I doubt government will go for tenders for any strategic deals considering the amount of time tenders take. Most strategic deals will go through FMS route. I could be wrong, but I believe the SE tender is plain hogwash and was initiated just to buy time.I know. You are actually repeating my own argument to Hellfire.
But it's the same thing that's happening now. We moved away from the Mig-29 to the MKI. Similarly, we moved away from the original MRCA for M-2000 in 2001 and switched to a new SE-MRCA in 2018. The same thing can happen if a TE-MMRCA is held all the way in 2025 with first delivery expected in 2033. The participants may not be the same then. If enough time passes, new interests take its place.
I have more confidence for a Rafale MII if Dassault initiates it with a second order of 36 and MRCBF than if the GoI starts a brand new tender all the way in 2025.