Ukraine - Russia Conflict

https://twitter.com/x/status/1526930232569110531
 
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jetray said:
huh, there is a place called afghanistan.
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It was a political reason not to go in full in Afganistan.
Not our war, not our civilization. Let them make their own world (and sorry for the women...)

If not, same case than with Irak en 1991.
 
BMD said:
That's my take on it too. They lost some ground around Izium in recent weeks but made some around Severodonetsk. But it's like 1 dead soldier and 3 wounded for every metre they advance on average and there are many metres in Ukraine. And then they lose ground elsewhere too, like the whole of Kharkiv area pretty much.

It's just cruel now. Someone needs to remove Putin, withdraw and try and make peace with the EU. That's the best way forward for Russia right now. They've made a bad mistake and killing even more of their own people isn't going to fix it.
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When Russians declared retreat from the north and refocusing on the east, I thought Russians will bring all of its might to the east and smash through Izium and encircle the Ukrainian troops in the east. Turns out that the troops withdrawn from the north were severely depleted and they couldn't do anything. Now with kviv and Kharkiv secured, more Ukrainian military resources will be deployed in the east & Russia won't be able to deliver any decisive blow.


Russians need to bring a 100,000 strong fresh force with better logistics & punch through combat exhausted Ukrainian troops to encircle Ukrainian forces in the east (similar to Operation Uranus when fresh Russian armies broken through the flanks of exhausted German/Romanian forces in Stalingrad). With the existing forces, they won't be able to do it. But i am not sure Russia will commit more troops to Ukraine now. It seems like the current strategy is to hold on till next winter and use Gas as leverage to blackmail Europe and secure a face saving deal.
 
Volcano said:
When Russians declared retreat from the north and refocusing on the east, I thought Russians will bring all of its might to the east and smash through Izium and encircle the Ukrainian troops in the east. Turns out that the troops withdrawn from the north were severely depleted and they couldn't do anything. Now with kviv and Kharkiv secured, more Ukrainian military resources will be deployed in the east & Russia won't be able to deliver any decisive blow.


Russians need to bring a 100,000 strong fresh force with better logistics & punch through combat exhausted Ukrainian troops to encircle Ukrainian forces in the east (similar to Operation Uranus when fresh Russian armies broken through the flanks of exhausted German/Romanian forces in Stalingrad). With the existing forces, they won't be able to do it. But i am not sure Russia will commit more troops to Ukraine now. It seems like the current strategy is to hold on till next winter and use Gas as leverage to blackmail Europe and secure a face saving deal.
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Yes, the Ukrainians made sure they didn't let the Russians retreat cleanly around Kyiv, so that they couldn't deploy elsewhere. They attacked them on the way out. Possibly, but recently Russian has been shelling up North of Sumy, probably to try and distract them from doing just that.

I was thinking more like 5-10 times that, but even then they might take vstol's Novorossiya territory, but with many losses, and Ukraine will continue fighting, with increasing insurgency in the occupied zone, like the Russian armoured train that was bombed in Melitopol recently. NATO and co. will likely respond to a larger Russian mobilisation by supplying Ukraine with even better weapons and more of them.

My guess is that the EU has already built up a reserve and there is a mission to quit Russian gas altogether by year's end, with or without an official sanction. They will probably buy from elsewhere over summer to supplement that reserve too. Putin will also have to declare a war formally under Russian law to conduct a full mobilisation, which will be seen as another admission of not only failure but lying to hide the failure.

These tweets amuse me. Do they not realise that the trade surplus is because everyone in NATO+ has stopped exporting to Russia? Do they not see that Russia's inflation is 3x US inflation for 2022, even with 28x the interest rates of the US (14% vs 0.5%, was as high as 20%, only 5% pre-war)? And that GDP has fallen of a cliff, -12.4% projected. And go figure how the currency is really stronger if they have 3x the inflation (23% vs 8.5%)???

 
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BMD said:
www.bloomberg.com

US Seeks to Wean India From Russia Weapons With Arms-Aid Package

The US is preparing a military aid package for India to deepen security ties and reduce the country’s dependence on Russian weapons, people familiar with the matter said.
www.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com

US Seeks to Wean India From Russia Weapons With Arms-Aid Package​

  • Potential $500 million deal would put India near Israel, Egypt
  • India is the largest buyer of Russian made military hardware

The US is preparing a military aid package for India to deepen security ties and reduce the country’s dependence on Russian weapons, people familiar with the matter said.

The package under consideration would include foreign military financing of as much as $500 million, according to one person, which would make India one of the largest recipients of such aid behind Israel and Egypt. It’s unclear when the deal would be announced, or what weapons would be included.

The effort is part of a much larger initiative by President Joe Biden’s administration to court India as a long-term security partner, despite its reluctance to criticize Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, according to a senior US official who asked not to be named.

Washington wants to be seen as a reliable partner for India across the board, the official added, and the administration is working with other nations including France to make sure Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government has the equipment it needs. While India is already diversifying its military platforms away from Russia, the US wants to help make that happen faster, the official said.

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India is never going to be a threat to the chicoms in a conventional war when the vast majority of their weapon systems are Russian. Indian military needs a complete overhaul if they want to be a conventional threat to the chicoms.
 
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Billionaire bought two fighter jets for Ukraine
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Another special vehicle destroyed.
Artillery destroyed the obstacle station R-330Zh "Resident"
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R-330ZH Zhitel jamming cellular satellite communication station technical data | Russia Russian missile system vehicle UK | Russia Russian army military equipment vehicles UK

R-330ZH Zhitel truck-mounted jamming cellular satellite communication station Russia technical data fact sheet pictures video
www.armyrecognition.com

The R-330ZH also named Zhitel is a jamming communication station designed and manufactured by the Russian Company Protek. The system is in service with the Russian army and deployed by the 18th motor rifle brigade. The whole system includes one Ural-43203/KAMAZ-43114 truck and one shelter with four telescopic masts. The truck is the control center for the operators. The shelter is equipped with four telescopic active phased array transmitter antennas mounted on a four wheels trailer. The R-330ZH is designed for detection, analysis, direction-finding and jamming of satellite and cellular phone communication systems operating in the frequency from 100 to 2,000 MHz. The jamming system provides analysis and selection of emitters’ signal parameters.
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Russia admits losing two more officers fighting in Ukraine

Lieutenant-Colonel Denis Sukhanov, 41, and Colonel Denis Kozlov, 40, have both been confirmed killed in Ukraine on the same day, as Kyiv's troops continue to inflict heavy losses on Putin's officers.
www.dailymail.co.uk
 
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Starting from scratch. Russians make Armenia their new home​

VERÖFFENTLICHT AM 18 MAY 2022
About author: Ani Grigoryan is the founder and editor of CivilNetCheck - a fact checking department at CivilNet online TV. She has extensive experience in journalism, for more than 8 years. In the last three years she specialized in fact checking and investigative journalism.

37-year-old Dmitry Rusakov moved to Armenia from the Russian city of Perm and has been living in the capital Yerevan for about three months. Dmitry had never been to Armenia before and had no Armenian friends. The decision to move was made in a haste, in just under two days. He bought tickets to an almost unknown country and moved here with his family.
 
Video of the heroic battle of the Russian T-80BVM tank in Ukraine in the Kharkov region. On the video, you can see that the Russian T-80 tank was damaged, but it continues to fight, the Russian tank is attacked from all sides by Ukrainian soldiers with grenade launchers, but it does not leave the battlefield.


American M777 howitzers recently received by Ukraine from the United States have already come under attack by Russian troops. Russian kamikaze drones "KUB-UAV" were used for the strike. After the drone strike, the artillery battery of Ukraine went into the forest, after which they were hit by Russian artillery. The video is cropped due to poor quality


The work of Russian combat crews of 152-mm self-propelled howitzers "Msta-S" and "Acacia-M" in Ukraine, the fire of Russian artillery is corrected by the drone "Orlan-10".

 
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