Ukraine - Russia Conflict

After enough of the infrastructure is destroyed, making the position untenable, the UAF retreat on their own. This way, Ukrainians continue taking large casualties, while the damage to infrastructure is localised and limited.
Ukranians dont care abt infra damage as they know that these territories will never be recovered. So they end up fighting from every school, hospital, power utilities....etc. and getting it destroyed deliberately. Worse thing is that they are not being destroyed while just defending but also after being occupied by russian militias, donetsk & other cities are being repeatedly bombed by ukranian artillery.
 
Ukranians dont care abt infra damage as they know that these territories will never be recovered. So they end up fighting from every school, hospital, power utilities....etc. and getting it destroyed deliberately. Worse thing is that they are not being destroyed while just defending but also after being occupied by russian militias, donetsk & other cities are being repeatedly bombed by ukranian artillery.

Yep. But by not moving the front too drastically, the Russians are minimising damage to just the front.

Once enough UAF troops are killed, the war will reach a tipping point and the Russians should be able to mobilise and take over vast swathes of unprotected territory with very little effort.

In the meantime, an entire generation of Ukrainians will get wiped out in the meat grinder until Western supplies dry up.
 
Retex from a Ukrainian tank officer:

  • Ukrainian tank strength is still 80% complete
  • Tanks are still very useful
  • The Ukrainians are very happy with the number of Russian tanks they were able to recover
  • The Russians still seem to apply the old Soviet doctrines, 10 tanks per 500m, except that they don't have enough
  • The 2 opponents are reviewing their tanks to be repaired more than 200 to 300 km from the front, so as not to endanger irreplaceable technical teams
  • The change of crew from T64 to T80 or T72 is not so easy
  • HE shells are very effective in neutralizing the enemy, 1 to 3 shells if the cupolas are open, and the crew flees quickly, or by misfortune is wounded/killed in the machine
  • Many Russian losses due to poor training and unspeakable logistics, many fuel failures
  • Oryx is quite close to reality, 60-70% of UKR losses and 50-60% of Russian losses
  • Enemy tanks destroyed or captured give financial rewards to the soldiers doing the capturing/destroying
  • Russians use 125mm gun-launched missiles quite heavily
  • Russian T80BVMs have suffered enormously, almost 80% casualties, training new Russian troops on T72B3MS is problematic, which would explain the re-release of the simpler T62
  • Only 3 tank refurbishment factories left in Russia with max of 100 to 200 refurbished tanks per month
  • The Javelin is a terror, better than the Stugna, the NLAW is not bad, but not perfect, quality problem with the tracking chips
  • Modern tanks have too many unprotected sight openings, up to 800m with a 5.45 or 12.7 you hurt the tank driver
  • The sides of Soviet designed tanks are only protected by 30 mm of armour over a height of 30 cm, and in front of the circular ammunition magazine
  • The best protected Russian tank is the T80BVM ahead of the T90A and T72B
  • He confirms that a TV report led to the destruction and loss of one of the best Ukrainian tank repair workshops
  • 20 to 30 Ukrainian tanks are repaired every month in Eastern Europe
  • No need for Leopards now, rather T72s
  • Night vision systems on some captured Russian tanks or T72s from the West require special training for crews
  • A "naked" T72 will be dressed with reactive bricks by 2-3 workers in 1 day
  • In some cases T64 Ukr prove superior to T80 or T72, in other cases it is the opposite
  • Finally: NATO does not need many tanks anymore, most of the Russian tanks will soon be totally destroyed
 
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Retex from a Ukrainian tank officer:

  • Ukrainian tank strength is still 80% complete
  • Tanks are still very useful
  • The Ukrainians are very happy with the number of Russian tanks they were able to recover
  • The Russians still seem to apply the old Soviet doctrines, 10 tanks per 500m, except that they don't have enough
  • The 2 opponents are reviewing their tanks to be repaired more than 200 to 300 km from the front, so as not to endanger irreplaceable technical teams
  • The change of crew from T64 to T80 or T72 is not so easy
  • HE shells are very effective in neutralizing the enemy, 1 to 3 shells if the cupolas are open, and the crew flees quickly, or by misfortune is wounded/killed in the machine
  • Many Russian losses due to poor training and unspeakable logistics, many fuel failures
  • Oryx is quite close to reality, 60-70% of UKR losses and 50-60% of Russian losses
  • Enemy tanks destroyed or captured give financial rewards to the soldiers doing the capturing/destroying
  • Russians use 125mm gun-launched missiles quite heavily
  • Russian T80BVMs have suffered enormously, almost 80% casualties, training new Russian troops on T72B3MS is problematic, which would explain the re-release of the simpler T62
  • Only 3 tank refurbishment factories left in Russia with max of 100 to 200 refurbished tanks per month
  • The Javelin is a terror, better than the Stugna, the NLAW is not bad, but not perfect, quality problem with the tracking chips
  • Modern tanks have too many unprotected sight openings, up to 800m with a 5.45 or 12.7 you hurt the tank driver
  • The sides of Soviet designed tanks are only protected by 30 mm of armour over a height of 30 cm, and in front of the circular ammunition magazine
  • The best protected Russian tank is the T80BVM ahead of the T90A and T72B
  • He confirms that a TV report led to the destruction and loss of one of the best Ukrainian tank repair workshops
  • 20 to 30 Ukrainian tanks are repaired every month in Eastern Europe
  • No need for Leopards now, rather T72s
  • Night vision systems on some captured Russian tanks or T72s from the West require special training for crews
  • A "naked" T72 will be dressed with reactive bricks by 2-3 workers in 1 day
  • In some cases T64 Ukr prove superior to T80 or T72, in other cases it is the opposite
  • Finally: NATO does not need many tanks anymore, most of the Russian tanks will soon be totally destroyed

It's easy to mix propaganda with truth and create a narrative.
 
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Retex from a Ukrainian tank officer:

  • Ukrainian tank strength is still 80% complete
  • Tanks are still very useful
  • The Ukrainians are very happy with the number of Russian tanks they were able to recover
  • The Russians still seem to apply the old Soviet doctrines, 10 tanks per 500m, except that they don't have enough
  • The 2 opponents are reviewing their tanks to be repaired more than 200 to 300 km from the front, so as not to endanger irreplaceable technical teams
  • The change of crew from T64 to T80 or T72 is not so easy
  • HE shells are very effective in neutralizing the enemy, 1 to 3 shells if the cupolas are open, and the crew flees quickly, or by misfortune is wounded/killed in the machine
  • Many Russian losses due to poor training and unspeakable logistics, many fuel failures
  • Oryx is quite close to reality, 60-70% of UKR losses and 50-60% of Russian losses
  • Enemy tanks destroyed or captured give financial rewards to the soldiers doing the capturing/destroying
  • Russians use 125mm gun-launched missiles quite heavily
  • Russian T80BVMs have suffered enormously, almost 80% casualties, training new Russian troops on T72B3MS is problematic, which would explain the re-release of the simpler T62
  • Only 3 tank refurbishment factories left in Russia with max of 100 to 200 refurbished tanks per month
  • The Javelin is a terror, better than the Stugna, the NLAW is not bad, but not perfect, quality problem with the tracking chips
  • Modern tanks have too many unprotected sight openings, up to 800m with a 5.45 or 12.7 you hurt the tank driver
  • The sides of Soviet designed tanks are only protected by 30 mm of armour over a height of 30 cm, and in front of the circular ammunition magazine
  • The best protected Russian tank is the T80BVM ahead of the T90A and T72B
  • He confirms that a TV report led to the destruction and loss of one of the best Ukrainian tank repair workshops
  • 20 to 30 Ukrainian tanks are repaired every month in Eastern Europe
  • No need for Leopards now, rather T72s
  • Night vision systems on some captured Russian tanks or T72s from the West require special training for crews
  • A "naked" T72 will be dressed with reactive bricks by 2-3 workers in 1 day
  • In some cases T64 Ukr prove superior to T80 or T72, in other cases it is the opposite
  • Finally: NATO does not need many tanks anymore, most of the Russian tanks will soon be totally destroyed
This report from a 40% survived tank officer who was in 15% of the battles is 60% factually correct while there are chances that 40% of it is incorrect when compared to 80% of the overall report. :unsure:
 



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THREAD!

I recall Paddy & Sweetie going wet wet with excitement & giggling like teen girls in a pub anxious to get picked up in anticipation of getting their cherries popped, when this story first broke out .

Get a load of the tabloids carrying this propaganda - The Daily Star, The Sun - notorious girlie magazine from Paddy's youth which he unfailingly quotes daily out here, Daily Mail, New York Post, etc all lowbrow publications & a complete & thorough disgrace to the press or anyone who's anything remotely resembling a brain, hence patronized by working class bums , the Irish & trailer park crowds .

@BMD ; @Innominate
 
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Oryx has started proving to be unreliable.

Now Oryx says 1233 vehicles destroyed, captured or abandoned until today. But let's see what the Ukrainians themselves have to say.

I’m just talking about heavy weapons. As of today, we have approximately 30 to 40, sometimes up to 50 percent of losses of equipment as a result of active combat. So, we have lost approximately 50 percent. … Approximately 1,300 infantry fighting vehicles have been lost, 400 tanks, 700 artillery systems.

And these numbers are as of a month ago. So 1233 by Orxy, but 2400 by the Ukrainians themselves, DESTROYED, not just abandoned or captured. And they are still lying about it. As per the Russians, Ukr's inventory is now almost entirely foreign. So that's over 6000 heavy weapons destroyed. A lot of the Oryx kills attributed to Russians are actually Ukrainian.

As I said before, most of the Ukr "kills" are merely isolated units killed in ones or twos, but Ukr is losing entire units at the brigade level. Many brigades have been pulled out with 80% losses. Hell, the Ukr general himself admits 50% losses, as of a month ago. That's 50% of their entire military.
Like I said before, Oryx have a backlog, there are certain losses they haven't included yet, for Russians and Ukrainians. You can likely multiply their figures by 2 all round.

Russia is losing entire brigades and batteries too. If you've been keeping up with updates you'd know that anyone claiming 5,000 deaths for either side at this stage is a sure liar.
 
It's easy to mix propaganda with truth and create a narrative.
Russia has been caught balls deep in a lie several times during this war though. Moskva, shopping mall, 'I'm not going to invade Ukraine'.... Nazis in the Donbass, so I'll try annex all of Ukraine....
Yep. But by not moving the front too drastically, the Russians are minimising damage to just the front.

Once enough UAF troops are killed, the war will reach a tipping point and the Russians should be able to mobilise and take over vast swathes of unprotected territory with very little effort.

In the meantime, an entire generation of Ukrainians will get wiped out in the meat grinder until Western supplies dry up.
You're using 'being careful' as an excuse for underperformance that you otherwise can't explain. Russia has been anything but careful, especially in the opening stages, and even more so in their bombardment. They're just struggling.
 
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Another settlement in the Kherson Region was liberated from the Russian Empire. Ukrainian defenders de-occupied the village of Ivanivka. It was reported in the 60th separate infantry brigade. Only terrible memories and "dead" equipment remained from the invaders there. The brigade commander noted that when our soldiers entered the village, only one of the two hundred Russians remained there.
 
The destruction of a platoon of Russian Nona-K guns by M777 howitzers of the "Kharkiv" military training center in Hoptovka.

Huge explosion near the end.

 
Russia needs to admit that their special military operation has failed and declare a full-scale war on Ukraine. Only after that, according to their legislation, Putin can announce full mobilization in Russia. Otherwise, they cannot do it. Deputy head of the SBU (2014-2015) Viktor Yagun on the Espresso TV channel

These HIMARS meme's are getting funny.

 

Utility of Drones in kill chain responsiveness
According to Ukrainian artillery crews, Russian artillery is generally able to bring accurate
artillery fire down on targets 3 to 5 minutes after UAV reconnaissance has identified them, but
if a target is identified with EW direction finding, acoustic reconnaissance or counterbattery
artillery radar, it will take Russian artillery approximately half an hour to bring inaccurate
artillery fire to bear. The importance of UAVs to Russia’s artillery precision and responsiveness
has forced Ukraine to maintain organic MANPADS teams with their artillery, preferably armed
with visually guided systems such as Starstreak and Martlet, which have proven much more
effective against UAVs and helicopters. If Russian forces are able to maintain UAV reconnaissance
over a target, they are able to adjust fire in near-real time even if the target is moving.

Electronics warfare: Issues with friendly jamming and other limits
On 6 June 2022, for example, a
field assessment of the Russian armed forces concluded that ‘the enemy’s UAVs, high-precision
loitering and artillery ammunition and communications equipment rely on positioning through
the reception of signals from satellite radio navigation systems’.32 To protect Russian forces
from these capabilities, it was recommended that they continuously suppress access to satellite
navigation through the constant operation of the Pole-21 system and the constant employment
of the R330Zh, both on maximum power using omnidirectional jamming. The advice noted that
these systems could be deconflicted with the employment of Orlan-10 UAVs by the Russian
forces. The effect on Russian command and control was limited by the linking of command posts
by ground-laid field cable,33 which Ukrainian forces have noted is now always emplaced within
hours of the Russians setting up a position.34 Both Pole-21 and R330Zh are turned off prior
to the commencement of Russian artillery strikes that may need to rely on accurate satellite
based positioning. In practice, while widespread, coverage is not constant because the R330Zh
requires a significant supply of fuel to operate.

A more active layer in the Russian EW defence architecture is provided by Shipovnik-Aero, a
truck-mounted jamming system... The system has a range of 15 km and detects UAVs
through their control frequency. The system takes approximately 25 seconds to analyse the
control frequencies of newly encountered UAVs, and around 2 seconds to reconfirm the control
frequencies of previously encountered UAVs.35 It then jams the command frequency. In addition,
the system overrides the positioning of the UAV so that ‘return to base’ protocols lead the
UAV to land in a location designated by the Russians. The Shipovnik-Aero has two workstations
and is able to engage two UAVs at a time. Its jamming effect is delivered on a bearing with a
width of approximately 3 degrees, suppressing friendly and civilian signals in the targeted bands
within this area.36 Although these systems are not universally available to Russian formations,
their presence has become widespread, limiting the airspace that Ukrainian UAVs are able to
penetrate and monitor. The Shipovnik-Aero can take up to 40 minutes to set up and, like many
other Russian EW systems, is therefore vulnerable to suppression through forced displacement
or strike if its position can be determined.

Direct counter fire
Another challenge faced by Ukrainian troops is that Russian direction finding is highly capable
and where it is not possible to suppress UAVs, it is often possible to target the ground control
station. The means by which ground control stations have been targeted depends on the type
of UAV and its range, but has included the dedicated firing of 152-mm howitzers, 300-mm
MLRS and Tochka-U at UAV operators. Between these threats and those of EW causing UAVs to
crash, or interception by air-defence systems, the lifespan of Ukrainian UAVs is roughly 7 days
with some variation by system.37 In consequence, many Ukrainian units are forced to choose
between having a live feed from their UAVs and thereby risking a high likelihood of losing the
platform or sending UAVs out on pre-set flight plans and analysing the images they take on their
return to a pre-set location.
Another element of the use of EW in an
offensive role is the TORN-MDM signals intelligence vehicle, capable of direction finding and
triangulating tactical communications within a radius of between 30 and 70 km depending on
frequency

A pretty good picture of the EW warfare environment. The threat of drones would increase the ideal air defense density to go beyond any point in history, and the EW simply demands counter fires and drone autonomy.

One thing that is not talked about (and probably very secret) in the current conflict is Ukraine electronic intelligence capability.