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It is certainly a improbable scenario but there are always surprises/exceptions.

Could be, but I have my doubts. The level of intelligence we have regarding these aspects is surprising.

Yes technically it might not be feasible, but just put yourself into Pakistan's shoes and think about it. If you buy 500 missiles , would you depend on only one platform which is prone to sanctions?

Let me counter it with another one. F-16s are not precluded from being used in defense. Hence, they remain an integral component of the PAF's planning in countering IAF's dominance within their airspace. In case of a conflict, there is no limitation on their use as long as PAF is responding to a legitimate attack. That can always be managed in case of overt hostilities.

In the present case, IAF was involved in what was publicly and diplomatically declared as an anti-terror strike on targets of JeM. In response, PAF was found to be violating the LC (technical itself is a violation). That does not qualify as a defensive operation by any stretch of imagination, and that is one reason why India has chosen not to respond immediately to this act of aggression. Pakistan, in its frenzy, dug itself in a hole.


Of course there are inspections every now & then but does that mean they cant hide stuff. Pakistan very well can get stuff from the Arab friends as well.

They can. But will they? That is where the diplomatic initiatives come into place. It will be very foolish of a country like Saudi Arabia to take a military position against India in terms of military supplies to Pakistan. One needs to be very clear on that front. Two can tango and India is no more averse to flexing it's proverbial muscle now.


Second thing is that whatever the agreements national security/survival will be the foremost priority. Pakistan would very well take the risk as they already moving onto chinese weapons platform.

I sincerely hope they move in that direction. PRC will junk them as soon as they can, if their core interests are threatened. Pakistan is more or less fending for itself right now. In case of overt hostilities, I do not foresee Pakistan being supplied actively by PRC.
 
I was visiting F-16.net sometimes back yesterday. One very pertinent and troubling question which was asked by learned folks over there was how did India find the debris of AIM120C-5 so fast?

I hope people realize that the Armed Forces are deployed along LC? It is actually quite well covered in terms of aerial observability.



They cited one lost AIM120C in Europe which entire NATO had searched for long but could not find it. So they had two hypothesis behind it:-

1. We lost one more A/C which fell into J&K. Or one more A/C was hit but it returned to base. Hence the missile remained lodged in the airframe or its debris fell near the A/C airframe debris.

And we hid it? They have no clue of India, do they? Had one more AC been shot down:

a. I would have come to know in real time thorough our grapevine
b. Videos by 'pro-Pakistani' elements in Kashmir would have made it viral by loads by now.



2. They believe F-16 were there to escort the attackers and operated from behind 10 KM into LoC.

I believe I am capable of flying too. Beliefs and facts are two different variables.

F-16s undertook a technical violation. I have never claimed they moved well into our side. They breached the 10 km limit on their side and then ingressed 3-4 kms within our side (hardly any time takes to do that and egress) and then the Mig-21 followed them into the zone, undertaking a technical violation itself and was engaged in near proximity to the LC, the alignment of which resulted in the aircraft crossing over as it became a dead duck and pilot had to lose altitude prior to ejecting. The 'drifting' of parachute is mere conjecture.

PAF is trying to avoid pushing the second A/C angle because it will force them to admit they used F-16 against India.

They are avoiding because they have nothing. They are, instead, claiming the Mi-17 debris as Su-30!

3. India is only showing missile because otherwise we will have to admit losing one more A/C.

We have nothing other the missile. We have ELINT and SIGINT. That is something they also want to know. Forget that. No way are we going to tell what we had roaming there.

The other possiblity is that India has recovered the debris of F-16 and hence Missile debris with labels so much intact. Why the heck we are not making it public is beyond me then...

An egressing F-16 somehow turned back into Indian side and crashed? That is ... stretch of imagination x 10
 
@vstol Jockey

Was there a bigger air combat scenario than this after the Vietnam War? Say, the Sino-Vietnamese War?

IIRC, the Israelis were the last to fight a large air battle. And it's possible something similar may have happened between China and Vietnam in the 90s.
 
to my info most likely there were two PAF aircrafts at med altitude playing bait, while three PAF A/c's at high altitude loiter were waiting for the ambush. On Indian side, two mig21's were doing a low altitude interception of the bait while they were being locked by three High Alt MKI CAP.
Bisons have the ability to work well with either MKI's or Mig29's playing low alt interceptors while MKI/Mig29's run Air Sup CAP, what is perplexing is why MKI's did not engage R77AE or R27's across the LOC.


1. The PAF aircraft were beyond the 'technical' violation demarcation. ROE did not permit engagement of targets beyond 10 km of their side?
2. Our Mig-21 was in technical violation being adjacent to LC.
 
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1. The PAF aircraft were beyond the 'technical' violation demarcation. ROE did not permit engagement of targets beyond 10 km of their side?
2. Our Mig-21 was in technical violation being adjacent to LC.

Do you think our Mig-21s fired R-77s, and they all missed?
 
@vstol Jockey

Was there a bigger air combat scenario than this after the Vietnam War? Say, the Sino-Vietnamese War?

IIRC, the Israelis were the last to fight a large air battle. And it's possible something similar may have happened between China and Vietnam in the 90s.

Iran-Iraq war (even with the initially imprisoned "pro-shah" F-14 pilots) had stuff of similar scale happening (the information is sketchy though)....

Sino-vietnam war had very little air engagement. The PLAAF were kept more or less grounded because of Chinese fear of what the Soviet escalation might have been.

There were aerial engagements in both gulf wars including the reported Mig 25 that shot down the F-18 (LT. com Speicher, which in itself is a big story full of conspiracies/twists esp given the massive reformulation of AWAC doctrine the US went through afterwards)....but the sizes of the engagements are sketchy.

Other than that we only have rumours of what have happened in Russia vs Ukraine aerial situation and also their mercenary engagements in Ethiopia-Eritrea conflict from the 90s. I don't think anything of this reported scale there though. Peru vs Ecuador border conflict was also quite limited in scale. Armenia-Azerbaijan, both airforces were basically out of action given Soviet breakup, and refusal of Russia to arm/support the AF of either side....which would have been their call given the infra in place.
 
Iran-Iraq war (even with the initially imprisoned "pro-shah" F-14 pilots) had stuff of similar scale happening (the information is sketchy though)....

Sino-vietnam war had very little air engagement. The PLAAF were kept more or less grounded because of Chinese fear of what the Soviet escalation might have been.

There were aerial engagements in both gulf wars including the reported Mig 25 that shot down the F-18 (LT. com Speicher, which in itself is a big story full of conspiracies/twists esp given the massive reformulation of AWAC doctrine the US went through afterwards)....but the sizes of the engagements are sketchy.

Other than that we only have rumours of what have happened in Russia vs Ukraine aerial situation and also their mercenary engagements in Ethiopia-Eritrea conflict from the 90s. I don't think anything of this reported scale there though. Peru vs Ecuador border conflict was also quite limited in scale. Armenia-Azerbaijan, both airforces were basically out of action given Soviet breakup, and refusal of Russia to arm/support the AF of either side....which would have been their call given the infra in place.
Wasnt there another air engagement between israelis and syrians in early 90’s?
 
what is perplexing is why MKI's did not engage R77AE or R27's across the LOC.
this is my take:
SU's locked, but dint take action when they saw the PAF aircraft leaving Indian side. the Mig pilot couldnt control the urge to take the shot. It was never India's intention to engage with Pak Army/AF - we were only interested in hitting the terror network.
Pak took the attack on the terror network as an attack on themselves.
 
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Given that MIG-21 was chasing F-16 across the LOC in all probability if it was shot down it would have fallen in PoK, so chances of India having F-16 debris is very less.



yeah they can be bought, but not in 2 days when you need them immediately!
I can buy it in a few hours by driving to London and visiting a dealer
Then board a plane and 8 hours later I will be in India. Total time less than 20 hours.
So you really believe that we searched ebay to find parts so that we can build a new F-16 from ebay?
This is the most stupid argument I have ever heard.
 
So you really believe that we searched ebay to find parts so that we can build a new F-16 from ebay?
This is the most stupid argument I have ever heard.
yet you think India does that - find parts from ebay and throw it around in kashmir, then bring it back to show the media. see how stupid that sounds?
the most logical argument: f-16 was used.
also, Desi's arent really known to adhere to end user agreements - how many folks in Pakistan have the original Windows versions anyways?
 
So you really believe that we searched ebay to find parts so that we can build a new F-16 from ebay?
This is the most stupid argument I have ever heard.
lets say - hypothetically, you did use the f-16 from USA which you werent supposed to use. What would Pakistan's defense be?
 
yet you think India does that - find parts from ebay and throw it around in kashmir, then bring it back to show the media. see how stupid that sounds?
the most logical argument: f-16 was used.
also, Desi's arent really known to adhere to end user agreements - how many folks in Pakistan have the original Windows versions anyways?
Showing a piece of missiles on press conference is one thing and building a military jet from ebay is another. I am laughing while writing this comment.
 
Showing a piece of missiles on press conference is one thing and building a military jet from ebay is another. I am laughing while writing this comment.
think how badly we were laughing when you showed the ebay links? we knew you guys would bring that up.. which is why posted that message - that you guys will bring up the ebay or alibaba or something.

Listen, lets really talk sensibly - I am not even going to bait you. you believe your ISPR does no wrong. Correct? and hence that is your basis to believe that the Indian airforce spokesperson faked the AMRAAM missile. right?

Lets looks at the Indian point of view - we believe our armed forces and dont believe the ISPR. right? so obviously for us, you guys are faking. no amount of chest thumping in defense forums is going to change that.
there are enough number of people on your side as well as ours doubting their own armed forces. but one way or the other, the truth will come out.

case in point: many PA soldiers getting recognition for Kargil a good 10 years later.
 
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