How many western government think tanks and strategic think tanks have paid to hear you speak? He was VP of Stratfor so he's not clueless he's just way above your league of thinking that he sounds clueless to you.
Oy vey. Do you pat yourself on the back every time you post?
It's as if your head is buried deep in the sand. Russia has a shtty outdated navy that can't fight a combined arms style war under high-tech conditions. You might wanna take a look at their northern fleet
en.wikipedia.org
Not impressive at all. You're also forgetting many things, likely on purpose to bolster your claims, any conventional kinetic war with Russia it will involved NATO including Sweden and Finland. Kinetic war will mean shoot to kill and not this cat and mouse game that currently takes place the outdated Russian navy will not make it past the extreme northern part of Norway as F35's, Gripens and F-18s close that part of the air and sea as British and Norwegian warships with other NATO warships unclouding subs lay in weight past Iceland with air cover.
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Lol. Yeah good luck Russian navy. A no nation navy like Ukraine has already taken out 1/3 of Russia's black sea fleet in which they now hide in port and you're going to make this ridiculous claim? Puhleeze!
Lol. The chicoms won't be able to land platoon size landing forces let alone brigade size.
Get this through your head a conflict in Taiwan is going to have weeks maybe months of warning just like when Russia was massing troops before the war. Chicoms would have to mass a sht load of aircraft, supplies, stage their missile forces and troops, etc etc.... all this takes time and can't be hidden from US ISR. This will give Taiwan, US and allies enough time to stage their naval and air forces. Taiwan has the line of sight advantage and no chicom warship is going to expose themselves to Taiwan shore based antiship missiles.
Before chicoms can land troops it's going to be a very long air and sea battle where chicoms need to make sure their landing ships are safe from antiship missiles and other missiles that can hit their landing craft. That is going to be a long and painful campaign to make sure they can land.
What does that even mean? "Lets just say" is that suppose to be some secret you know but can't say because it's classified or just saying that to sound smart and in the know when you're clueless?
A U.S. aircraft carrier would be capable of executing its mission in a conflict with China, a senior Navy official says, responding to the argument that Beijing's "carrier killer" missiles would make the vessel less relevant to a battle in the western Pacific.
"Our highly trained sailors can operate these complex, contested domains and be lethal and survivable, and execute the mission regardless of what the threat is," Rear Adm. Carlos Sardiello, commander of the USS Carl Vinson strike group, told a few reporters aboard the carrier on Wednesday.
"I am absolutely confident that the carrier strike group can execute the mission that it was designed to do effectively and safely," even against Chinese missiles, Sardiello said, adding that the strike group "demonstrates the military might of the nation."
Concerns grow over survivability as Beijing possesses 'carrier killer'
asia.nikkei.com
I think I'm gonna listen to the opinion of the CO of the Carl Vinson than some Indian behind a keyboard who thinks highly of himself as some expert on US military capabilities. When you want the truth of the confidence of a US weapon system against near peer adversary always ask the pilots and CO's of a ship. They are the ones in the know of what they are capable.
SoKo has their own land army which can easily surpass a million. SoKo military is a very advanced military and won't need much help. US already has 30k troops in SoKo and almost 40k in Japan just for a Korean conflict.
Unlike you thanks to the Russian war I don't have confident in China's and definitely no confident in NoKo's military capability. All 3 militaries lack so much including the all important combined arms capability. The corruption in all 3 military is staggering and as we saw with Russia the commanders are all yes-men/friends of the supreme leader and did not earn their position of power through merit.
Before the Russian invasion everyone including me thought they would easily take half of Ukraine because of the hype of the Russian military by Russia and their fanboys and the US. The same is for the chicom military the hype for the chicom military is ridiculous coming from china, US and many of you Indians. Before Ukraine war Russia has never tasted a real war against true mechanize army with capable IADS and it shows their lack of experience the same is for China and their first real war/conflict will be against Taiwan a real modern military that can hit back and which will have the USN and USAF backing them up. It doesn't look good for Chyna.
Israel's war involved Soviet trained and equipped neighbors which had Soviet fighter pilots flying a handful of Migs in Egyptian markings and Israel still stands. Iran has no conventional land forces that are a threat they can't send their tanks and army outside their border without a logistic nightmare just like Russia. Every time Iran sends weapons through Iraq the moment it enters Syria it gets bombed. The only thing Iran has are ballistic missiles and drones. They can't send forces to Syria or Lebanon because they know they won't make it that far. Iran has hezbollah as their groundforces but they will get easily dispatched when Israel takes off the gloves. Hezbollah is shtting bricks right now because they see Israel removing Israeli mines near Golan Lebanon border giving Israel another front for hezbollah to fight which they are not built for.
No GCC nation is getting involved. Sunni nations hate Iran more than zee jews even Sadam hated Iran more than Israel. Sunni muslims see shiat muslims as a threat to their faith the jews are just occupiers of their land but no threat to their faith.
Ayatollahs power is weak and so are their military the only thing to hit are their ballistic missile hideouts and nuke program which are underground and can be hit many times by US bombers carrying 30k lbs MOP bomb. Ayatollahs and Quds are in a catch 20. If they hide from US bombing their power is pretty much gone and folks will revolt if they don't hide many of them will be killed weakening their already weak power they hold.