Ukraine - Russia Conflict
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This is why the world order has changed in 2022.
mronline.org
On a more material level, the confiscation of Venezuelan gold by the British in 2020, of Afghanistan’s sovereign funds in 2021, and then of Russia’s sovereign funds in 2022 by the U.S., has raised the mistrust of the West’s allies. This shows that the non-Western world is no longer protected by law and depends on the goodwill of the West.
This conflict is probably the starting point for a new world order. The world is not going to change all at once, but the conflict has raised the attention of the rest of the world. For when we say that the “international community” condemns Russia, we are in fact talking about 18% of the world’s population.
Our latest interview with Jacques Baud | MR Online
Jacques Baud (JB): The aim of this book is to show how the misinformation propagated by our media has contributed to push Ukraine in the wrong direction. I wrote it under the motto “from the way we understand crises derives the way we solve them.”
mronline.org
This conflict is probably the starting point for a new world order. The world is not going to change all at once, but the conflict has raised the attention of the rest of the world. For when we say that the “international community” condemns Russia, we are in fact talking about 18% of the world’s population.
To liberate Crimea, it is not necessary to storm Perekop with tanks: General Godges on the weapons needed by the Armed Forces
Bloody and heavy assaults on Crimea occupied by Russia are not at all a necessary condition for the liberation of the Ukrainian peninsula. It is possible to "squeeze" the occupying forces of the Russian Federation out of Crimea by launching strikes on the Kerch bridge and the "land corridor" that passes through Melitopol, Zaporizhzhia region, temporarily captured by the Russian Federation.If the Ukrainian army receives long-range ATACMS missiles and can deliver such strikes, Crimea can be deoccupied by the end of summer 2023. This was stated by retired lieutenant general of the US Army, ex-commander of US forces in Europe Ben Godges, quoted by "Voice of America" .
According to Godges, it is not necessary to storm Perekop to liberate Crimea - it is enough to regularly hit the logistical routes of Russian troops: the illegal Kerch bridge and the "land corridor" through Melitopol.
"If the Ukrainians now had long-range ATACMS missiles, they could bomb every Russian headquarters, every transport hub or ammunition depot in Crimea right now, and this would make the peninsula unsuitable for the presence of the Russian Armed Forces," Godges said.
He is convinced that the Crimean peninsula now resembles a trap for the Russians.
Godges also noted that the opinion prevails in the administration of US President Joe Biden that the de-occupation of Crimea could lead to further escalation with the possible use of nuclear weapons. It is these fears that prevent the US from sending offensive weapons to Ukraine.
"Too many people in the US administration doubt that it is possible to force the Russians to leave Crimea. Somewhere in the depths of their souls, they believe that this is impossible. And that such an attempt will lead to an escalation with the use of an atomic bomb," the military said.
At the same time, he is convinced that Crimea will become "the key to victory, a decisive territory" for Ukraine.
A retired US Army general predicted that the Armed Forces of Ukraine would be able to de-occupy the peninsula by the end of the summer of 2023.
"The White House must say: we want Ukraine to win. The war has been going on for 10 months, and there is no way the White House can overcome this last little barrier and say: 'We will do everything for Ukraine to win.' If they said that, then all conversations about how many and what kind of weapons to give would not even be a subject for discussion... I predict that Ukraine will liberate Crimea by the end of next summer, that is, by the end of August 2023," he said.
"If we do not help Ukraine to return its sovereign territory in Crimea, in a few years we are guaranteed to get the next phase of the conflict," Godges summed up.
It will be recalled that earlier General Godges assessed Russia's readiness to gather forces for a new offensive against Ukraine. He is sure that Russia is unable to prepare for a new attack on Ukraine in February. In his opinion, the occupiers simply won't have time to do it.
Things are not gonna be that simple.
Take India for example. Many states have to do well simultaneously or we will suffer from unchecked internal migration. In India, roughly the entire population of the EU is just internal migrants. And this is even with some amounts of economic stability, even if growth is lopsided to favour a few states. But this system of absorbing migrants has been developed over decades.
Otoh, France isn't prepared to receive tens of millions of new people for long term migration. And it's not merely Germany, either. I'd say only France will be directly unaffected, but indirectly, it's not going to be good. Especially in terms of cost of food and other goods.
You may not be afraid, but your age and position prevents you from being drafted. Nor are you likely to habit places where gunmen will attack. It's the new generation that will be in the crosshairs, and that's France's grandkids and their kids.
November 2015 Paris attacks - Wikipedia
You should know more about the Cold War than I do. Now think back to that time and add "proxy wars at home and abroad" to the mix.
France has seen many others.Things are not gonna be that simple.
Take India for example. Many states have to do well simultaneously or we will suffer from unchecked internal migration. In India, roughly the entire population of the EU is just internal migrants. And this is even with some amounts of economic stability, even if growth is lopsided to favour a few states. But this system of absorbing migrants has been developed over decades.
Otoh, France isn't prepared to receive tens of millions of new people for long term migration. And it's not merely Germany, either. I'd say only France will be directly unaffected, but indirectly, it's not going to be good. Especially in terms of cost of food and other goods.
You may not be afraid, but your age and position prevents you from being drafted. Nor are you likely to habit places where gunmen will attack. It's the new generation that will be in the crosshairs, and that's France's grandkids and their kids.
November 2015 Paris attacks - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
You should know more about the Cold War than I do. Now think back to that time and add "proxy wars at home and abroad" to the mix.
ATACMS needs numbers to penetrate Russian defences. It's a simple missile.
This is just an excuse to escalate the war, 'cause as much damage as possible to the Russians before the war ends.
Not what's happening now. You forget that France no longer has a replacement birth rate. The EU's economic growth is no longer suitable for military activities.
And yet France has military activities and often gets its results with 10 times less resources than the Americans.
For the birth rate there is hope:
French birthrate on the rise after six years of decline
And in any case, even today, the birth rate combined with immigration allows the French population to grow.
Gas price is back down at pre-war level too.
Dec 23 2021 - 117.42 cents/MWh
Dec 23 2022 - 82.977 cents/MWh
EU Natural Gas TTF - Price - Chart - Historical Data - News
TTF Gas increased 5.55 EUR/MWh or 10.99% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. EU Natural Gas TTF - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on February of 2025.
tradingeconomics.com
You'll be wrong again next year too. You'd think you'd get tired of being wrong already.
"The Ukrainian resistance will collapse soon." - April 2022
That was my favourite.
It's also a very cheap missile, you can fire 6 of them and 2 GMLRS rockets for the cost of 1 Iskander-M.
There's a country being invaded, it doesn't get anymore escalated than that.
It's neither military activities nor a temporary rise in birthrate due to Covid. France fights in foreign territories, not at home.
Anyway, you will see for yourself in the future. Just today Paris witnessed a race-related shooting. I don't think security in EU will be good enough in a few years. You've made a new permanent enemy.
Gas price is back down at pre-war level too.
Dec 23 2021 - 117.42 cents/MWh
Dec 23 2022 - 82.977 cents/MWh
EU Natural Gas TTF - Price - Chart - Historical Data - News
TTF Gas increased 5.55 EUR/MWh or 10.99% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. EU Natural Gas TTF - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on February of 2025.
You'll be wrong again next year too. You'd think you'd get tired of being wrong already.
"The Ukrainian resistance will collapse soon." - April 2022
That was my favourite.
Yeah, 'cause EU is practically in a recession and China's dropped O&G consumption by half.
Ukraine resistance collapsed long ago, by the mid of June. All new soldiers are fighting now. It got rebuilt with NATO assistance while the Russians half-arsed after July instead of mobilising.
It's also a very cheap missile, you can fire 6 of them and 2 GMLRS rockets for the cost of 1 Iskander-M.
It will, it means Russia will start attacking more targets, including the Ukrainian leadership. What it means is even the chances of talks will shut down. Russia will be forced to do more damage.
Always an excuse with you. Nothing to do with the fact the Gulf states have picked up the slack of course.
And like Russia never sent reinforcements either right, as well as pulling out of Kherson and losing Kharkiv, Izium and Lyman.He'd already have targeted him if he could. And don't forget NATO could massively escalate the weapons they provide Ukraine with, ATACMs, cruise missiles, CAPTOR mines, SLAM-ER, long-range drones. We could finish off Hrim-2 for Ukraine and say that they must have finished it.
Nope. Mobilisation started only after September. The main offensive is yet to begin.
He'd already have targeted him if he could. And don't forget NATO could massively escalate the weapons they provide Ukraine with, ATACMs, cruise missiles, CAPTOR mines, SLAM-ER, long-range drones. We could finish off Hrim-2 for Ukraine and say that they must have finished it.
Killing Zelensky is pointless, he's just another replaceable cog in the machine. I'm talking about the military leadership.
Russia is yet to attack UAF HQs, they only did it once as a warning and that killed many UAF officers.
German spy accused of passing state secrets to Russia
Federal prosecutors are questioning a German spy accused of passing secrets to Russia following an internal investigation by Germany's BND intelligence agency.
www.euronews.com
It already was, the mask has fallen off, now it has to act in full view of everyone, before it acted insidiously.
Well you're wrong every time but you pull an excuse. According to you 6 months ago, Ukraine would have folded by now and the EU would have lifted sanctions. Wrong on all counts.
Garbage, that's when formal mobilisation started, when laws were passed to begin forcing people, after they ran fresh out of dumbasses.
Those tanks they kept sending needed drivers. You can't just give a tank to untrained grunts with no tanking knowledge.He's already been trying that too. Remember that time he aimed a missile at a meeting place and hit a supermarket across the road instead?
They've done it several times, they do it whenever the intel and air defences allow. Stop making excuses. Putin made the mistake of assuming that this endeavour would be way, way easier and now he doesn't know what to do, because he can't do the sensible thing without it ending him.
Did you just say that Russia is a 'new' enemy?
I think that beforehand people in Europe turned a blind eye because they didn't want the hassle. Now Putin has made job of shutting him down a necessity.
Pre-war enmity would have been different, a proper Cold War. There would have been no real threat of militarisation, separatist activitites, terrorism etc within the EU/NATO. Russia would still be selling natural resources to the EU, making it globally competitive, while also respecting the West's IP laws.
The current situation doesn't help the EU at all, not even one bit.
Well you're wrong every time but you pull an excuse. According to you 6 months ago, Ukraine would have folded by now and the EU would have lifted sanctions. Wrong on all counts.
Garbage, that's when formal mobilisation started, when laws were passed to begin forcing people, after they ran fresh out of dumbasses.
He's already been trying that too. Remember that time he aimed a missile at a meeting place and hit a supermarket across the road instead?
They've done it several times, they do it whenever the intel and air defences allow. Stop making excuses. Putin made the mistake of assuming that this endeavour would be way, way easier and now he doesn't know what to do, because he can't do the sensible thing without it ending him.
Did you just say that Russia is a 'new' enemy?
"Permanent" enemy.
The rest of your post was balderdash.