India Anti-Satellite (ASAT) Missile Developments

That said, I'm also hearing from some other watchers (Prasun K. Sengupta) that the reason why the ASAT could not be tested earlier was because India had only become a full member of the MTCR only recently (mid-2018) and only after that could the ASAT project go into full steam. Although, at least at the moment, I don't see what MTCR has to do with this.

MTCR exists to limit transfer of technology of missile systems capable of targeting beyond 300 KM. this requires member countries to have missile capabilities of greater than 300 KM in the first place. the LEO maybe 300KM but other satellite orbits are greater than 300KM. the point of getting into MTCR was to prove we have the capability to hit 300 KM above. we could not do this prior to joining MTCR without being called a rogue nation out to share this tech with other nations NOT in MTCR.
 
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We could do that sir, we just can't sell or buy missile above that range. MTCR is of no significance in this case. Somebody just used these big words without properly analyzing to impress readers.
yes we could. and we could still sell this tech or give these missiles to other nations - but then this will be like NK getting nukes and selling to Pak.
stay within MTCR to show that we got the tech ourselves or legitimately.
showcase that we have the tech.
now you can call other folks outside of MTCR who want to share this tech as rogue nations (looking at China)
 
MTCR exists to limit transfer of technology of missile systems capable of targeting beyond 300 KM. this requires member countries to have missile capabilities of greater than 300 KM in the first place. the LEO maybe 300KM but other satellite orbits are greater than 300KM. the point of getting into MTCR was to prove we have the capability to hit 300 KM above. we could not do this prior to joining MTCR without being called a rogue nation out to share this tech with other nations NOT in MTCR.
The purpose of joining MTCR and NSG as well as other technology regimes was two or three fold. We haven't mastered all the technologies related to BM, CM or even BMD. Getting into MTCR was the first step followed by active participation with like minded countries thru JV's, purchase of such missiles, getting ToT, etc. The second step was, after having mastered said technologies, we could sell the product to other members in the MTCR regime. The third and most important point is we get to have a say in all future decisions in the MTCR regime.

If you look at NSG, the reason why we want to be a member is that we wish to market our N reactors and more importantly we wish to have a say in all future decisions of the NSG regime. As of now, we have a waiver to engage in N commerce - which means we can buy uranium & N reactors , even enter into JV's for it's manufacturing, subject to IAEA safeguards but cannot sell our own make in the market. Further, if the tide goes against us tomorrow, there's no guarantee the waiver we have to day will hold good.
 
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MTCR exists to limit transfer of technology of missile systems capable of targeting beyond 300 KM. this requires member countries to have missile capabilities of greater than 300 KM in the first place. the LEO maybe 300KM but other satellite orbits are greater than 300KM. the point of getting into MTCR was to prove we have the capability to hit 300 KM above. we could not do this prior to joining MTCR without being called a rogue nation out to share this tech with other nations NOT in MTCR.

All Agni series missiles (and K-series SLBMs) tested so far are above 300km. MTCR doesn't stop a country from developing missiles that can go as far as we want. It only restricts (even that is non-binding, unlike NPT) member states of the MTCR from transferring their know-how to non-member states and assisting them in developing long-range strike capabilities.

In short, MTCR does not come into the picture with regard to ASAT at all - not unless one wants to imply that the tech for ASAT was coming from another MTCR-signatory country. Which is not the case (the ASAT vehicle we tested is clearly an amalgamation of 2 or more existing Indian missile systems).
 
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All Agni series missiles (and K-series SLBMs) tested so far are above 300km. MTCR doesn't stop a country from developing missiles that can go as far as we want. It only restricts (even that is non-binding, unlike NPT) member states of the MTCR from transferring their know-how to non-member states and assisting them in developing long-range strike capabilities.

In short, MTCR does not come into the picture with regard to ASAT at all - not unless one wants to imply that the tech for ASAT was coming from another MTCR-signatory country. Which is not the case (the ASAT vehicle we tested is clearly an amalgamation of 2 or more existing Indian missile systems).
I agree with this - actually. so I will change my views - MTCR membership was probably no required for ASAT test.
 
US knew about India’s Mission Shakti but didn’t spy on ASAT test: Pentagon

The Pentagon has strongly denied the reports that the US spied on India’s anti-satellite (ASAT) missile test by sending a reconnaissance aircraft from its base in Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean to monitor the development.
It, however, said the United States was aware about India’s first test-fire of an anti-satellite missile.
“No US assets were spying on India. In fact, the US continues to expand its enduring partnership with India, resulting in enhanced interoperability and stronger economic ties,” US Defense Department spokesperson Lt Col David W Eastburn told PTI.
Aircraft Spots, which monitors military air movements, had said that a US Air Force’s reconnaissance aircraft from its base in Diego Garcia went “for a mission in the Bay of Bengal to monitor India’s anti-satellite missile test”.
This was interpreted by many that the US spied on Indian ASAT test.
“I don’t think that it implies coordination between India and the US,” astronomer Jonathan McDowell from the prestigious Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics told PTI on the Aircraft Spots report.
“This implies that the US intelligence community were aware of the test in advance because to some extent they’re spying on India,” he alleged.
“Everybody spies on their friends as well as their enemies. That’s the way the world works these days. It would be surprising if the US were not detecting or observing the launch site and aware of activities preparing for the test. So one assumes that they knew it was coming,” he claimed.
McDowell, who is a staff member at the Chandra X-ray Center and author and editor of Jonathan’s Space Report, an e-mail-distributed newsletter documenting satellite launches, said he has not looked into the issue of the aircraft, but it is certainly not surprising that the US would fly a sensor aircraft to try and observe the test.
The Pentagon, however, strongly denied the spying allegation.
“It’s a relationship so strong that no topic is off limits,” Eastburn said.
“Both nations enjoy shared principles regarding our respect of sovereignty, free and fair trade, adherence to international norms, and peaceful resolution of disputes,” he said.
Air Force Space Command Commander Lt Gen David D Thompson told lawmakers Thursday that the US was aware that India’s ASAT test was coming.
“First of all, we knew it was coming because of flight bans that India had announced and information they published previously. The launch occurred at 1.39 AM EST,” he told members of the powerful Senate Armed Services Subcommittee on Strategic Forces during a Congressional hearing.
“First of all, it was detected, characterised and reported by Air Force Missile Warning systems and Airmen at Buckley AFB. Immediately after the test (it struck the target vehicle), the Joint Space Ops Center and USAF 18 Space control Squadron began collecting information about the breakup of the vehicle,” Thompson said.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi had on Wednesday announced that India successfully test-fired an anti-satellite missile by shooting down a live satellite, describing it as a rare achievement that puts the country in an exclusive club of space super powers.
The test made India the fourth country in the world after the US, Russia and China to acquire the strategic capability to shoot down enemy satellites.
 
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1553965587892.png


Credits DFI
DRDO swordfish radar was used to track the satellite during ASAT test
 
US knew about India’s Mission Shakti but didn’t spy on ASAT test: Pentagon

The Pentagon has strongly denied the reports that the US spied on India’s anti-satellite (ASAT) missile test by sending a reconnaissance aircraft from its base in Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean to monitor the development.
It, however, said the United States was aware about India’s first test-fire of an anti-satellite missile.
“No US assets were spying on India. In fact, the US continues to expand its enduring partnership with India, resulting in enhanced interoperability and stronger economic ties,” US Defense Department spokesperson Lt Col David W Eastburn told PTI.
Aircraft Spots, which monitors military air movements, had said that a US Air Force’s reconnaissance aircraft from its base in Diego Garcia went “for a mission in the Bay of Bengal to monitor India’s anti-satellite missile test”.
This was interpreted by many that the US spied on Indian ASAT test.
“I don’t think that it implies coordination between India and the US,” astronomer Jonathan McDowell from the prestigious Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics told PTI on the Aircraft Spots report.
“This implies that the US intelligence community were aware of the test in advance because to some extent they’re spying on India,” he alleged.
“Everybody spies on their friends as well as their enemies. That’s the way the world works these days. It would be surprising if the US were not detecting or observing the launch site and aware of activities preparing for the test. So one assumes that they knew it was coming,” he claimed.
McDowell, who is a staff member at the Chandra X-ray Center and author and editor of Jonathan’s Space Report, an e-mail-distributed newsletter documenting satellite launches, said he has not looked into the issue of the aircraft, but it is certainly not surprising that the US would fly a sensor aircraft to try and observe the test.
The Pentagon, however, strongly denied the spying allegation.
“It’s a relationship so strong that no topic is off limits,” Eastburn said.
“Both nations enjoy shared principles regarding our respect of sovereignty, free and fair trade, adherence to international norms, and peaceful resolution of disputes,” he said.
Air Force Space Command Commander Lt Gen David D Thompson told lawmakers Thursday that the US was aware that India’s ASAT test was coming.
“First of all, we knew it was coming because of flight bans that India had announced and information they published previously. The launch occurred at 1.39 AM EST,” he told members of the powerful Senate Armed Services Subcommittee on Strategic Forces during a Congressional hearing.
“First of all, it was detected, characterised and reported by Air Force Missile Warning systems and Airmen at Buckley AFB. Immediately after the test (it struck the target vehicle), the Joint Space Ops Center and USAF 18 Space control Squadron began collecting information about the breakup of the vehicle,” Thompson said.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi had on Wednesday announced that India successfully test-fired an anti-satellite missile by shooting down a live satellite, describing it as a rare achievement that puts the country in an exclusive club of space super powers.
The test made India the fourth country in the world after the US, Russia and China to acquire the strategic capability to shoot down enemy satellites.
US-Indian intelligence Community Are Shared Viable information Where It Required
NOTAM was Already Given Prior to test So Its not like We were hiding something or Analyst all over the World not aware of it