high casualties in kherson) .
Yeah, and 90% of Kherson voted to join Russia. I don't even click '.ru' links anymore.
No independent organization was present during referendum. So yes , I also don't buy that 90% claim.
 
lol! Stop being disingenuous..
You are stooping so low.
These were your own people, how is it disingenuous?

Please, How many countries we have invaded...or international laws that we are violating/ed..
East Pakistan. Yeah, you had good reasons, but that never stopped your colleagues from blaming NATO.

There was also kherson offensive but since it wasn't sucessfull as kharkhiv , media compleletly neglected that( Also Ukraine suffer high casualties in kherson) .
Kherson was a diversion for the real offensive. You never tell people where you're going to attack LOL. Russian forces were stronger around Izium and Lyman than Kherson.