Except that AESA will be available to morrow since 10 years
I think you confuse the time line with the promise to integrate HMS into Rafale
Anyway, it doesn't matter what you think, the Rafale will win the tender with flying colours.
True, simple opinions doesn't matter, facts however do and that's what I am pointing out!
Rafale has a chance like any other fighter in the tender, but given the changed circumstances of budgets, political influence, reduced edge of Rafale against the competitors, the chances are not as high as they were in the MMRCA 1.0.