Which is a whole new procurement program. Assuming a 12-year half-life, the Scorpene would need MLU in 12 years. So an induction in 2012 would have seen the Scorpene going into MLU in 2024. Now, we are looking at 2029. Assuming a 3-4 year process, we are looking at 2033, possibly around the time the P-75I completes deliveries.
Now, if we are to start a whole new process for an upgraded Scorpene, we are looking at inducting it even beyond 2033. So it wouldn't make sense to chase after something that's no longer needed when better subs are gonna become available through P-75I.
The IN is looking at leasing 3 upgraded Kilos as stopgap.
Yes. But the IN was defeated by MoD bureucracy. It's a battle that cannot be won anyway.
IN wanted to sign the deal this year, but it looks like it will get pushed to the next FY. I believe it's 'cause this FY will see a contract for MRCBF.
Scorpene's not even in the competition. The only ones left are Korea's DSME3000, France's SMX 3.0 and Spain's S-80 Plus. Russia and Germany withdrew. Russia's Amur won't meet requirements, and Germany wanted a year to design a new sub for IN. Sweden complained about ToT demands and didn't bother.
Out of those 3, Korea's is the most mature, but they are not willing to provide a VLS. It may require redesign to add an Indian VLS. Or IN will have to accept it without one.
Spain's option is pretty decent. It's still WIP, but at least it exists. It has questionable AIP tech.
France's option is the least mature, but should come with everything the IN wants 'cause it's been designed for India. Its AIP tech is untested.
Basically, without VLS, all three are viable candidates. And the VLS can be added in during the first 6-year refit. If the IN does this, then the Korean sub will be the frontrunner.