Ukraine - Russia Conflict

Russian companies have been so profitable in the last year that the govt's introducing a windfall tax. So apparently the govt's running out of money. :ROFLMAO:
1bn Rubles is hardly profitable mate. Windfall taxes would normally be something reserved for oil majors making trillions of rubles per year! :ROFLMAO: And the economy is already in decline and the ruble tanking, how do you think higher taxes will help it?
NATO won't rescue Ukraine, nor will there be a nuclear attack.

But Wagner and Chechens are assembling in Belgorod. They probably plan to take some land in Kharkiv oblast along the border.
They can't even hold the land in Zaporizhzhia at the moment.
Yep, tanks will simply ford through the shallows. But as Big Serge said, the UAF's main offensive isn't going well enough to create a link. But they can still try and take back the power plant.
Depends what the ground is like. The silt beds of many European rivers would swallow any vehicle whole.
 
NATO won't rescue Ukraine, nor will there be a nuclear attack.

But Wagner and Chechens are assembling in Belgorod. They probably plan to take some land in Kharkiv oblast along the border.
NATO won't allow a nuclear weapon to be used in Europe but I think @Picdelamirand-oil's point is that it's not really an SMO anymore when you have to have use nukes.
 
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1bn Rubles is hardly profitable mate. Windfall taxes would normally be something reserved for oil majors making trillions of rubles per year! :ROFLMAO: And the economy is already in decline and the ruble tanking, how do you think higher taxes will help it?

Windfall taxes are meant to tax companies making massive amounts of profits. It refers to oligarchs.

They can't even hold the land in Zaporizhzhia at the moment.

You should tell that to the UAF. They have no clue they could do that.

Depends what the ground is like. The silt beds of many European rivers would swallow any vehicle whole.

Reservoirs dry up fast when they run out of water. Mostly still water, so high rate of evaporation and absorption by the sand bed underneath into the ground water system. Plus summer.
 
Windfall taxes are meant to tax companies making massive amounts of profits. It refers to oligarchs.
'Windfall' is a misnomer here. It says companies making over 1 trillion rubles, that's <$12.5m. It doesn't specify that they have to have done well. If they've made over that they get taxed. It's an every company bar small shops and very small enterprises tax, i.e. almost every business.
You should tell that to the UAF. They have no clue they could do that.
The Ukrainian-controlled territory keeps increasing.
Reservoirs dry up fast when they run out of water. Mostly still water, so high rate of evaporation and absorption by the sand bed underneath into the ground water system. Plus summer.
Well there would have to be a Ukrainian assault across that river for your theory to hold any credibility. The only problem with your theory is that Russia has blown up 2 other dams well inside Russian-controlled territory.
 
Prigozhin points out that Russia's 'demilitarisation' of Ukraine is working in reverse.


Until the UAF can prove they are capable of fighting on a much larger scale than just managing company and battalion-sized offensives, they are just a very large militia with advanced weapons, not a true army.

Not sure about the newly raised units, but the rest of the UAF is so poorly trained, they can't even get 2 brigades (2000-2500 men each, small units) to coordinate with each other whereas the IA can coordinate with multiple corps (90000 men each).
 
1 trillion rubles, that's <$12.5m.

:ROFLMAO:

It's 1B. And $12.5M is a lot of money, not something small businesses can make.

The Ukrainian-controlled territory keeps increasing.

:ROFLMAO:

Well there would have to be a Ukrainian assault across that river for your theory to hold any credibility. The only problem with your theory is that Russia has blown up 2 other dams well inside Russian-controlled territory.

The UAF has to win elsewhere first.
 
Until the UAF can prove they are capable of fighting on a much larger scale than just managing company and battalion-sized offensives, they are just a very large militia with advanced weapons, not a true army.

By that logic Russia hasn't proven it can fight at all. At Vuhledar they lost almost a division's worth of armor.
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First two days was a rocky start and it cost them 4-6 Leos and 15-16 Bradleys but they got the sht together and are pounding Russian arty behind the lines and have taken out a significant amount of armor not to mention the 2 Russian battalions that were taken out by HiMARS attack all because some dope Russian General made them wait outside for a speech.

Ukraine/US decided to attack pretty much the whole front instead of just two with one being thee main offensive to prevent Russia from pulling troops from other defensive positions in support. Russian forces don't have reserve forces all they got is what they started with inside those positions and when Ukraine breaks through it is pretty much unimpeded path the Sea of Azov and the outskirts of Mariupol and Met... Met Metatopol (whatever). At that point Ukraine cuts off Crimea by land. When one defensive position gets breached it will have a dominos effect because the other Russian positions know they can get hit from behind.

US official said breaching Russian defenses Ukraine would suffer 3k-5k casualties which is a brigade's worth of troops. Russia suffered 5k casualties at Vuhledar alone.


Not sure about the newly raised units, but the rest of the UAF is so poorly trained, they can't even get 2 brigades (2000-2500 men each, small units) to coordinate with each other whereas the IA can coordinate with multiple corps (90000 men each).

By now all Ukraine service men have combat experience and new recruits get sent to Europe. Majority of soldiers taking part in the offensive are NATO trained. There's about 25-30k troops that are defending the Kyiv Oblast I guess you can say those are the lesser trained of the bunch but all have combat experience by now.

IA has never fought a massive ground battle against the Russian Army.
 
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By that logic Russia hasn't proven it can fight at all. At Vuhledar they lost almost a division's worth of armor.
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First two days was a rocky start and it cost them 4-6 Leos and 15-16 Bradleys but they got the sht together and are pounding Russian arty behind the lines and have taken out a significant amount of armor not to mention the 2 Russian battalions that were taken out by HiMARS attack all because some dope Russian General made them wait outside for a speech.

Ukraine/US decided to attack pretty much the whole front instead of just two with one being thee main offensive to prevent Russia from pulling troops from other defensive positions in support. Russian forces don't have reserve forces all they got is what they started with inside those positions and when Ukraine breaks through it is pretty much unimpeded path the Sea of Azov and the outskirts of Mariupol and Met... Met Metatopol (whatever). At that point Ukraine cuts off Crimea by land. When one defensive position gets breached it will have a dominos effect because the other Russian positions know they can get hit from behind.

US official said breaching Russian defenses Ukraine would suffer 3k-5k casualties which is a brigade's worth of troops. Russia suffered 5k casualties at Vuhledar alone.

You are free to believe the hilarious Ukrainian figures.

The Russians are in greater numbers than what's part of the UAF offensive.

By now all Ukraine service men have combat experience and new recruits get sent to Europe. Majority of soldiers taking part in the offensive are NATO trained. There's about 25-30k troops that are defending the Kyiv Oblast I guess you can say those are the lesser trained of the bunch but all have combat experience by now.

The UAF troops trained by NATO are rookies with no experience. NATO didn't want to train soldiers already experienced in using Soviet tactics. And they only chose volunteers.

IA has never fought a massive ground battle against the Russian Army.

Neither has the US. But we have fought and defeated the US trained and equipped Pak Army.

Here are a few interesting ones:
1965:

1971:

The last one in particular is very funny.
 
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Until the UAF can prove they are capable of fighting on a much larger scale than just managing company and battalion-sized offensives, they are just a very large militia with advanced weapons, not a true army.
Couldn't you say the same about Russia over the last 12 months? In fact, from about the end of April, all net change in territory has been in Ukraine's favour following the initial sucker punch.
Not sure about the newly raised units, but the rest of the UAF is so poorly trained, they can't even get 2 brigades (2000-2500 men each, small units) to coordinate with each other whereas the IA can coordinate with multiple corps (90000 men each).
Ukraine has only committed 3 of 12 brigades to the offensive so far and since 8th June, so a week, they've taken back well over 100 square kilometres a lot faster than Russia took it and inflicted huge casualties. So you can talk them down all you like, but they are succeeding.

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:ROFLMAO:

It's 1B. And $12.5M is a lot of money, not something small businesses can make.
Yes, I meant 1bn rubles. $12.5m is sod all money for anything other than a small business. In the UK, a medium-sized business is one with a market capitalisation of over £100m ($127m). Pre-tax profits are probably 10-20% of that, depending on the business type, so $12.5m is a small business. Basically Russia is levying this tax on all businesses medium and large.
:ROFLMAO:

The UAF has to win elsewhere first.
More excuses to defend you theory. It requires a lot of maintenance your theory, ever realise that? Wacky scheme like moving tons of explosive with lifting bags underwater undetected for a mile. Cross-silt assaults with IFs and BUTs attached as to whether they materialise.... or Russia drove the explosives in. :ROFLMAO:
 
IA has never fought a massive ground battle against the Russian Army.
Indeed. At the end of the day, no other army has been able to push Russia back in a direct symmetrical ground battle since 1941, and certainly no one else has come close to inflicting this many casualties on Russia since 1941. In fact, no one else has inflicted this many casualties on a major power since WWII either.