Ukraine - Russia Conflict

Anyone should mock Russia at their own peril. End might just be the beginning....
Western propoganda 😁😁😁😁😁😁
Aah. Neither the Russians care a dime about us , nor the Ukrainians and nor the rest of Europe.

I would say this to both parties, go ahead and kill as much as possible. Destroy each other.
With NASAMS coming in, I don't think the Ruskies can do anything now.
We turn down the us offer of NASAMS, Patriot pac 3 & THAAD. Very bad decision
 
Ukraine : "Militairement, les Russes ont déjà perdu la guerre", selon un ancien officier de l'armée française

Ukraine: "Militarily, the Russians have already lost the war", according to a former officer of the French army

According to Guillaume Ancel, it is "likely" that the Ukrainians are preparing a third counter-offensive, which would be "fatal" to the Russian army.

The Russians have "already lost the war" militarily, says Guillaume Ancel, a former officer in the French army, while the Ukrainian army entered the strategic city of Lyman, in the east of the country, in the Donetsk region, on Saturday, October 1. On Friday, Moscow's annexation of this part of Ukrainian territory was strongly condemned by the international community. According to Guillaume Ancel, the latest statements of Vladimir Putin would only be a way to "hide the debacle of his army.

franceinfo: What explains this failure for Russia in Lyman?

Guillaume Ancel:
The situation in Lyman illustrates perfectly the situation of the Russian army. It is cracking on all sides, the units do not even obey Vladimir Putin's orders, simply because they no longer have the means to resist. The Russian army has lost most of its equipment and potential, especially in terms of command and intelligence. The units are almost blind today, whereas the Ukrainians are very well supplied and above all remarkably well informed. On the Kherson front, in southern Ukraine, the Russians are resisting with the greatest difficulty. It is likely that the Ukrainians, given the means they have today, are preparing a third counter-offensive. It would then be fatal to Vladimir Putin's army.

Could the Russians lose the war relatively quickly?

In fact, they have already lost it militarily. They don't have the means to resist, they can only prolong their debacle a little bit. It's just a matter of time. Vladimir Putin has laminated his army. His rantings, including about the use of nuclear weapons, show that he is trying to hide the debacle on the ground.

Russia announced the partial mobilization of its population on September 21, which represents 300,000 reservists. Could this help to turn the situation around?

This is pure fiction. Their mobilization is too late and totally chaotic. It is not when a fire breaks out that you have to go and recruit firemen! We can see that the Russians have no intention of fighting and that they do not feel threatened by the Ukrainians. This is already a failure. When we see the state of the units on the ground, which are supposed to be the best, I let you imagine what would look like mobilized units, badly equipped, absolutely not trained and not commanded. This would be adding a catastrophe to the catastrophe: today, the Russian army is in total failure.
 
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Self-restraint being mass murder.
 
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Anyone should mock Russia at their own peril. End might just be the beginning....
Oh yeah? What's Put-Put gonna do to make the mocking cease? Invade Ukraine? He's already doing that, and it's turning out to be the worst decision a Russian Tsar has ever had. Instead of rebuilding the glorious Stronk Russian Empire, he's actually at a risk of fragmenting it further, look at what's happening in Dagestan already... And hey, with the state the Kadyrovites are in, imagine what would happen if a Third Chechnya War started...

And outside of the Russian Federation proper, look at how countries that were in Russia's sphere of influence behave now. Kazakhstan is distancing from Russia as fast as it can, and getting security guarantees from China. Armenia, upon seeing the uselessness of Russia's protection against Azerbaijan, is turning to the West.
 
(opex360 (fr), oct.02)
The Ukrainian army could receive at least 6 "CAESAr" howitzers, originally intended for Denmark

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Very often, those who deplore the [relative] weakness of the military aid that France provides to Ukraine are those who did not lift a finger to denounce the cuts made a few years ago in the defence budget, despite the warnings made by the chiefs of staff during parliamentary hearings. So, as the saying goes, "charity begins at home", you only give what you can give...

However, France has given Ukraine armoured front vehicles [VAB] that the army is in the process of replacing with Griffons and Servals, MILAN and MISTRAL missiles, various ammunition, combat equipment and... eighteen CAESAr howitzers [Trucks equipped with an artillery system] out of the 76 it owns.

The Ukrainian army would like more [at least fifteen] to counter the Russian artillery... This is not possible in the current state, even if the 18 that have already been delivered will be replaced in order to bring the army's equipment up to standard.

However, on 22 September, after meeting Catherine Colonna, her French counterpart, the Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Dmytro Kuleba, affirmed that Paris and Kiev were "working on the supply of new CAESAr" to the Ukrainian army.
Even if the time to produce a CAESAr must be significantly reduced [12 months instead of 30, according to the objective recently set by Sébastien Lecornu, the Minister of the Armed Forces], the army cannot go beyond the 18 examples it has already sent to Ukraine... Also, the howitzers mentioned by Mr. Kuleba could only be taken from an order placed with Nexter.

This would indeed be the case, according to information from the daily "Le Monde". According to the latter, an agreement was reached between France and Denmark to deliver to Ukraine between 6 and 12 CAESAr, initially intended for the Danish army.

As a reminder, in 2017, Copenhagen ordered 15 CAESAr 8×8 [with increased capabilities compared to those used by the French army, with a mass of nearly 30 tons, improved crew protection and the ability to carry 30 shells instead of 18, editor's note] to replace its M109 systems, in service since the 1960s. The order was then increased in October 2019 to include four more.

According to the Danish Ministry of Defence, the first 15 CAESAr were to be delivered in 2020, with the last four to be delivered in 2023. The contract also included logistical support and training services over ten years.

According to Le Monde, the Danish government has "agreed, at this stage, to give up some of this equipment as it is still undergoing technical validation and may not all comply with the initial specifications" and that, "after having hesitated, Ukraine [...] is ready to recover this equipment and use it as is". The announcement of this operation could be made by President Macron during a meeting with the German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, on 3 October.

It should be noted that if pressure is put on Germany to deliver Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine, the same applies to Denmark. Thus, as reported by the newspaper "Politiken", Hanna Hopko, former chairwoman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Ukrainian Parliament, made such a request.

"How can you sit in Denmark and just watch Ukrainians die? And say: 'OK, maybe in three months we will send you tanks'. I'm sure you can do without tanks now. It's the same thing with Germany and Spain. There are 13 Nato countries that have Leopard tanks," she said. "When they say they need tanks, we should take it seriously and deliver them," said Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, according to Politiken.

Currently, out of the 57 Leopard 2A5 tanks it maintained in service in 2006, 44 have been upgraded to the 2A7M+DK standard between 2019 and 2022. They are operated by the Jutland Dragoon Regiment.

In any case, on the ground, while on 30 September Russia formalised the annexation of the regions of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhia and Kherson, the Ukrainian army continued its counter-offensive by seizing the town of Lyman, a crucial railway hub for the Donbass.

Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
 
Major movement around Kupiansk.

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Zolota Balka village liberated by Ukraine, north of Kherson.

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The strikes of Russian missiles on the positions of the Ukrainian army were filmed by one of the servicemen of Ukraine, the place where the Russian missile strike was carried out is not reported.


During the combat operation of the Russian Pantsir air defense system in Ukraine, one of the missiles flew right over the heads of the soldiers. Apparently the target for which the Pantsir air defense system worked fell too low.


The crew of a Ka-52 helicopter fired an Izdeliye-305E missile into a BMP-2 of the Ukrainian army. Russian 305E missile can be used at a distance of up to 14.5 kilometers

 
I think Russia is likely to withdraw from the area north of Lugansk and south of Oskii because there is nothing there for them to defend anymore. The rail link is already compromised and Borova is about the largest village/town of note.
 
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