36 Rafales + 36-40 Rafales/Su-57s are more than enough to defeat 160-200 J-20s as long as the J-20 does not spring a surprise with some magic tech no one's ever heard of. Apart from having a much smaller airspace to defend, we also have terrain advantage. Otoh, the Chinese have the terrain advantage when facing Taiwan. The Americans lack bases and the distance from land bases to Taiwan is the same as the one between Xinjiang's bases and Ladakh.
Due to shorter distances, we can have faster turnaround times and more jets in the air at any one time. Otoh, the Chinese can maintain shorter turnaround times and get more jets in the air versus the Americans. So, we are dealing with two opposite situations.
For example, the distance between Hasimara and the Chinese border is 100-150Km away. Doklam is just 70Km away. So a Rafale can take off and get to the battlefield in a matter of minutes. Otoh, a J-20 has to take off with a large payload, refuel in the air at a safe zone and then fly to the front, which could take as much as an hour. So it's about how quickly you can put jets in the air, and the Rafale is at least four times more efficient at the lower end. Meaning, you need 4 J-20s to have the same presence in the air as 1 Rafale. While the Rafale's advantage is higher sortie rate and turnaround time, the Su-57's advantage is practically unlimited endurance due to its vast fuel reserves and extremely fuel efficient engines. So 36 Rafales + 36-40 Rafales/Su-57s actually gives us the numerical advantage against 200 J-20s. 36 Rafales alone should still give us somewhat of a parity.
WW2 era warfare is irrelevant. Today 4 modern jets can do as much damage as a 1000-bomber WW2 fleet due to precision munitions. How? Get those 4 SHs on lease as planned, request for a 400-unit supply of JASSM-ERs from the US inventory. Then, the first three days of war, fly 5 sorties a day carrying 4 missiles per sortie. That gives you 4x4x5 = 80 missiles per day. Across 3 days, that's 240 missiles delivered to the enemy against 120 targets. Hell, make it 5 days, you get 400 missiles. All with just 4 jets, no losses.
Furthermore, with the arrival of radars, long range missiles and networking, there is no longer a need to have tons and tons of propeller-driven, cannon-firing jets. You only need a small number of jets at any one time for air defence. For example, two groups of 4 F-22s each flying 25Km apart can cover the entirety of Taiwan. Additional missiles can come in via additional AIM-120s on Taiwanese F-16s and the Patriot batteries. 2-4 scrambled F-15EXs carrying 20 missiles each will further add to the kitty. Loyal wingmen will also add to the numbers. So just 8 F-22s will be able to use all those missiles.
Apaches will be extremely effective in the mountains. They can replace FAs in quite a few roles, SEAD/DEAD and CAS. When I say Apaches, it includes the LCH too. I hope to see at least 100+ attack helicopters joining the forces between 2025-30.
15000 SAMs are at the lower end. Our AAM inventory alone is 12000.
The deal also includes purchase of about 6,000 missiles from Russia.
What use is the Rafale and the French connection?
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Senior Air staff officers have, of late, been talking confidently of the combo of the 6,000 air defence missiles ordered as part of the S-400 system that India is buying from Russia